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Challenger Women - Singles: Targu Mures (Romania), clay
Challenger Women - Singles: Targu Mures (Romania), clay
28.07.2026 06:00 UTC Match prediction

Samson L. 🇨🇿 - Breaz A. 🇷🇴

Tennis Challenger Women - Singles: Targu Mures (Romania), clay
Challenger Women - Singles: Targu Mures (Romania), clay clay 28.07.2026 06:00 UTC Finished
28.07.2026 06:00 UTC Finished
Samson L. 🇨🇿
Samson L. 🇨🇿
B
Breaz A. 🇷🇴
2:0
Odds
P1 1.03 91.4% BetBoom
P2 11.00 8.6% BetBoom
Coverage: clay
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
clay Coverage clay
0 H2H 0
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Samson L. 🇨🇿 — 87%

1 · Samson L. 🇨🇿 ✓ Pick86.5%
market56%
2 · Breaz A. 🇷🇴13.5%
market44%

Model estimate: win Samson L. 🇨🇿 86.5%, win Breaz A. 🇷🇴 13.5%. Model favourite — Samson L. 🇨🇿.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Samson L. 🇨🇿 - Breaz A. 🇷🇴 July 28, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Samson L. 🇨🇿.

Line favourite Fonbet: Samson L. 🇨🇿. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.65 / 2 2.10
  • Glicko: Samson L. 🇨🇿 86.5% / Breaz A. 🇷🇴 13.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 ✓ Pick 56.0%
2 44.0%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.01 → 1.01
Winner 2 10.50 → 10.50

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Samson L. 🇨🇿
5-5LWWLLLWWWL
scored 1.2conceded 1.1
Breaz A. 🇷🇴

no data

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Match center
Start 28.07.2026 06:00 UTC
Coverage clay
Form 5 matches
Match center

Samson L. 🇨🇿 - Breaz A. 🇷🇴

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 86.5% fact: home hit / ROI 3.0% / Brier 0.036 / LogLoss 0.145
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 54.4% fact: home hit / ROI 3.0% / Brier 0.416 / LogLoss 0.609
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Samson L. 🇨🇿 90.6% 86.5% market and model agree
Breaz A. 🇷🇴 9.4% 13.5%
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 86.5% / 13.5% probabilities
Rating 1,297 / 1,369 Samson L. 🇨🇿 / Breaz A. 🇷🇴
RD 198 / 257 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 902-1,693 / 854-1,883 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.10 Fonbet · no value · model 13.5%
1 1.65 Fonbet · value +42.8% · model 86.5%
Total
Over 16.5 1.76 market consensus · line only
Over 17 1.79 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Betcity Fonbet Leon
— 1.65 60.6% —
— 2.10 47.6% —
— 2.10 47.6% —
— — 1.78 56.2%
1.87 53.5% — 1.89 52.9%
— — 1.89 52.9%
1.83 54.6% — 1.78 56.2%
— 2.10 47.6% —
— 1.65 60.6% —
— 1.65 60.6% —

Total

Outcome Betcity Fonbet Leon
Over 16.5 1.76 56.8% — 1.75 57.1%
Over 17 — — 1.79 55.9%
Over 17.5 1.96 51.0% 1.65 60.6% —
Over 18.5 — 1.65 60.6% —
Over 19.5 — 2.10 47.6% —
Over 20.5 — 1.78 56.2% —
Under 16.5 1.95 51.3% — 1.93 51.8%
Under 17 — — 1.88 53.2%
Under 17.5 1.75 57.1% 2.10 47.6% —
Under 18.5 — 2.10 47.6% —
Under 19.5 — 1.65 60.6% —
Under 20.5 — 1.92 52.1% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.02 98.0% 1.02 98.0% 1.65 60.6% 1.03 97.1%
11.00 9.1% 9.80 10.2% 2.10 47.6% 8.20 12.2%
Match center
Samson L. 🇨🇿
L L W L L
21.07 08:30 UTC+0 WTA - Singles: Livesport Prague Open (Czechia), hard
Samson L. 🇨🇿 1:2 Dzhoynt M. 🇦🇺Dzhoynt M. 🇦🇺
16.07 08:30 UTC+0 Challenger Women - Singles: Kitzbuhel (Austria), clay
Samson L. 🇨🇿 0:2 Feistel G. 🇵🇱Feistel G. 🇵🇱
14.07 08:30 UTC+0 Challenger Women - Singles: Kitzbuhel (Austria), clay
Samson L. 🇨🇿 2:1 Pigossi L. 🇧🇷Pigossi L. 🇧🇷
03.06 07:00 UTC+0 Challenger Women - Singles: Makarska (Croatia), clay
Samson L. 🇨🇿 0:2 Lazaro Garsiya A. 🇪🇸
19.05 06:00 UTC+0 WTA - Singles: Otkrytyy Championship France (France) - Qualifying, clay
Samson L. 🇨🇿 1:2 Riera Yu. 🇦🇷Riera Yu. 🇦🇷
1 Wins
4 Losses
0.8 Sets won
1.8 Sets lost
20% Win percentage
Breaz A. 🇷🇴
L L
22.07 09:00 UTC+0 ITF Women - Singles: W15 Cluj Napoca (Romania), clay
Breaz A. 🇷🇴 1:2 Gentili A. 🇮🇹
08.07 04:00 UTC+0 ITF Women - Singles: W35 Buzau (Romania), clay
Breaz A. 🇷🇴 1:2 Lovrich P. 🇸🇮
0 Wins
2 Losses
1.0 Sets won
2.0 Sets lost
0% Win percentage