PropickAI PropickAI
Sign in Sign up
Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
ITF Men - Singles: M25 Fano (Italy), clay
ITF Men - Singles: M25 Fano (Italy), clay
05.08.2026 08:00 UTC Match prediction

Overbeck C E - Noce G M

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis ITF Men - Singles: M25 Fano (Italy), clay
ITF Men - Singles: M25 Fano (Italy), clay clay 05.08.2026 08:00 UTC Finished
05.08.2026 08:00 UTC Finished
Overbeck C E
Overbeck C E
N
Noce G M
2:0
Odds
P1 1.15 81.0% BetBoom
P2 4.90 19.0% BetBoom
Coverage: clay
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
clay Coverage clay
0 H2H 0

Overbeck C E go head-to-head with Noce G M on August 5, 2026 in the ITF Men - Singles: M25 Fano (Italy), clay.

PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 79% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Overbeck C E — 79%

Pure model vs market (1 · Overbeck C E): model 63% · market 85% Δ −22 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Overbeck C E ✓ Pick79.2%
market85%
2 · Noce G M20.8%
market15%

Model estimate: win Overbeck C E 79.2%, win Noce G M 20.8%. Model favourite — Overbeck C E.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Overbeck C E - Noce G M August 5, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Overbeck C E.

Line favourite market consensus: Overbeck C E. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.11 / 2 6.40
  • Glicko: Overbeck C E 79.2% / Noce G M 20.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.3% 3 books · best price +2.8%
1 ✓ Pick 84.9%
2 15.1%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Match center
Start 05.08.2026 08:00 UTC
Market 1 85.2% @ 1.11 / 2 14.8% @ 6.40
Coverage clay
Form 6 matches
Match center

Overbeck C E - Noce G M

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 79.2% fact: home hit / ROI 15.0% / Brier 0.087 / LogLoss 0.234
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 53.5% fact: home hit / ROI 15.0% / Brier 0.432 / LogLoss 0.626
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Overbeck C E 80.9% 79.2% market and model agree
Noce G M 19.1% 20.8%
1X2: 2 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 79.2% / 20.8% probabilities
Rating 1,965 / 1,594 Overbeck C E / Noce G M
RD 180 / 165 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,605-2,325 / 1,264-1,925 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.97 market consensus · no value · model 20.8%
1 1.09 market consensus · no value · model 79.2%
Total
Over 18.5 1.84 market consensus · line only
Over 19.5 2.03 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Betcity Leon
1.73 57.8% 1.66 60.2%
— 1.99 50.3%
1.98 50.5% 2.01 49.8%
— 1.67 59.9%

Total

Outcome Betcity Leon
Over 18.5 — 1.84 54.4%
Over 19.5 2.03 49.3% —
Under 18.5 — 1.79 55.9%
Under 19.5 1.70 58.8% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
1.08 92.6% 1.11 90.1% 1.07 93.5%
6.40 15.6% 5.50 18.2% 6.00 16.7%
Match center
Overbeck C E
L W W W W
02.08 10:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M25 Gentofte (Denmark), clay
Overbeck C E 1:2 Nesterov P. 🇧🇴
01.08 09:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M25 Gentofte (Denmark), clay
Overbeck C E 2:0 Ivanov I. 🇧🇴Ivanov I. 🇧🇴
31.07 06:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M25 Gentofte (Denmark), clay
Overbeck C E 2:0 Eriksson Ziverts J. 🇸🇪
30.07 06:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M25 Gentofte (Denmark), clay
Overbeck C E 2:0 Kypriotis E. 🇬🇷Kypriotis E. 🇬🇷
29.07 06:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M25 Gentofte (Denmark), clay
Overbeck C E 2:0 Balducci L. 🇮🇹Balducci L. 🇮🇹
4 Wins
1 Losses
1.8 Sets won
0.4 Sets lost
80% Win percentage
Noce G M
L W L W L
01.08 07:30 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Kursumlijska Banja 11 (Serbia), clay
Noce G M 0:2 Krstic . V. 🇷🇸
31.07 05:30 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Kursumlijska Banja 11 (Serbia), clay
Noce G M 2:1 Jankanj V. 🇷🇸Jankanj V. 🇷🇸
22.07 08:30 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Kursumlijska Banja 10 (Serbia), clay
Noce G M 0:2 Delazh P. 🇫🇷
15.07 17:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Gubbio (Italy), clay
Noce G M 2:0 Mecarelli M. 🇮🇹
05.07 11:30 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Liege (Belgium) - Qualifying, clay
Noce G M 1:2 Khuan Ts. 🇹🇼
2 Wins
3 Losses
1.0 Sets won
1.4 Sets lost
40% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyOverbeck C E - Noce G M

Overbeck C E
0 matches total
Noce G M
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history