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ITF Men - Singles: M25 Bolzano (Italy), clay
ITF Men - Singles: M25 Bolzano (Italy), clay
28.07.2026 05:00 UTC Match prediction

Carboni L - Crivellaro G

Tennis ITF Men - Singles: M25 Bolzano (Italy), clay
ITF Men - Singles: M25 Bolzano (Italy), clay clay 28.07.2026 05:00 UTC Finished
28.07.2026 05:00 UTC Finished
Carboni L
Carboni L
C
Crivellaro G
0:2
Odds
P1 1.08 86.3% BetBoom
P2 6.80 13.7% BetBoom
Coverage: clay
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
clay Coverage clay
0 H2H 0
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Carboni L — 84%

Pure model vs market (1 · Carboni L): model 64% · market 9% Δ +55 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Carboni L ✓ Pick83.7%
market9%
2 · Crivellaro G16.3%
market91%

Model estimate: win Carboni L 83.7%, win Crivellaro G 16.3%. Model favourite — Carboni L.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Carboni L - Crivellaro G July 28, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Crivellaro G.

Line favourite Fonbet: Crivellaro G. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 10.00 / 2 1.01
  • Glicko: Carboni L 83.7% / Crivellaro G 16.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 9.0%
1 ✓ Pick 9.2%
2 90.8%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Carboni L

no data

Crivellaro G
2-8LLWLLWLLLL
scored 0.5conceded 1.7

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Match center
Start 28.07.2026 05:00 UTC
Coverage clay
Form 5 matches
Match center

Carboni L - Crivellaro G

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 2/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 0:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 83.7% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.402 / LogLoss 1.816
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 54.0% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.584 / LogLoss 0.778
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Carboni L 85.9% 83.7% market and model agree
Crivellaro G 14.1% 16.3%
1X2: 2 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 83.7% / 16.3% probabilities
Rating 1,891 / 1,447 Carboni L / Crivellaro G
RD 258 / 187 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,375-2,407 / 1,072-1,821 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 16.3%
1 10.00 Fonbet · weak value +737.3% · model 83.7%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.82 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.88 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 17.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
Over 18.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Betcity Fonbet
— 1.88 53.2%
— 1.83 54.6%
— 1.88 53.2%
— 2.00 50.0%
— 2.02 49.5%
— 2.20 45.5%
2.15 46.5% —
— 1.85 54.1%
— 1.90 52.6%
— 1.03 97.1%
1.62 61.7% —
— 1.82 55.0%
— 1.87 53.5%
— 1.82 55.0%
— 1.73 57.8%
— 1.70 58.8%
— 1.58 63.3%
— 1.75 57.1%

Total

Outcome Betcity Fonbet
Over 17.5 — 1.85 54.1%
Over 18.5 1.77 56.5% 1.85 54.1%
Over 20.5 — 6.70 14.9%
Over 21.5 — 1.83 54.6%
Over 22.5 — 1.75 57.1%
Over 23.5 — 1.90 52.6%
Over 24.5 — 1.85 54.1%
Over 25.5 — 1.77 56.5%
Over 26.5 — 1.75 57.1%
Over 27.5 — 1.75 57.1%
Over 28.5 — 1.85 54.1%
Under 17.5 — 1.85 54.1%
Under 18.5 1.93 51.8% 1.85 54.1%
Under 20.5 — 1.04 96.2%
Under 21.5 — 1.87 53.5%
Under 22.5 — 1.95 51.3%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.07 93.5% 1.08 92.6% 10.00 10.0%
6.80 14.7% 6.30 15.9% 1.01 99.0%
Match center
Carboni L
W W
01.06 06:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Perugia (Italy) - Qualifying, clay
Carboni L 2:0 Sels Y. 🇳🇱
31.05 08:25 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Perugia (Italy) - Qualifying, clay
Carboni L 2:0 Tu L. 🇦🇺
2 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Crivellaro G
L L W L W
21.07 08:30 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Segrate (Italy), clay
Crivellaro G 1:2 Ghazouani Durand Y. 🇫🇷Ghazouani Durand Y. 🇫🇷
13.07 06:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Kordenons (Italy) - Qualifying, clay
Crivellaro G 0:2 Prikhodko O. (Mak)
12.07 07:30 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Kordenons (Italy) - Qualifying, clay
Crivellaro G 2:0 Basseb Sobkhi M. 🇪🇬
06.07 06:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Trieste (Italy) - Qualifying, clay
Crivellaro G 0:2 Kravchenko G. 🇺🇦Kravchenko G. 🇺🇦
05.07 06:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Trieste (Italy) - Qualifying, clay
Crivellaro G 2:1 Rubio Ferros A. (Mek)
2 Wins
3 Losses
1.0 Sets won
1.4 Sets lost
40% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyCarboni L - Crivellaro G

Carboni L
0 matches total
Crivellaro G
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history