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ITF Women - Singles: W15 Hameenlinna (Finland), clay
ITF Women - Singles: W15 Hameenlinna (Finland), clay
05.08.2026 07:00 UTC Match prediction

Korhonen C - Gailis R

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis ITF Women - Singles: W15 Hameenlinna (Finland), clay
ITF Women - Singles: W15 Hameenlinna (Finland), clay clay 05.08.2026 07:00 UTC Finished
05.08.2026 07:00 UTC Finished
K
Korhonen C
G
Gailis R
0:2 2:6 5:7
1 2 GP
Korhonen C 2 5 0
Gailis R 6 7 2
1 2
Odds
P1 7.40 12.5% BetBoom
P2 1.06 87.5% BetBoom
Coverage: clay
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
clay Coverage clay
0 H2H 0

Korhonen C take on Gailis R on August 5, 2026 in the ITF Women - Singles: W15 Hameenlinna (Finland), clay.

PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 16% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Gailis R — 84%

Pure model vs market (2 · Gailis R): model 56% · market 88% Δ −32 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Korhonen C15.8%
market13%
2 · Gailis R ✓ Pick84.2%
market88%

Model estimate: win Korhonen C 15.8%, win Gailis R 84.2%. Model favourite — Gailis R.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Korhonen C - Gailis R August 5, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Gailis R.

Line favourite Fonbet: Gailis R. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 11.00 / 2 1.01
  • Glicko: Korhonen C 15.8% / Gailis R 84.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2% 4 books
1 12.5%
2 ✓ Pick 87.5%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Match center
Start 05.08.2026 07:00 UTC
Market 1 8.4% @ 11.00 / 2 91.6% @ 1.01
Coverage clay
Form 6 matches
Match center

Korhonen C - Gailis R

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 3/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 0:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
Set Korhonen C Gailis R Result
Set 1 2 6 2:6
Set 2 5 7 5:7
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 84.2% fact: away hit / ROI 6.0% / Brier 0.050 / LogLoss 0.172
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 54.1% fact: away hit / ROI 6.0% / Brier 0.421 / LogLoss 0.614
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Korhonen C 12.7% 15.8%
Gailis R 87.3% 84.2% market and model agree
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 15.8% / 84.2% probabilities
Rating 1,303 / 1,561 Korhonen C / Gailis R
RD 213 / 216 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 877-1,728 / 1,130-1,993 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 84.2%
1 7.30 market consensus · no value · model 15.8%
Total
Over 17.5 1.84 market consensus · line only
Under 17.5 1.83 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Betcity Leon
— 2.06 48.5%
1.70 58.8% 1.67 59.9%
— 1.63 61.4%
2.02 49.5% 1.99 50.3%

Total

Outcome Betcity Leon
Over 17.5 1.85 54.1% 1.83 54.6%
Under 17.5 1.85 54.1% 1.80 55.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
7.30 13.7% 7.20 13.9% 11.00 9.1% 7.40 13.5%
1.06 94.3% 1.06 94.3% 1.01 99.0% 1.04 96.2%
Match center
Korhonen C
L L W
29.07 05:00 UTC+0 ITF Women - Singles: W15 Savitaipale (Finland), clay
Korhonen C 0:2 Grammatikopulu V. 🇬🇷Grammatikopulu V. 🇬🇷
02.07 05:00 UTC+0 ITF Women - Singles: W15 Mogyorod (Hungary), clay
Korhonen C 0:2 Mettro M. 🇨🇭
01.07 05:00 UTC+0 ITF Women - Singles: W15 Mogyorod (Hungary), clay
Korhonen C 2:1 Molnar K. 🇭🇺
1 Wins
2 Losses
0.7 Sets won
1.7 Sets lost
33% Win percentage
Gailis R
L W W
28.07 08:00 UTC+0 Challenger Women - Singles: Targu Mures (Romania), clay
Gailis R 0:2 Chirich Bagarich L. 🇭🇷
15.07 16:50 UTC+0 ITF Women - Singles: W35 Dallas, TX 🇺🇸, hard
Gailis R 2:0 Nguen A. 🇺🇸
09.06 19:30 UTC+0 ITF Women - Singles: W15 Los Angeles, CA 🇺🇸, hard
Gailis R 2:1 Giribalan K. 🇺🇸
2 Wins
1 Losses
1.3 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
67% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyKorhonen C - Gailis R

Korhonen C
0 matches total
Gailis R
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history