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ITF Men - Singles: M25 Fano (Italy), clay

05.08.2026 08:00 UTC Match prediction

Overbeck C. E. 🇩🇰 - Noce G M

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction

Tennis ITF Men - Singles: M25 Fano (Italy), clay

ITF Men - Singles: M25 Fano (Italy), clay clay 05.08.2026 08:00 UTC Finished

05.08.2026 08:00 UTC Finished

Overbeck C. E. 🇩🇰

Noce G M

2:0

Odds

P1 1.15 81.0% BetBoom

P2 4.90 19.0% BetBoom

Coverage: clay

Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -

- Rating -

- Age -

- Height (cm) -

- Weight (kg) -

- Hand -

- Seed -

clay Coverage clay

0 H2H 0

Overbeck C. E. 🇩🇰 face Noce G M on August 5, 2026 in the ITF Men - Singles: M25 Fano (Italy), clay.

PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 79% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Overbeck C. E. 🇩🇰 — 79%

Pure model vs market (1 · Overbeck C. E. 🇩🇰): model 63% · market 85% Δ −22 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Overbeck C. E. 🇩🇰 ✓ Pick79.2%

market85%

2 · Noce G M20.8%

market15%

Model estimate: win Overbeck C. E. 🇩🇰 79.2%, win Noce G M 20.8%. Model favourite — Overbeck C. E. 🇩🇰.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Overbeck C. E. 🇩🇰 - Noce G M August 5, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Overbeck C. E. 🇩🇰.

Line favourite market consensus: Overbeck C. E. 🇩🇰. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.11 / 2 6.40
Glicko: Overbeck C. E. 🇩🇰 79.2% / Noce G M 20.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 8.3% 3 books · best price +2.8%

1 ✓ Pick 84.9%

2 15.1%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Match center

Start 05.08.2026 08:00 UTC

Market 1 85.2% @ 1.11 / 2 14.8% @ 6.40

Coverage clay

Form 6 matches

Match center

Overbeck C. E. 🇩🇰 - Noce G M

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 2 model / bookmakers

Flashscore match data source checked

Odds match data source checked

Line depth match data source checked

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants Line Overview

More needed

H2H Championat, Flashscore

Tournament Championat, Flashscore

Movement Line history

Post-match / PropickAI database

Score 2:0

Events 0

Statistics 0

PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating

Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 79.2% fact: home hit / ROI 15.0% / Brier 0.087 / LogLoss 0.234

Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 53.5% fact: home hit / ROI 15.0% / Brier 0.432 / LogLoss 0.626

Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Overbeck C. E. 🇩🇰 80.9% 79.2% market and model agree

Noce G M 19.1% 20.8%

1X2: 2 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model

P1 / P2 79.2% / 20.8% probabilities

Rating 1,965 / 1,594 Overbeck C. E. 🇩🇰 / Noce G M

RD 180 / 165 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,605-2,325 / 1,264-1,925 strength interval

HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 5.97 market consensus · no value · model 20.8%

1 1.09 market consensus · no value · model 79.2%

Total

Over 18.5 1.84 market consensus · line only

Over 19.5 2.03 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome	Betcity	Leon
	1.73 57.8%	1.66 60.2%
	—	1.99 50.3%
	1.98 50.5%	2.01 49.8%
	—	1.67 59.9%

Total

Outcome	Betcity	Leon
Over 18.5	—	1.84 54.4%
Over 19.5	2.03 49.3%	—
Under 18.5	—	1.79 55.9%
Under 19.5	1.70 58.8%	—

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Leon
	1.08 92.6%	1.11 90.1%	1.07 93.5%
	6.40 15.6%	5.50 18.2%	6.00 16.7%

Match center

Overbeck C. E. 🇩🇰

L W W W W

02.08 10:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M25 Gentofte (Denmark), clay

Overbeck C. E. 🇩🇰 1:2 Nesterov P. 🇧🇴

01.08 09:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M25 Gentofte (Denmark), clay

Overbeck C. E. 🇩🇰 2:0 Ivanov I. 🇧🇴

31.07 06:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M25 Gentofte (Denmark), clay

Overbeck C. E. 🇩🇰 2:0 Eriksson Ziverts J. 🇸🇪

30.07 06:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M25 Gentofte (Denmark), clay

Overbeck C. E. 🇩🇰 2:0 Kypriotis E. 🇬🇷

29.07 06:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M25 Gentofte (Denmark), clay

Overbeck C. E. 🇩🇰 2:0 Balducci L. 🇮🇹

4 Wins

1 Losses

1.8 Sets won

0.4 Sets lost

80% Win percentage

Noce G M

L W L W L

01.08 07:30 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Kursumlijska Banja 11 (Serbia), clay

Noce G M 0:2 Krstic . V. 🇷🇸

31.07 05:30 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Kursumlijska Banja 11 (Serbia), clay

Noce G M 2:1 Jankanj V. 🇷🇸

22.07 08:30 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Kursumlijska Banja 10 (Serbia), clay

Noce G M 0:2 Delazh P. 🇫🇷

15.07 17:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Gubbio (Italy), clay

Noce G M 2:0 Mecarelli M. 🇮🇹

05.07 11:30 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Liege (Belgium) - Qualifying, clay

Noce G M 1:2 Khuan Ts. 🇹🇼

2 Wins

3 Losses

1.0 Sets won

1.4 Sets lost

40% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historyOverbeck C. E. 🇩🇰 - Noce G M

Overbeck C. E. 🇩🇰

0 matches total

Noce G M

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overbeck C. E. 🇩🇰 - Noce G M

About the athletes

AI match prediction Overbeck C. E. 🇩🇰 - Noce G M August 5, 2026

Fair probability (no margin)

Overbeck C. E. 🇩🇰 - Noce G M

Match markets

Handicap

Total

Outcome (1X2)

Match history