PropickAI PropickAI
Sign in Sign up
Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
Challenger Women - Singles: Targu Mures (Romania), clay
Challenger Women - Singles: Targu Mures (Romania), clay
28.07.2026 06:00 UTC Match prediction

Ristic M - Semenistaja D

Tennis Challenger Women - Singles: Targu Mures (Romania), clay
Challenger Women - Singles: Targu Mures (Romania), clay clay 28.07.2026 06:00 UTC Finished
28.07.2026 06:00 UTC Finished
R
Ristic M
Semenistaja D
Semenistaja D
2:0
Odds
P1 1.98 48.3% BetBoom
P2 1.85 51.7% BetBoom
Coverage: clay
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
clay Coverage clay
0 H2H 0
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Ristic M — 51%

Pure model vs market (1 · Ristic M): model 61% · market 92% Δ −31 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Ristic M50.6%
2 · Semenistaja D49.4%

Model estimate: win Ristic M 50.6%, win Semenistaja D 49.4%. Model favourite — Ristic M.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Ristic M (odds1.51) Score 2:1 confidence 59% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Ristich M
  • • 🇷🇸 — Semenistaya D
  • • 🇱🇻 (tennis)
  • • Ristich M
  • • 🇷🇸: forma VVVPV (4-1)
  • • Semenistaya D
  • • 🇱🇻: forma PPPV (1-3)
  • • Model backs Ristich M
  • • 🇷🇸: probability 59% vs 66% on the line (odds 1.51)
  • • no edge over the line (-8 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Ristic M - Semenistaja D July 28, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Ristic M.

Line favourite Fonbet: Ristic M. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.02 / 2 11.00
  • Glicko: Ristic M 50.6% / Semenistaja D 49.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.1%
1 91.5%
2 8.5%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.90 → 1.90
Winner 2 1.85 → 1.85

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Ristic M
4-6LWLWLLWLLW
scored 1.1conceded 1.2
Semenistaja D
6-4LWLWWWWLWL
scored 1.3conceded 1.1

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Match center
Start 28.07.2026 06:00 UTC
Coverage clay
Form 6 matches
Match center

Ristic M - Semenistaja D

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 50.6% fact: home hit / ROI 98.0% / Brier 0.488 / LogLoss 0.681
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 50.1% fact: home hit / ROI 98.0% / Brier 0.499 / LogLoss 0.692
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Ristic M 49.4% 50.6% Glicko contrarian
Semenistaja D 50.6% 49.4% market favourite
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 50.6% / 49.4% probabilities
Rating 1,823 / 1,537 Ristic M / Semenistaja D
RD 157 / 188 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,509-2,138 / 1,160-1,914 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.80 market consensus · no value · model 49.4%
1 1.02 Fonbet · no value · model 50.6%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.90 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 1.83 market consensus · line only
2 0 1.82 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 16.5 1.90 Fonbet · line only
Over 17.5 6.30 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.83 54.6% — —
— 1.78 56.2% —
1.91 52.4% — —
— 1.98 50.5% —
— 1.93 51.8% —
1.81 55.3% — —
— 1.74 57.5% —
— 1.77 56.5% —
1.89 52.9% — 1.90 52.6%
— 1.93 51.8% 1.82 55.0%
— — 2.00 50.0%
— — 2.00 50.0%
— — 2.25 44.4%
— — 11.50 8.7%
— — 6.50 15.4%
— — 1.90 52.6%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 16.5 — — 1.90 52.6%
Over 17.5 — — 6.30 15.9%
Over 18.5 — — 9.00 11.1%
Over 19.5 — — 1.77 56.5%
Over 20.5 1.81 55.3% 1.78 56.2% 2.30 43.5%
Over 21.5 1.86 53.8% 1.90 52.6% 2.02 49.5%
Over 22.5 — — 1.90 52.6%
Over 23.5 — — 2.02 49.5%
Under 16.5 — — 1.80 55.6%
Under 17.5 — — 1.07 93.5%
Under 20.5 1.91 52.4% 1.92 52.1% —
Under 21.5 1.86 53.8% 1.81 55.3% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.88 53.2% 1.98 50.5% 1.02 98.0% 1.85 54.1%
1.84 54.4% 1.73 57.8% 11.00 9.1% 1.82 55.0%
Match center
Ristic M
W W W L W
24.07 06:00 UTC+0 ITF Women - Singles: W75 Cordenons (Italy), clay
Ristic M 2:0 Turini V. 🇮🇹
23.07 06:00 UTC+0 ITF Women - Singles: W75 Cordenons (Italy), clay
Ristic M 2:0 Se G. 🇧🇷
22.07 06:00 UTC+0 ITF Women - Singles: W75 Cordenons (Italy), clay
Ristic M 2:0 Peri T. 🇮🇹
15.07 09:30 UTC+0 Challenger Women - Singles: Kitzbuhel (Austria), clay
Ristic M 1:2 Andreeva E. (World)
13.07 08:30 UTC+0 Challenger Women - Singles: Kitzbuhel (Austria), clay
Ristic M 2:0 Pohankova M. 🇸🇰Pohankova M. 🇸🇰
4 Wins
1 Losses
1.8 Sets won
0.4 Sets lost
80% Win percentage
Semenistaja D
L L L W
21.07 07:00 UTC+0 WTA - Singles: Gamburg (Germany), clay
Semenistaja D 1:2 Kraus S. 🇦🇹Kraus S. 🇦🇹
14.07 06:30 UTC+0 Challenger Women - Singles: Rome (Italy), clay
Semenistaja D 1:2 Riera Yu. 🇦🇷Riera Yu. 🇦🇷
06.07 06:00 UTC+0 Challenger Women - Singles: Bastad (Sweden), clay
Semenistaja D 1:2 Romero-Gormaz L. 🇪🇸Romero-Gormaz L. 🇪🇸
04.06 18:35 UTC+0 Challenger Women - Singles: Makarska (Croatia), clay
Semenistaja D 2:0 Urhobo A. 🇺🇸
1 Wins
3 Losses
1.3 Sets won
1.5 Sets lost
25% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyRistic M - Semenistaja D

Ristic M
0 matches total
Semenistaja D
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history