PropickAI PropickAI
Sign in Sign up
Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
ITF Women - Singles: W15 Astana 3 (Kazakhstan), hard
ITF Women - Singles: W15 Astana 3 (Kazakhstan), hard
28.07.2026 06:00 UTC Match prediction

Mikhailova Maria (2002) - Kenzhibaeva S. πŸ‡°πŸ‡Ώ

Tennis ITF Women - Singles: W15 Astana 3 (Kazakhstan), hard
ITF Women - Singles: W15 Astana 3 (Kazakhstan), hard hard 28.07.2026 06:00 UTC Finished
28.07.2026 06:00 UTC Finished
M
Mikhailova Maria (2002)
K
Kenzhibaeva S. πŸ‡°πŸ‡Ώ
1:2
Odds
P1 5.00 18.7% BetBoom
P2 1.15 81.3% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model Β· comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Kenzhibaeva S. πŸ‡°πŸ‡Ώ β€” 77%

Pure model vs market (2 Β· Kenzhibaeva S. πŸ‡°πŸ‡Ώ): model 45% Β· market 92% Ξ” βˆ’47 pp model estimates below the market

1 Β· Mikhailova Maria (2002)23.2%
market8%
2 Β· Kenzhibaeva S. πŸ‡°πŸ‡Ώ ✓ Pick76.8%
market92%

Model estimate: win Mikhailova Maria (2002) 23.2%, win Kenzhibaeva S. πŸ‡°πŸ‡Ώ 76.8%. Model favourite β€” Kenzhibaeva S. πŸ‡°πŸ‡Ώ.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Mikhailova Maria (2002) - Kenzhibaeva S. πŸ‡°πŸ‡Ώ July 28, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Kenzhibaeva S. πŸ‡°πŸ‡Ώ.

Line favourite Fonbet: Kenzhibaeva S. πŸ‡°πŸ‡Ώ. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 11.00 / 2 1.01
  • Glicko: Mikhailova Maria (2002) 23.2% / Kenzhibaeva S. πŸ‡°πŸ‡Ώ 76.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin β€” for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.1%
1 8.4%
2 ✓ Pick 91.6%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds β€” reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Match center
Start 28.07.2026 06:00 UTC
Coverage hard
Form 3 matches
Match center

Mikhailova Maria (2002) - Kenzhibaeva S. πŸ‡°πŸ‡Ώ

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 3/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 1:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 76.8% fact: away hit / ROI 15.0% / Brier 0.108 / LogLoss 0.264
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 53.2% fact: away hit / ROI 15.0% / Brier 0.438 / LogLoss 0.631
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Mikhailova Maria (2002) 19.7% 23.2%
Kenzhibaeva S. πŸ‡°πŸ‡Ώ 80.3% 76.8% market and model agree
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 23.2% / 76.8% probabilities
Rating 1,500 / 1,418 Mikhailova Maria (2002) / Kenzhibaeva S. πŸ‡°πŸ‡Ώ
RD 350 / 220 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 979-1,857 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.01 Fonbet Β· no value Β· model 76.8%
1 4.73 market consensus Β· no value Β· model 23.2%
Total
Over 18.5 1.80 Fonbet Β· line only
Over 19.5 1.80 Fonbet Β· line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Betcity Fonbet Leon
— 2.00 50.0% —
— 2.15 46.5% —
— 2.50 40.0% —
1.90 52.6% 2.02 49.5% 1.88 53.2%
— 1.70 58.8% —
— 1.72 58.1% —
— 1.63 61.4% —
— 1.47 68.0% —
— 1.70 58.8% —
— 2.02 49.5% —
1.81 55.3% — 1.76 56.8%

Total

Outcome Betcity Fonbet
Over 18.5 — 1.80 55.6%
Over 19.5 1.97 50.8% 1.80 55.6%
Over 20.5 — 1.90 52.6%
Over 21.5 — 1.82 55.0%
Over 22.5 — 1.88 53.2%
Over 23.5 — 1.85 54.1%
Over 25.5 — 1.88 53.2%
Over 27.5 — 1.70 58.8%
Over 28.5 — 2.02 49.5%
Over 29.5 — 2.50 40.0%
Over 30.5 — 2.10 47.6%
Under 18.5 — 1.90 52.6%
Under 19.5 1.74 57.5% 1.90 52.6%
Under 20.5 — 1.80 55.6%
Under 21.5 — 1.88 53.2%
Under 22.5 — 1.82 55.0%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
4.70 21.3% 5.00 20.0% 11.00 9.1% 4.49 22.3%
1.15 87.0% 1.14 87.7% 1.01 99.0% 1.14 87.7%
Match center
Mikhailova Maria (2002)
L W L
16.07 03:15 UTC+0 ITF Women - Singles: W15 Astana 2 (Kazakhstan), hard
Mikhailova Maria (2002) 1:2 Tupitsyna E. (World)Tupitsyna E. (World)
15.07 04:00 UTC+0 ITF Women - Singles: W15 Astana 2 (Kazakhstan), hard
Mikhailova Maria (2002) 2:1 Sozaonova N. (World)
08.07 06:30 UTC+0 ITF Women - Singles: W15 Astana (Kazakhstan), hard
Mikhailova Maria (2002) 1:2 Yodpetch K. πŸ‡ΉπŸ‡­
1 Wins
2 Losses
1.3 Sets won
1.7 Sets lost
33% Win percentage
Kenzhibaeva S. πŸ‡°πŸ‡Ώ
L W L
16.07 03:15 UTC+0 ITF Women - Singles: W15 Astana 2 (Kazakhstan), hard
Kenzhibaeva S. πŸ‡°πŸ‡Ώ 1:2 Tupitsyna E. (World)Tupitsyna E. (World)
15.07 04:00 UTC+0 ITF Women - Singles: W15 Astana 2 (Kazakhstan), hard
Kenzhibaeva S. πŸ‡°πŸ‡Ώ 2:1 Sozaonova N. (World)
08.07 06:30 UTC+0 ITF Women - Singles: W15 Astana (Kazakhstan), hard
Kenzhibaeva S. πŸ‡°πŸ‡Ώ 1:2 Yodpetch K. πŸ‡ΉπŸ‡­
1 Wins
2 Losses
1.3 Sets won
1.7 Sets lost
33% Win percentage