PropickAI PropickAI
Sign in Sign up
Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
ITF Men - Singles: M15 Xativa (Spain), clay
ITF Men - Singles: M15 Xativa (Spain), clay
30.07.2026 13:30 UTC Match prediction

Lagutin P. (World) - Mazdrashki A

Tennis ITF Men - Singles: M15 Xativa (Spain), clay
ITF Men - Singles: M15 Xativa (Spain), clay clay 30.07.2026 13:30 UTC Finished
30.07.2026 13:30 UTC Finished
L
Lagutin P. (World)
Mazdrashki A
Mazdrashki A
W
2:0
Odds
P1 1.36 68.1% BetBoom
P2 2.90 31.9% BetBoom
Coverage: clay
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
clay Coverage clay
0 H2H 0
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Lagutin P. (World) — 68%

Pure model vs market (1 · Lagutin P. (World)): model 64% · market 68% Δ −4 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Lagutin P. (World) ✓ Pick67.6%
market68%
2 · Mazdrashki A32.4%
market32%

Model estimate: win Lagutin P. (World) 67.6%, win Mazdrashki A 32.4%. Model favourite — Lagutin P. (World).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Lagutin P. (World) (odds1.21) Score 2:0 confidence 75% ✓ outcome correct · exact score
  • • Lagutin P
  • • (World) — Mazdrashki A
  • • 🇧🇴 (tennis)
  • • Lagutin P
  • • (World): forma VVVP (3-1)
  • • Mazdrashki A
  • • 🇧🇴: forma VVPPP (2-3)
  • • Model backs Lagutin P
  • • (World): probability 75% vs 83% on the line (odds 1.21)
  • • no edge over the line (-7 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lagutin P. (World) - Mazdrashki A July 30, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lagutin P. (World).

Line favourite market consensus: Lagutin P. (World). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.36 / 2 2.90
  • Glicko: Lagutin P. (World) 67.6% / Mazdrashki A 32.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.0%
1 ✓ Pick 68.1%
2 31.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Match center
Start 30.07.2026 13:30 UTC
Coverage clay
Form 6 matches
Match center

Lagutin P. (World) - Mazdrashki A

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 4/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 67.6% fact: home hit / ROI 36.0% / Brier 0.209 / LogLoss 0.391
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 52.1% fact: home hit / ROI 36.0% / Brier 0.459 / LogLoss 0.652
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Lagutin P. (World) 68.1% 67.6% market and model agree
Mazdrashki A 31.9% 32.4%
1X2: 2 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 67.6% / 32.4% probabilities
Rating 1,915 / 1,518 Lagutin P. (World) / Mazdrashki A
RD 197 / 187 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,520-2,309 / 1,144-1,891 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.90 market consensus · no value · model 32.4%
1 1.36 market consensus · no value · model 67.6%
Total
Over 20.5 1.84 market consensus · line only
Under 20.5 1.86 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Betcity
1.75 57.1%
1.97 50.8%

Total

Outcome Betcity
Over 20.5 1.84 54.4%
Under 20.5 1.86 53.8%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5%
2.90 34.5% 2.90 34.5%
Match center
Lagutin P. (World)
W W W L
26.07 06:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M25 Denia (Spain), clay
Lagutin P. (World) 2:0 Rodenas P
25.07 14:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M25 Denia (Spain), clay
Lagutin P. (World) 2:0 Lopes Montagud K. 🇪🇸
22.07 07:30 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M25 Denia (Spain), clay
Lagutin P. (World) 2:0 Ferrer M. X. 🇪🇸
30.06 09:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Troyes (France), clay
Lagutin P. (World) 1:2 Kulibali E. (Kot)
3 Wins
1 Losses
1.8 Sets won
0.5 Sets lost
75% Win percentage
Mazdrashki A
W
28.07 13:30 UTC ITF Men - Singles: M15 Xativa (Spain), clay
Mazdrashki A 2:1 Edengren K. 🇸🇪Edengren K. 🇸🇪
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage