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Istanbul 2, Turkiye
Istanbul 2, Turkiye
06.08.2026 16:00 UTC Match prediction

Miyoshi K - Alkaya M

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis Istanbul 2, Turkiye
Istanbul 2, Turkiye hard 06.08.2026 16:00 UTC Finished
06.08.2026 16:00 UTC Finished
M
Miyoshi K
Rank #299 Elo 183
61Average Form
W L L W W L L W
A
Alkaya M
Rank #525 Elo 80
77Good Form
W W L L W W W W
2:0
Coverage: hard
Preview

Extended stats (scorego)

Miyoshi K Alkaya M
Win % 62.7% 64.7%
Hard % 62.8% 67.7%
Clay % 60% 59%
Grass % 0% 50%
Deciding set % 52.9% 43.3%
Tie-breaks % 41.2% 61.5%
Titles (total) 2 3
Last 10 WWWLWWWWWL WLLWWLLLWW

Source: scorego-app.com

About the athletes

- Country -
#299 Rating #525
26 Age 22
- Height (cm) 1.85m
- Weight (kg) 70kg
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0

Serve and return stats

Miyoshi K Alkaya M
Aces per match 5.55 6.31
Double faults per match 2.64 1.77
Breaks per match 1.61 9

Source:tennisstats.com (per-match averages)

TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return

Mert Alkaya
Rank:299 Elo: 183
W L L W W L L W
Kenta Miyoshi
Rank:525 Elo: 80
W W L L W W W W
Elo favourite:Alkaya M (edge +103 Elo)

Hard

Mert AlkayaKenta Miyoshi
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 61.4% 27 / 44 Matches 76.7% 23 / 30 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 69.1% 56 / 81 Matches 67.5% 27 / 40 Matches

Clay

Mert AlkayaKenta Miyoshi
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 50.0% 1 / 2 Matches N/A 0 / 0 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 50.0% 1 / 2 Matches N/A 0 / 0 Matches

Grass

Mert AlkayaKenta Miyoshi
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 50.0% 1 / 2 Matches N/A 0 / 0 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 50.0% 1 / 2 Matches N/A 0 / 0 Matches

Source:tennisstats.com

H2H series (tennisstats)

Mert Alkaya Kenta Miyoshi
H2H wins 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Sets 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Wins this year 60.8% 31 / 51 Matches 76.7% 23 / 30 Matches
Wins in 12 mo. 67.8% 61 / 90 Matches 67.5% 27 / 40 Matches
Current rank 299 525

Source: tennisstats.com

Profile and percentages (tennisstats)

Mert Alkaya Kenta Miyoshi
Prize money (career) $17,757 USD $11,954 USD
Rating 299 525
Age 26 22
Height — 1.85m
Weight — 70kg

Win percentage (match / set)

Mert Alkaya Kenta Miyoshi
Match Wins 61 % 77 %
Match Wins (3 Sets) 60 % 77 %
Wins in Straight Sets 49 % 60 %
Wins From Behind 14 % 30 %
Won At Least 1 Set 84 % 87 %
Set 1 Win 67 % 77 %
Set 2 Win 67 % 70 %
Set 3 Win 35 % 63 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Match stats (live, tennisstats)

Mert Alkaya Kenta Miyoshi
Aces 4 1
Double Faults 2 1
1st serve percentage 50% 52%
1st serve points won 85% (22/26) 54% (15/28)
2nd serve points won 54% (14/26) 50% (13/26)
Break Points Saved 2/3 5/9
1st return points won 46% (13/28) 23% (6/26)
2nd return points won 50% (13/26) 46% (12/26)
Break Points Converted 4/9 1/3
Service Points Won 69% (36/52) 53% (28/53)
Return Points Won 47% (25/53) 31% (16/52)
Total Points Won 58% (61/105) 42% (44/105)
Last 10 balls 7 3
Match points saved 0 1
Service games won 89% (8/9) 50% (4/8)
Return games won 50% (4/8) 11% (1/9)
Total games won 71% (12/17) 29% (5/17)

Source:tennisstats.com

Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)

Outcome percentages for totals and props: values for each player and a match-total column.

Total games

Mert Alkaya Kenta Miyoshi Match total
Average Games in a Set 9.1 9.4 9.25
Over 6.5 96 % 97 % 97 %
Over 7.5 81 % 83 % 82 %
Over 8.5 60 % 57 % 59 %
Over 9.5 35 % 33 % 34 %
Over 10.5 13 % 23 % 18 %
Over 11.5 13 % 23 % 18 %

Aces

Mert Alkaya Kenta Miyoshi Match total
Aces Per Match 5.55 6.31 11.86
Most Aces in a match 86 % 100 % N/A
1+ 91 % 100 % 100 %
2+ 73 % 92 % 87 %
3+ 73 % 77 % 84 %
4+ 73 % 69 % 80 %
5+ 64 % 62 % 75 %

Breaks

Mert Alkaya Kenta Miyoshi Match total
Breaks Per Match 1.61 9 10.61
Over 0.5 41 % 100 % 100 %
Over 1.5 41 % 100 % 100 %
Over 2.5 0 % 100 % 71 %
Over 3.5 0 % 100 % 71 %
Over 4.5 0 % 100 % 71 %
Over 5.5 0 % 100 % 50 %

Tie-breaks

Mert Alkaya Kenta Miyoshi Match total
Tie Breaks Per Match 0.27 0.33 0.3
Over 0.5 27 % 33 % 30 %
Over 1.5 0 % 0 % 0 %
Under 0.5 73 % 67 % 30 %
Under 1.5 100 % 100 % 0 %

Double faults

Mert Alkaya Kenta Miyoshi Match total
Double Faults Per Match 2.64 1.77 4.41
Over 0.5 (1+) 86 % 46 % 98 %
Over 1.5 (2+) 64 % 38 % 88 %
Over 2.5 (3+) 45 % 31 % 73 %
Over 3.5 (4+) 32 % 8 % 64 %
Over 4.5 (5+) 23 % 8 % 53 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 14 % 8 % 35 %

Net points

Mert Alkaya Kenta Miyoshi Match total
Net Points Won Per Match 6.94 N/A N/A
Over 4.5 (5+) 63 % N/A N/A
Over 5.5 (6+) 38 % N/A N/A
Over 6.5 (7+) 38 % N/A N/A
Over 7.5 (8+) 38 % N/A N/A
Over 8.5 (9+) 19 % N/A N/A
Over 9.5 (10+) 19 % N/A N/A

Source:tennisstats.com

Odds
P1 1.54 90.1% BetBoom
P2 14.00 9.9% BetBoom

Miyoshi K take on Alkaya M on August 6, 2026 in the Istanbul 2, Turkiye.

Recent form (W-D-L): Miyoshi K 4-0-1, Alkaya M 3-0-2. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 61% to win. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Miyoshi K — 61%

Pure model vs market (1 · Miyoshi K): model 65% · market 61% Δ +4 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Miyoshi K ✓ Pick61.3%
market61%
2 · Alkaya M38.7%
market39%

Model estimate: win Miyoshi K 61.3%, win Alkaya M 38.7%. Model favourite — Miyoshi K.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Alkaya M (odds1.65) Score 1:2 confidence 54% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Miyoshi K
  • • 🇯🇵 — Alkaya M
  • • 🇹🇷 (tennis)
  • • Miyoshi K
  • • 🇯🇵: forma VVVPV (4-1)
  • • Alkaya M
  • • 🇹🇷: forma VVPPP (2-3)
  • • Model backs Alkaya M
  • • 🇹🇷: probability 54% vs 61% on the line (odds 1.65)
  • • no edge over the line (-7 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Miyoshi K - Alkaya M August 6, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Miyoshi K.

Line favourite Fonbet: Miyoshi K. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 14.00
  • Glicko: Miyoshi K 61.3% / Alkaya M 38.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 6.6% 4 books
1 ✓ Pick 60.9%
2 39.1%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Fonbet, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 2.10 ↓ 1.01
Winner 2 1.65 ↑ 14.00

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Miyoshi K
61%
1.54
Alkaya M
39%
14.00
Total
Over 9.5
51%
1.84
Under 9.5
49%
1.90

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Miyoshi K
9-1WWWWWLWWWW
scored 1.9conceded 0.3
Alkaya M
4-6LLWLLWWLLW
scored 1.1conceded 1.2

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:2/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated06.08.2026 04:55 UTC
1 46%
2 54% ✓ favourite
Score1:2 Total games: Over 22.5 Bet:2
Per AI data H2H: 0:0
Claude updated06.08.2026 05:00 UTC
1 47%
2 53% ✓ favourite
Score2:1 Total games: Over 22.5 Bet:Over 22.5 games

AI consensus:2

AI 1 2 Score Total games Bet
Google AI 46% 54% 1:2 Over 22.5
Claude 47% 53% 2:1 Over 22.5 Over 22.5 games
Match center
Start 06.08.2026 16:00 UTC
Market 1 93.3% @ 1.01 / 2 6.7% @ 14.00
Coverage hard
Form 6 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI models Alkaya M 54%
📐 Math model Miyoshi K 61%
💹 Market Miyoshi K 61%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
🏦 Virtual bank $10,000
$10,000Virtual balance

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Match center

Miyoshi K - Alkaya M

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:0
Events 0
Statistics 20
Metric Miyoshi K Alkaya M SStats
Breyk-poynty realizovany 1/3 4/9 final
Points na prieme 31% (16/52) 47% (25/53) final
Eysy 1 4 final
Breyk-poynty otygrany 5/9 2/3 final
Dvoynye oshibki 1 2 final
Pervaya podacha, % 52% 50% final
Points na pervoy podache 54% (15/28) 85% (22/26) final
Points na vtoroy podache 50% (13/26) 54% (14/26) final
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 61.3% fact: home hit / ROI 54.0% / Brier 0.300 / LogLoss 0.490
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 51.4% fact: home hit / ROI 54.0% / Brier 0.473 / LogLoss 0.666
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Miyoshi K 60.9% 57.8% market and model agree
Alkaya M 39.1% 42.2% market and model agree
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Model = Glicko + Elo strength prior (heuristic, historical calibration in progress). Glicko61.3% · +Elo prior (weight0.28).

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 61.3% / 38.7% probabilities
Rating 1,957 / 1,517 Miyoshi K / Alkaya M
RD 133 / 155 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,691-2,223 / 1,208-1,826 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.37 market consensus · no value · model 38.7%
1 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 61.3%
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.25 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 2.08 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.67 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 10.5 3.45 market consensus · line only
Over 16.5 1.35 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.55 64.5%
1.65 60.6%
1.30 76.9%
1.38 72.5%
1.02 98.0%
1.07 93.5%
1.01 99.0%
2.08 48.1%
2.02 49.5%
2.05 48.8%
2.25 44.4%
2.10 47.6%
3.20 31.3%
2.80 35.7%
9.50 10.5%
6.40 15.6%
11.00 9.1%
1.35 74.1%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.02 98.0%
1.01 99.0%
11.00 9.1%
10.00 10.0%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 16.5 1.35 74.1%
Over 17.5 11.00 9.1%
Over 18.5 6.40 15.6%
Over 19.5 8.00 12.5%
Over 20.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 21.5 2.35 42.6%
Over 22.5 2.40 41.7%
Over 23.5 1.92 52.1%
Over 24.5 1.95 51.3%
Under 16.5 2.95 33.9%
Under 17.5 1.01 99.0%
Under 18.5 1.07 93.5%
Under 19.5 1.04 96.2%
Under 20.5 1.95 51.3%
Under 21.5 1.52 65.8%
Under 22.5 1.50 66.7%
Under 23.5 1.78 56.2%
Under 24.5 1.75 57.1%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 2.5 11.00 9.1%
Under 2.5 1.01 99.0%
Match center
Miyoshi K
W W W L W
2026-08-04 2026 Istanbul 2, Turkiye
Miyoshi K Miyoshi K 2:0 Azkara A
2026-08-03 2026 Istanbul 2, Turkiye, Qualifying
Miyoshi K Heck H 0:2 Miyoshi K
2026-08-02 2026 Istanbul 2, Turkiye, Qualifying
Miyoshi K Arutiunian E 0:2 Miyoshi K
2026-08-01 2026 Samsun, Turkiye
Miyoshi K Miyoshi K 1:2 Bittoun Kouzmine C
2026-07-31 2026 Samsun, Turkiye
Miyoshi K Miyoshi K 2:0 Ursu V
4 Wins
1 Losses
1.8 Sets won
0.4 Sets lost
80% Win percentage
Alkaya M
W L L W W
2026-08-04 2026 Istanbul 2, Turkiye
Purtseladze S 0:2 Alkaya M Alkaya M
2026-07-28 2026 Samsun, Turkiye
Alkaya M 1:2 Sinclair C Alkaya M
2026-07-24 2026 Segovia, Spain
Pavlovic L 2:0 Alkaya M Alkaya M
2026-07-22 2026 Segovia, Spain
Santillan A 0:2 Alkaya M Alkaya M
2026-07-20 2026 Segovia, Spain
Alkaya M 2:0 Ficovich J P Alkaya M
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.4 Sets won
0.8 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMiyoshi K - Alkaya M

Miyoshi K
0 matches total
Alkaya M
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history