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ITF Women - Singles: W50 Knokke-Heist (Belgium), clay
ITF Women - Singles: W50 Knokke-Heist (Belgium), clay
28.07.2026 08:00 UTC Match prediction

Martinez Vaquero M - Van Emst S

Tennis ITF Women - Singles: W50 Knokke-Heist (Belgium), clay
ITF Women - Singles: W50 Knokke-Heist (Belgium), clay clay 28.07.2026 08:00 UTC Finished
28.07.2026 08:00 UTC Finished
Martinez Vaquero M
Martinez Vaquero M
V
Van Emst S
0:2
Odds
P1 2.50 39.3% BetBoom
P2 1.62 60.7% BetBoom
Coverage: clay
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
clay Coverage clay
0 H2H 0
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Van Emst S — 58%

Pure model vs market (2 · Van Emst S): model 37% · market 89% Δ −52 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Martinez Vaquero M42.3%
2 · Van Emst S57.7%

Model estimate: win Martinez Vaquero M 42.3%, win Van Emst S 57.7%. Model favourite — Van Emst S.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Martinez Vaquero M (odds1.82) Score 2:1 confidence 52% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Martinez Vaquero M
  • • 🇪🇸 — Van Emst S
  • • 🇳🇱 (tennis)
  • • Martinez Vaquero M
  • • 🇪🇸: forma PPVVV (3-2)
  • • Van Emst S
  • • 🇳🇱: forma pp (0-2)
  • • Model backs Martinez Vaquero M
  • • 🇪🇸: probability 52% vs 55% on the line (odds 1.82)
  • • no edge over the line (-3 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Martinez Vaquero M - Van Emst S July 28, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Van Emst S.

Line favourite Fonbet: Van Emst S. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 8.00 / 2 1.02
  • Glicko: Martinez Vaquero M 42.3% / Van Emst S 57.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 10.5%
1 11.3%
2 88.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Martinez Vaquero M
3-7LWLLLLLWLW
scored 0.8conceded 1.6
Van Emst S

no data

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Match center
Start 28.07.2026 08:00 UTC
Coverage clay
Form 5 matches
Match center

Martinez Vaquero M - Van Emst S

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 0:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 57.7% fact: away hit / ROI 62.0% / Brier 0.358 / LogLoss 0.550
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 50.9% fact: away hit / ROI 62.0% / Brier 0.482 / LogLoss 0.675
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Martinez Vaquero M 40.0% 42.3%
Van Emst S 60.0% 57.7% market and model agree
1X2: 2 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 42.3% / 57.7% probabilities
Rating 1,623 / 1,215 Martinez Vaquero M / Van Emst S
RD 183 / 248 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,257-1,989 / 719-1,711 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.02 Fonbet · no value · model 57.7%
1 8.00 Fonbet · no value · model 42.3%
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.02 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.53 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 2.35 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 19.5 1.60 Fonbet · line only
Over 20.5 9.50 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.85 54.1% 1.95 51.3% —
1.76 56.8% 1.78 56.2% —
— — 1.70 58.8%
— — 1.95 51.3%
— — 1.53 65.4%
— — 1.03 97.1%
— — 1.04 96.2%
— — 1.01 99.0%
— — 2.30 43.5%
— — 2.02 49.5%
— — 1.75 57.1%
1.85 54.1% 1.76 56.8% 1.63 61.4%
1.95 51.3% 1.93 51.8% —

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 19.5 — — 1.60 62.5%
Over 20.5 1.80 55.6% 1.86 53.8% 9.50 10.5%
Over 21.5 — — 1.80 55.6%
Over 22.5 — — 10.00 10.0%
Over 23.5 — — 4.50 22.2%
Over 24.5 — — 1.58 63.3%
Over 25.5 — — 1.73 57.8%
Over 26.5 — — 2.25 44.4%
Over 27.5 — — 1.83 54.6%
Over 28.5 — — 2.25 44.4%
Under 19.5 — — 2.20 45.5%
Under 20.5 1.90 52.6% 1.84 54.4% 1.01 99.0%
Under 21.5 — — 1.90 52.6%
Under 22.5 — — 1.02 98.0%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
2.15 46.5% 2.50 40.0% 8.00 12.5%
1.62 61.7% 1.47 68.0% 1.02 98.0%
Match center
Martinez Vaquero M
L L W W W
21.07 13:00 UTC+0 ITF Women - Singles: W50 Horb (Germany), clay
Martinez Vaquero M 0:2 Giza L. 🇩🇪
17.07 10:00 UTC+0 ITF Women - Singles: W75 Vitoria Gasteiz (Spain), hard
Martinez Vaquero M 1:2 Savinykh V. (World)
16.07 11:00 UTC+0 ITF Women - Singles: W75 Vitoria Gasteiz (Spain), hard
Martinez Vaquero M 2:0 Visskher S. Dzh. 🇳🇱
15.07 05:30 UTC+0 ITF Women - Singles: W75 Vitoria Gasteiz (Spain), hard
Martinez Vaquero M 2:0 Berekoechea N. 🇫🇷
14.06 10:00 UTC+0 Challenger Women - Singles: Figueira Da Foz (Portugal) - Qualifying, hard
Martinez Vaquero M 2:1 Mitsich E. 🇦🇺Mitsich E. 🇦🇺
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.4 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Van Emst S
L L
08.07 06:00 UTC+0 ITF Women - Singles: W75 The Hague (Netherlands), clay
Van Emst S 0:2 Rus A. 🇳🇱Rus A. 🇳🇱
01.07 07:30 UTC+0 ITF Women - Singles: W35 Amstelveen (Netherlands), clay
Van Emst S 0:2 Voracek E. M. 🇩🇪
0 Wins
2 Losses
0.0 Sets won
2.0 Sets lost
0% Win percentage