Kolar Z / Vocel M face Opitz J / Van Sambeek F on August 5, 2026 in the Khagen. Pary, International.
PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 74% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1Kolar Z / Vocel M — 74%
Pure model vs market (1 · Kolar Z / Vocel M): model 52% · market 77%Δ −25 ppmodel estimates below the market
74%1
1 · Kolar Z / Vocel M ✓ Pick74.1%
market77%
2 · Opitz J / Van Sambeek F25.9%
market23%
Model estimate: win Kolar Z / Vocel M 74.1%, win Opitz J / Van Sambeek F 25.9%. Model favourite — Kolar Z / Vocel M.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
🤖AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
1Kolar Z / Vocel M (odds1.23)Score 2:1confidence 52%✓ outcome correct
•Model backs Kolarzh Z / Votsel M: probability 52% vs 81% on the line (odds 1.23)
•no edge over the line (-29 pp) — informational only.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
*
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Kolar Z / Vocel M - Opitz J / Van Sambeek F August 5, 2026
Tennis math model
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Kolar Z / Vocel M.
Line favourite Fonbet: Kolar Z / Vocel M. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.03 / 2 9.00
Glicko: Kolar Z / Vocel M 74.1% / Opitz J / Van Sambeek F 25.9%
%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner
bookmaker margin 8.0%
3 books · best price +4.1%
1 ✓ Pick76.6%
223.5%
Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
⇅
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 11.23↓ 1.16
Winner 23.60↑ 4.30
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Match center
Start05.08.2026 14:20 UTC
Market1 89.7% @ 1.03 / 2 10.3% @ 9.00
Match center
Kolar Z / Vocel M - Opitz J / Van Sambeek F
Form2/0
recent games
H2H0
head-to-head matches
Market2
model / bookmakers
Flashscorematch data
source checked
Oddsmatch data
source checked
Bookiesapimatch data
source checked
Line depthmatch data
source checked
Present in data
MarketMatchParticipantsLineMovement
More needed
FormChampionat, Flashscore
H2HChampionat, Flashscore
TournamentChampionat, Flashscore
OverviewChampionat
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score2:0
Events0
Statistics0
SetKolar Z / Vocel MOpitz J / Van Sambeek FResult
Set 1646:4
Set 2646:4
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
OptionSignalPrediction / actualRating
Glicko-2: base favouriteAudit
tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed
Data: line, form
home - 74.1% fact: home
hit / ROI 26.0% / Brier 0.134 / LogLoss 0.299
Glicko-2: calibrated favouriteAudit
tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed
Data: line, form
home - 52.9% fact: home
hit / ROI 26.0% / Brier 0.444 / LogLoss 0.637
Market and Glicko
Tennis math model.
Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
OutcomeLineGlickoSignal
Kolar Z / Vocel M76.6%74.1%market and model agree
Opitz J / Van Sambeek F23.5%25.9%
1X2: 3 Bookies
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Tennis math model
P1 / P274.1% / 25.9%
probabilities
Rating1,500 / 1,500
Kolarzh Z / Votsel M / Opitz J / Van Sambeek F
Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
Betting snapshot
1X2
29.00
Fonbet · no value · model 25.9%
11.03
Fonbet · no value · model 74.1%
Total
Over 19.51.33
Fonbet · line only
Over 20.56.20
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
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