Oki Y - Fumagalli F
About the athletes
Oki Y meet Fumagalli F on August 4, 2026 in the ITF Men - Singles: M15 Curtea de Arges 2 (Romania), clay.
PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 42% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Fumagalli F — 58%
Pure model vs market (2 · Fumagalli F): model 49% · market 60% Δ −11 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Oki Y 42.1%, win Fumagalli F 57.9%. Model favourite — Fumagalli F.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Oki Y
- • 🇯🇵 — Fumagalli F
- • 🇮🇹 (tennis)
- • Oki Y
- • 🇯🇵: forma PPVP (1-3)
- • Fumagalli F
- • 🇮🇹: forma PPV (1-2)
- • Model backs Fumagalli F
- • 🇮🇹: probability 50% vs 60% on the line (odds 1.66)
- • no edge over the line (-10 pp) — informational only.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Oki Y - Fumagalli F August 4, 2026
Tennis math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Fumagalli F.
- Win odds (Fonbet): 1 9.00 / 2 1.03
- Glicko: Oki Y 42.1% / Fumagalli F 57.9%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Oki Y - Fumagalli F
V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.
Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Handicap
| Outcome | Betcity | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.90 52.6% | 1.87 53.5% | 1.83 54.6% | |
| — | 1.87 53.5% | 1.76 56.8% | |
| — | 2.35 42.6% | — | |
| — | 3.25 30.8% | — | |
| — | 2.02 49.5% | — | |
| — | 2.60 38.5% | — | |
| — | 1.83 54.6% | — | |
| — | 1.83 54.6% | — | |
| — | 1.53 65.4% | — | |
| — | 1.28 78.1% | — | |
| — | 1.70 58.8% | — | |
| — | 1.43 69.9% | — | |
| 1.81 55.3% | — | 1.80 55.6% | |
| — | — | 1.88 53.2% |
Total
| Outcome | Betcity | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 16.5 | — | 2.60 38.5% | — |
| Over 17.5 | — | 2.00 50.0% | — |
| Over 18.5 | — | 3.20 31.3% | — |
| Over 19.5 | — | 1.92 52.1% | — |
| Over 20.5 | 1.86 53.8% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.88 53.2% |
| Over 21.5 | — | 1.77 56.5% | — |
| Over 22.5 | — | 2.00 50.0% | — |
| Under 16.5 | — | 1.43 69.9% | — |
| Under 17.5 | — | 1.72 58.1% | — |
| Under 18.5 | — | 1.28 78.1% | — |
| Under 19.5 | — | 1.78 56.2% | — |
| Under 20.5 | 1.84 54.4% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.76 56.8% |
| Under 21.5 | — | 1.93 51.8% | — |
| Under 22.5 | — | 1.73 57.8% | — |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.25 44.4% | 2.34 42.7% | 9.00 11.1% | 2.15 46.5% | |
| 1.57 63.7% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.03 97.1% | 1.58 63.3% |
Isomura K
Gschwendtner J. 🇬🇧
Full head-to-head historyOki Y - Fumagalli F
Match history
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The Oki Y - Fumagalli F breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form