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ITF Men - Singles: M15 Brisbane 2 (Australia), hard
ITF Men - Singles: M15 Brisbane 2 (Australia), hard
28.07.2026 00:30 UTC Match prediction

Dong Chen - Sach T L

Tennis ITF Men - Singles: M15 Brisbane 2 (Australia), hard
ITF Men - Singles: M15 Brisbane 2 (Australia), hard hard 28.07.2026 00:30 UTC Finished
28.07.2026 00:30 UTC Finished
D
Dong Chen
Sach T L
Sach T L
2:1
Odds
P1 4.60 20.4% BetBoom
P2 1.18 79.6% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Sach T L — 77%

Pure model vs market (2 · Sach T L): model 60% · market 52% Δ +8 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Dong Chen23.4%
market48%
2 · Sach T L ✓ Pick76.6%
market52%

Model estimate: win Dong Chen 23.4%, win Sach T L 76.6%. Model favourite — Sach T L.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Sach T L (odds1.42) Score 1:2 confidence 60% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Dong Ch
  • • 🇦🇺 — Sach T
  • • 🇦🇺 (tennis)
  • • Dong Ch
  • • 🇦🇺: forma pp (0-2)
  • • Sach T
  • • 🇦🇺: forma PPPVV (2-3)
  • • Model backs Sach T
  • • 🇦🇺: probability 60% vs 70% on the line (odds 1.42)
  • • no edge over the line (-10 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Dong Chen - Sach T L July 28, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Sach T L.

Line favourite Fonbet: Sach T L. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.92 / 2 1.78
  • Glicko: Dong Chen 23.4% / Sach T L 76.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.3%
1 48.1%
2 ✓ Pick 51.9%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Match center
Start 28.07.2026 00:30 UTC
Coverage hard
Form 5 matches
Match center

Dong Chen - Sach T L

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 2/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:1
Events 0
Statistics 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 76.6% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.174 / LogLoss 1.454
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 53.2% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.566 / LogLoss 0.759
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Dong Chen 21.5% 23.4%
Sach T L 78.5% 76.6% market and model agree
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 23.4% / 76.6% probabilities
Rating 1,217 / 1,678 Dong Chen / Sach T L
RD 224 / 148 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 769-1,666 / 1,382-1,973 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.78 Fonbet · value +36.4% · model 76.6%
1 1.92 Fonbet · no value · model 23.4%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.90 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.90 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 16.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only
Over 17.5 1.93 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Betcity Fonbet
— 1.80 55.6%
1.97 50.8% —
1.73 57.8% —
— 1.80 55.6%
— 1.83 54.6%
— 1.80 55.6%
— 1.90 52.6%
— 1.90 52.6%
— 1.92 52.1%
— 2.25 44.4%
— 2.05 48.8%
— 1.95 51.3%
— 2.02 49.5%
— 1.90 52.6%
— 1.87 53.5%
— 1.90 52.6%
1.74 57.5% —
2.00 50.0% —

Total

Outcome Betcity Fonbet
Over 16.5 — 1.70 58.8%
Over 17.5 — 1.93 51.8%
Over 18.5 — 2.10 47.6%
Over 19.5 1.90 52.6% 1.95 51.3%
Over 20.5 — 2.02 49.5%
Over 21.5 — 1.72 58.1%
Over 22.5 — 1.80 55.6%
Over 23.5 — 1.88 53.2%
Over 24.5 — 1.80 55.6%
Over 25.5 — 1.72 58.1%
Under 16.5 — 2.02 49.5%
Under 17.5 — 1.77 56.5%
Under 18.5 — 1.65 60.6%
Under 19.5 1.80 55.6% 1.75 57.1%
Under 20.5 — 1.70 58.8%
Under 21.5 — 2.00 50.0%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
4.30 23.3% 4.60 21.7% 1.92 52.1% 4.19 23.9%
1.18 84.8% 1.16 86.2% 1.78 56.2% 1.16 86.2%
Match center
Dong Chen
L L
21.07 00:30 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Brisbane (Australia), hard
Dong Chen 0:2 Khazava S. 🇯🇵
15.07 01:30 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M25 Brisbane (Australia), hard
Dong Chen 0:2 O'Connell B. 🇦🇺
0 Wins
2 Losses
0.0 Sets won
2.0 Sets lost
0% Win percentage
Sach T L
L L L W W
21.07 23:30 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Brisbane (Australia), hard
Sach T L 1:2 Zhang J. 🇦🇺
15.07 22:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M25 Brisbane (Australia), hard
Sach T L 1:2 Viiala Z. 🇦🇺
05.06 22:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Harmon (Guam), hard
Sach T L 1:2 Dileyni Dzh. 🇦🇺
04.06 22:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Harmon (Guam), hard
Sach T L 2:0 Kim G. J. 🇰🇷
03.06 22:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Harmon (Guam), hard
Sach T L 2:0 Hirose Y. 🇯🇵
2 Wins
3 Losses
1.4 Sets won
1.2 Sets lost
40% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyDong Chen - Sach T L

Dong Chen
0 matches total
Sach T L
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history