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ITF Men - Singles: M15 Astana 2 (Kazakhstan), hard
ITF Men - Singles: M15 Astana 2 (Kazakhstan), hard
04.08.2026 07:30 UTC Match prediction

Rakhmatullayev D - Tabata R

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis ITF Men - Singles: M15 Astana 2 (Kazakhstan), hard
ITF Men - Singles: M15 Astana 2 (Kazakhstan), hard hard 04.08.2026 07:30 UTC Finished
04.08.2026 07:30 UTC Finished
R
Rakhmatullayev D
Tabata R
Tabata R
0:2 1:6 3:6
1 2 GP
Rakhmatullayev D 1 3 0
Tabata R 6 6 2
1 2
Odds
P1 3.10 29.4% BetBoom
P2 1.29 70.6% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0

Rakhmatullayev D meet Tabata R on August 4, 2026 in the ITF Men - Singles: M15 Astana 2 (Kazakhstan), hard.

PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 57% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Rakhmatullayev D — 57%

1 · Rakhmatullayev D ✓ Pick57.4%
2 · Tabata R42.6%

Model estimate: win Rakhmatullayev D 57.4%, win Tabata R 42.6%. Model favourite — Rakhmatullayev D.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Rakhmatullayev D (odds3.27) Score 2:1 confidence 57% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Rakhmatullayev D
  • • 🇰🇿 — Tabata R
  • • 🇯🇵 (tennis)
  • • Rakhmatullayev D
  • • 🇰🇿: forma PV (1)
  • • Tabata R
  • • 🇯🇵: forma PPVPV (2-3)
  • • Model backs Rakhmatullayev D
  • • 🇰🇿: probability 57% vs 31% on the line (odds 3.27)
  • • edge over the line +27 pp — value pick.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Rakhmatullayev D - Tabata R August 4, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Tabata R.

Line favourite Fonbet: Tabata R. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 9.50 / 2 1.01
  • Glicko: Rakhmatullayev D 57.4% / Tabata R 42.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 9.7% 2 books · best price +12.2%
1 ✓ Pick 19.5%
2 80.5%

Odds source: consensus of 2 books (Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Rakhmatullayev D

no data

Tabata R
4-6LLLLWLWWWL
scored 1.2conceded 1.4

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Match center
Start 04.08.2026 07:30 UTC
Market 1 9.6% @ 9.50 / 2 90.4% @ 1.01
Coverage hard
Form 5 matches
Match center

Rakhmatullayev D - Tabata R

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 2/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 0:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
Set Rakhmatullayev D Tabata R Result
Set 1 1 6 1:6
Set 2 3 6 3:6
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Rakhmatullayev D 29.4% 57.4% Glicko contrarian
Tabata R 70.6% 42.6% market favourite
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 57.4% / 42.6% probabilities
Rating 1,652 / 1,515 Rakhmatullayev D / Tabata R
RD 237 / 165 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,177-2,126 / 1,184-1,846 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 42.6%
1 9.50 Fonbet · weak value +445.2% · model 57.4%
Total
Over 15.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only
Over 16.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet Leon
1.95 51.3% 1.78 56.2%
2.20 45.5% —
2.30 43.5% —
1.95 51.3% —
1.80 55.6% —
1.75 57.1% —
1.60 62.5% —
1.55 64.5% —
1.75 57.1% —
1.90 52.6% —
— 1.85 54.1%

Total

Outcome Fonbet Leon
Over 15.5 1.80 55.6% —
Over 16.5 1.85 54.1% —
Over 17.5 2.40 41.7% —
Over 18.5 2.05 48.8% —
Over 19.5 1.95 51.3% —
Over 20.5 1.93 51.8% 1.88 53.2%
Over 21.5 1.90 52.6% —
Under 15.5 1.90 52.6% —
Under 16.5 1.85 54.1% —
Under 17.5 1.50 66.7% —
Under 18.5 1.68 59.5% —
Under 19.5 1.75 57.1% —
Under 20.5 1.77 56.5% 1.76 56.8%
Under 21.5 1.80 55.6% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet Leon
9.50 10.5% 3.10 32.3%
1.01 99.0% 1.29 77.5%
Match center
Rakhmatullayev D
L W
30.07 03:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Astana (Kazakhstan), hard
Rakhmatullayev D 1:2 Mitsui Sh. 🇯🇵
29.07 04:30 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Astana (Kazakhstan), hard
Rakhmatullayev D 2:1 Shimanov O. 🇮🇱Shimanov O. 🇮🇱
1 Wins
1 Losses
1.5 Sets won
1.5 Sets lost
50% Win percentage
Tabata R
L L W L W
30.07 06:30 UTC+0 World Tennis. Men. Kazakhstan
Tabata R 0:2 Omarkhanov A
30.07 04:30 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Astana (Kazakhstan), hard
Tabata R 0:2 Omarkhanov A. 🇰🇿
28.07 07:30 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Astana (Kazakhstan), hard
Tabata R 2:1 Ianin N. (World)Ianin N. (World)
08.07 08:00 UTC+0 YuNOShI - Singles: Uimbldon (Velikobritaniya), grass
Tabata R 0:2 Paparkar A. 🇮🇳
05.07 14:00 UTC+0 YuNOShI - Singles: Uimbldon (Velikobritaniya), grass
Tabata R 2:1 Kusy J. 🇨🇿
2 Wins
3 Losses
0.8 Sets won
1.6 Sets lost
40% Win percentage