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ITF Women - Singles: W35 Southaven, MS ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ, hard
ITF Women - Singles: W35 Southaven, MS ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ, hard
05.08.2026 18:45 UTC Match prediction

Pliskova K - Vergara Rivera A

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis ITF Women - Singles: W35 Southaven, MS ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ, hard
ITF Women - Singles: W35 Southaven, MS ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ, hard hard 05.08.2026 18:45 UTC Finished
05.08.2026 18:45 UTC Finished
P
Pliskova K
V
Vergara Rivera A
2:0
Odds
P1 1.20 79.0% BetBoom
P2 4.50 21.1% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0

Pliskova K take on Vergara Rivera A on August 5, 2026 in the ITF Women - Singles: W35 Southaven, MS ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ, hard.

PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 75% to win. Full analysis โ€” form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction โ€” follows on this page.

๐ŸŽฏ PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model ยท comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Pliskova K โ€” 75%

Pure model vs market (1 ยท Pliskova K): model 44% ยท market 78% ฮ” โˆ’34 pp model estimates below the market

1 ยท Pliskova K ✓ Pick74.7%
market78%
2 ยท Vergara Rivera A25.3%
market22%

Model estimate: win Pliskova K 74.7%, win Vergara Rivera A 25.3%. Model favourite โ€” Pliskova K.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Pliskova K - Vergara Rivera A August 5, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Pliskova K.

Line favourite market consensus: Pliskova K. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.20 / 2 4.50
  • Glicko: Pliskova K 74.7% / Vergara Rivera A 25.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin โ€” for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.0% 2 books ยท best price +1.3%
1 ✓ Pick 78.1%
2 21.9%

Odds source: consensus of 2 books (Baltbet, Betcity). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds โ€” reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Match center
Start 05.08.2026 18:45 UTC
Market 1 78.9% @ 1.20 / 2 21.1% @ 4.50
Coverage hard
Form 6 matches
Match center

Pliskova K - Vergara Rivera A

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 74.7% fact: home hit / ROI 20.0% / Brier 0.128 / LogLoss 0.291
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 53.0% fact: home hit / ROI 20.0% / Brier 0.442 / LogLoss 0.636
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Pliskova K 78.1% 74.7% market and model agree
Vergara Rivera A 21.9% 25.3%
1X2: 2 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 74.7% / 25.3% probabilities
Rating 1,302 / 1,557 Pliskova K / Vergara Rivera A
RD 181 / 174 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 939-1,665 / 1,210-1,905 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.25 market consensus ยท no value ยท model 25.3%
1 1.19 market consensus ยท no value ยท model 74.7%
Total
Over 19.5 1.90 market consensus ยท line only
Under 19.5 1.79 market consensus ยท line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Betcity
1.97 50.8%
1.74 57.5%

Total

Outcome Betcity
Over 19.5 1.90 52.6%
Under 19.5 1.79 55.9%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
1.20 83.3% 1.17 85.5%
4.00 25.0% 4.50 22.2%
Match center
Pliskova K
L L L W L
30.07 12:00 UTC+0 ITF Women - Singles: W35 Florence, SC ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ, hard
Pliskova K 0:2 Chan Dzh. ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
22.07 21:00 UTC+0 ITF Women - Singles: W35 Santa Fe ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ, hard
Pliskova K 0:2 Kulikova A. ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ฎKulikova A. ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ฎ
15.07 11:00 UTC+0 Challenger Women - Singles: Istanbul 2 (Turkey), hard
Pliskova K 1:2 Faley A. (World)Faley A. (World)
13.07 09:30 UTC+0 Challenger Women - Singles: Istanbul 2 (Turkey), hard
Pliskova K 2:1 Tkhandi K. K. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณTkhandi K. K. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ
08.06 15:00 UTC+0 ITF Women - Singles: W15 Lakewood, CA 2 ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ, hard
Pliskova K 1:2 Crossley M. ๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต
1 Wins
4 Losses
0.8 Sets won
1.8 Sets lost
20% Win percentage
Vergara Rivera A
L L W L L
30.07 14:20 UTC+0 World Tennis. Women. USA
Vergara Rivera A 0:2 Krossli M
30.07 12:00 UTC+0 ITF Women - Singles: W35 Florence, SC ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ, hard
Vergara Rivera A 0:2 Crossley M. ๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต
28.07 15:30 UTC+0 World Tennis. Women. USA
Vergara Rivera A 2:0 Vidzhayakumar T
23.07 18:30 UTC+0 World Tennis. Women. USA
Vergara Rivera A 0:2 Makhendran K
23.07 16:30 UTC+0 ITF Women - Singles: W35 Santa Fe ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ, hard
Vergara Rivera A 0:2 Makhendran K
1 Wins
4 Losses
0.4 Sets won
1.6 Sets lost
20% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyPliskova K - Vergara Rivera A

Pliskova K
0 matches total
Vergara Rivera A
Biggest win โ€” largest score margin
Highest-scoring match โ€” most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw โ€” draw with the most goals

Match history