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Challenger Women - Singles: Targu Mures (Romania), clay
Challenger Women - Singles: Targu Mures (Romania), clay
28.07.2026 06:00 UTC Match prediction

Ristich M. ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ธ - Semenistaja D

Tennis Challenger Women - Singles: Targu Mures (Romania), clay
Challenger Women - Singles: Targu Mures (Romania), clay clay 28.07.2026 06:00 UTC Finished
28.07.2026 06:00 UTC Finished
R
Ristich M. ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ธ
Semenistaja D
Semenistaja D
2:0
Odds
P1 1.98 48.3% BetBoom
P2 1.85 51.7% BetBoom
Coverage: clay
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
clay Coverage clay
0 H2H 0
๐ŸŽฏ PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Ristich M. ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ธ โ€” 51%

Pure model vs market (1 ยท Ristich M. ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ธ): model 61% ยท market 92% ฮ” โˆ’31 pp model estimates below the market

1 ยท Ristich M. ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ธ50.6%
2 ยท Semenistaja D49.4%

Model estimate: win Ristich M. ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ธ 50.6%, win Semenistaja D 49.4%. Model favourite โ€” Ristich M. ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ธ.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Ristich M. ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ธ (odds1.51) Score 2:1 confidence 59% โœ“ outcome correct
  • • Ristich M
  • • ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ธ โ€” Semenistaya D
  • • ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ป (tennis)
  • • Ristich M
  • • ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ธ: forma VVVPV (4-1)
  • • Semenistaya D
  • • ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ป: forma PPPV (1-3)
  • • Model backs Ristich M
  • • ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ธ: probability 59% vs 66% on the line (odds 1.51)
  • • no edge over the line (-8 pp) โ€” informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Ristich M. ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ธ - Semenistaja D July 28, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Ristich M. ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ธ.

Line favourite Fonbet: Ristich M. ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ธ. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.02 / 2 11.00
  • Glicko: Ristich M. ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ธ 50.6% / Semenistaja D 49.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin โ€” for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.1%
1 91.5%
2 8.5%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds โ€” reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line โ€” for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.90 โ†’ 1.90
Winner 2 1.85 โ†’ 1.85

โ†“ odds shortened (money on this outcome), โ†‘ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Ristich M. ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ธ
4-6LWLWLLWLLW
scored 1.1conceded 1.2
Semenistaja D
6-4LWLWWWWLWL
scored 1.3conceded 1.1

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics โ€” for reference.

Match center
Start 28.07.2026 06:00 UTC
Coverage clay
Form 6 matches
Match center

Ristich M. ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ธ - Semenistaja D

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 50.6% fact: home hit / ROI 98.0% / Brier 0.488 / LogLoss 0.681
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 50.1% fact: home hit / ROI 98.0% / Brier 0.499 / LogLoss 0.692
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Ristich M. ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ธ 49.4% 50.6% Glicko contrarian
Semenistaja D 50.6% 49.4% market favourite
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 50.6% / 49.4% probabilities
Rating 1,823 / 1,537 Ristich M. ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ธ / Semenistaja D
RD 157 / 188 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,509-2,138 / 1,160-1,914 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.80 market consensus ยท no value ยท model 49.4%
1 1.02 Fonbet ยท no value ยท model 50.6%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.90 Fonbet ยท line only
2 +0.5 1.80 Fonbet ยท line only
2 +1 1.83 market consensus ยท line only
2 0 1.82 market consensus ยท line only
Total
Over 16.5 1.90 Fonbet ยท line only
Over 17.5 6.30 Fonbet ยท line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.83 54.6% — —
— 1.78 56.2% —
1.91 52.4% — —
— 1.98 50.5% —
— 1.93 51.8% —
1.81 55.3% — —
— 1.74 57.5% —
— 1.77 56.5% —
1.89 52.9% — 1.90 52.6%
— 1.93 51.8% 1.82 55.0%
— — 2.00 50.0%
— — 2.00 50.0%
— — 2.25 44.4%
— — 11.50 8.7%
— — 6.50 15.4%
— — 1.90 52.6%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 16.5 — — 1.90 52.6%
Over 17.5 — — 6.30 15.9%
Over 18.5 — — 9.00 11.1%
Over 19.5 — — 1.77 56.5%
Over 20.5 1.81 55.3% 1.78 56.2% 2.30 43.5%
Over 21.5 1.86 53.8% 1.90 52.6% 2.02 49.5%
Over 22.5 — — 1.90 52.6%
Over 23.5 — — 2.02 49.5%
Under 16.5 — — 1.80 55.6%
Under 17.5 — — 1.07 93.5%
Under 20.5 1.91 52.4% 1.92 52.1% —
Under 21.5 1.86 53.8% 1.81 55.3% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.88 53.2% 1.98 50.5% 1.02 98.0% 1.85 54.1%
1.84 54.4% 1.73 57.8% 11.00 9.1% 1.82 55.0%
Match center
Ristich M. ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ธ
W W W L W
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Ristich M. ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ธ 2:0 Turini V. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น
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Ristich M. ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ธ 2:0 Se G. ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ท
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Ristich M. ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ธ 2:0 Peri T. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น
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Ristich M. ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ธ 2:0 Pohankova M. ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฐPohankova M. ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฐ
4 Wins
1 Losses
1.8 Sets won
0.4 Sets lost
80% Win percentage
Semenistaja D
L L L W
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Semenistaja D 1:2 Romero-Gormaz L. ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธRomero-Gormaz L. ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ
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1 Wins
3 Losses
1.3 Sets won
1.5 Sets lost
25% Win percentage