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Challenger Men - Doubles: Liberets (Czechia), clay
Challenger Men - Doubles: Liberets (Czechia), clay
30.07.2026 11:30 UTC Match prediction

Neuchrist M / Poljak D - Mansilla Diez M / Winter Lopez B

Tennis Challenger Men - Doubles: Liberets (Czechia), clay
Challenger Men - Doubles: Liberets (Czechia), clay clay 30.07.2026 11:30 UTC Finished
30.07.2026 11:30 UTC Finished
N
Neuchrist M / Poljak D
W
M
Mansilla Diez M / Winter Lopez B
W
2:1
Odds
P1 2.00 47.8% BetBoom
P2 1.83 52.2% BetBoom
Coverage: clay
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
clay Coverage clay
0 H2H 0
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Mansilla Diez M / Winter Lopez B — 51%

Pure model vs market (2 · Mansilla Diez M / Winter Lopez B): model 47% · market 19% Δ +28 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Neuchrist M / Poljak D49.0%
2 · Mansilla Diez M / Winter Lopez B51.0%

Model estimate: win Neuchrist M / Poljak D 49.0%, win Mansilla Diez M / Winter Lopez B 51.0%. Model favourite — Mansilla Diez M / Winter Lopez B.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Neuchrist M / Poljak D (odds2.00) Score 2:1 confidence 53% ✓ outcome correct · exact score
  • • (tennis)
  • • Noykhrist M./David Polyak: forma V (1-0)
  • • Mansilya Dies M./Vinter Lopes B.: forma VPV (2-1)
  • • Model backs Noykhrist M./David Polyak: probability 53% vs 50% on the line (odds 2.00)
  • • edge over the line +3 pp — value pick.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Neuchrist M / Poljak D - Mansilla Diez M / Winter Lopez B July 30, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Neuchrist M / Poljak D.

Line favourite Fonbet: Neuchrist M / Poljak D. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.14 / 2 4.90
  • Glicko: Neuchrist M / Poljak D 49.0% / Mansilla Diez M / Winter Lopez B 51.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.1%
1 81.1%
2 18.9%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 2.00 ↓ 1.90
Winner 2 1.73 ↑ 1.80

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Match center
Start 30.07.2026 11:30 UTC
Coverage clay
Form 4 matches
Match center

Neuchrist M / Poljak D - Mansilla Diez M / Winter Lopez B

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:1
Events 0
Statistics 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 51.0% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.519 / LogLoss 0.713
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 50.1% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.502 / LogLoss 0.695
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Neuchrist M / Poljak D 48.6% 49.0%
Mansilla Diez M / Winter Lopez B 51.4% 51.0% market and model agree
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 49.0% / 51.0% probabilities
Rating 1,637 / 1,614 Neuchrist M / Poljak D / Mansilla Diez M / Winter Lopez B
RD 284 / 232 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,068-2,205 / 1,151-2,077 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.90 Fonbet · weak value +149.7% · model 51.0%
1 1.14 Fonbet · no value · model 49.0%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.57 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 4.80 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 2.25 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.13 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 19.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only
Over 20.5 1.88 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.13 88.5%
1.80 55.6%
1.78 56.2%
2.25 44.4%
3.80 26.3%
2.35 42.6%
2.10 47.6%
4.80 20.8%
1.90 52.6%
1.92 52.1%
1.95 51.3%
2.45 40.8%
3.65 27.4%
2.15 46.5%
1.57 63.7%
1.22 82.0%
1.53 65.4%
1.65 60.6%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 19.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 20.5 1.88 53.2%
Over 21.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 22.5 2.00 50.0%
Over 23.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 24.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 25.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 26.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 27.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 28.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 29.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 30.5 1.93 51.8%
Over 31.5 1.53 65.4%
Over 32.5 1.22 82.0%
Over 33.5 1.57 63.7%
Over 34.5 3.55 28.2%
Under 19.5 2.10 47.6%
Under 20.5 1.82 55.0%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.87 53.5% 2.00 50.0% 1.14 87.7% 1.91 52.4%
1.83 54.6% 1.73 57.8% 4.90 20.4% 1.80 55.6%
Match center
Neuchrist M / Poljak D
W
29.07 11:30 UTC Challenger Men - Doubles: Liberets (Czechia), clay
Neuchrist M / Poljak D 2:0 Forcano I./Vervort M.
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Mansilla Diez M / Winter Lopez B
W
29.07 12:00 UTC Challenger Men - Doubles: Liberets (Czechia), clay
Mansilla Diez M / Winter Lopez B 2:1 Cherny M./Kucera J.
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage