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Challenger Women - Singles: Targu Mures (Romania), clay
Challenger Women - Singles: Targu Mures (Romania), clay
28.07.2026 09:30 UTC Match prediction

Jones F - Paquet C

Tennis Challenger Women - Singles: Targu Mures (Romania), clay
Challenger Women - Singles: Targu Mures (Romania), clay clay 28.07.2026 09:30 UTC Finished
28.07.2026 09:30 UTC Finished
Jones F
Jones F
Paquet C
Paquet C
2:1
Odds
P1 1.18 78.9% BetBoom
P2 4.40 21.2% BetBoom
Coverage: clay
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
clay Coverage clay
0 H2H 0
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Jones F — 77%

Pure model vs market (1 · Jones F): model 65% · market 93% Δ −28 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Jones F ✓ Pick77.2%
market93%
2 · Paquet C22.8%
market7%

Model estimate: win Jones F 77.2%, win Paquet C 22.8%. Model favourite — Jones F.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Jones F - Paquet C July 28, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Jones F.

Line favourite Fonbet: Jones F. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 14.00
  • Glicko: Jones F 77.2% / Paquet C 22.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 6.2%
1 ✓ Pick 93.3%
2 6.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Jones F
3-7WWLLWLLLLL
scored 0.8conceded 1.6
Paquet C

no data

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Match center
Start 28.07.2026 09:30 UTC
Coverage clay
Form 6 matches
Match center

Jones F - Paquet C

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:1
Events 0
Statistics 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 77.2% fact: home hit / ROI 18.0% / Brier 0.104 / LogLoss 0.259
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 53.3% fact: home hit / ROI 18.0% / Brier 0.437 / LogLoss 0.630
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Jones F 78.5% 77.2% market and model agree
Paquet C 21.5% 22.8%
1X2: 2 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 77.2% / 22.8% probabilities
Rating 1,774 / 1,315 Jones F / Paquet C
RD 140 / 160 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,494-2,053 / 994-1,636 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.30 market consensus · no value · model 22.8%
1 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 77.2%
Total
Over 14.5 1.62 Fonbet · line only
Over 15.5 1.58 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Betcity Fonbet
— 1.80 55.6%
— 1.45 69.0%
— 1.45 69.0%
— 1.48 67.6%
1.96 51.0% 1.02 98.0%
2.00 50.0% —
1.75 57.1% —
1.72 58.1% —
— 1.90 52.6%
— 2.55 39.2%
— 2.50 40.0%
— 2.45 40.8%
— 10.00 10.0%
— 4.15 24.1%
— 1.55 64.5%
— 1.48 67.6%
— 1.63 61.4%

Total

Outcome Betcity Fonbet
Over 14.5 — 1.62 61.7%
Over 15.5 — 1.58 63.3%
Over 16.5 — 1.90 52.6%
Over 17.5 — 1.93 51.8%
Over 18.5 1.78 56.2% 2.25 44.4%
Over 19.5 1.87 53.5% 4.15 24.1%
Over 20.5 — 10.00 10.0%
Over 21.5 — 2.45 40.8%
Over 22.5 — 2.85 35.1%
Over 23.5 — 2.70 37.0%
Under 14.5 — 2.15 46.5%
Under 15.5 — 2.25 44.4%
Under 16.5 — 1.80 55.6%
Under 17.5 — 1.77 56.5%
Under 18.5 1.92 52.1% —
Under 19.5 1.83 54.6% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.17 85.5% 1.01 99.0% 1.18 84.8%
4.40 22.7% 14.00 7.1% 4.20 23.8%
Match center
Jones F
W W W W W
27.07 16:35 UTC+0 Challenger Women - Singles: Palermo (Italy), clay
Jones F 2:1 Ferro F. 🇫🇷Ferro F. 🇫🇷
23.07 14:30 UTC+0 Challenger Women - Singles: Palermo (Italy), clay
Jones F 2:0 Bulgaru M. 🇷🇴
21.07 13:00 UTC+0 Challenger Women - Singles: Palermo (Italy), clay
Jones F 2:0 Astakhova D. (World)Astakhova D. (World)
18.07 06:00 UTC+0 Challenger Women - Singles: Rome (Italy), clay
Jones F 2:1 Trevizan M. 🇮🇹Trevizan M. 🇮🇹
17.07 06:00 UTC+0 Challenger Women - Singles: Rome (Italy), clay
Jones F 2:0 Nokha Akuge N. 🇩🇪Nokha Akuge N. 🇩🇪
5 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.4 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Paquet C
L W L L L
20.07 07:30 UTC+0 WTA - Singles: Gamburg (Germany) - Qualifying, clay
Paquet C 1:2 Rus A. 🇳🇱Rus A. 🇳🇱
19.07 09:00 UTC+0 WTA - Singles: Gamburg (Germany) - Qualifying, clay
Paquet C 2:1 Strakhova V. 🇺🇦
15.07 09:30 UTC+0 ITF Women - Singles: W75 Olomouc (Czechia), clay
Paquet C 1:2 Ivanov V. (Nzl)
09.07 06:00 UTC+0 ITF Women - Singles: W75 The Hague (Netherlands), clay
Paquet C 1:2 Karatancheva L. 🇧🇴
02.07 06:00 UTC+0 ITF Women - Singles: W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen (Germany), clay
Paquet C 0:2 Gorgodze E. 🇬🇪
1 Wins
4 Losses
1.0 Sets won
1.8 Sets lost
20% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyJones F - Paquet C

Jones F
0 matches total
Paquet C
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history