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Lexington, USA
Lexington, USA
06.08.2026 22:30 UTC Match prediction

Dzhonson S. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ - Hara Friend J D

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis Lexington, USA
Lexington, USA hard 06.08.2026 22:30 UTC Finished
06.08.2026 22:30 UTC Finished
Dzhonson S. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ
Dzhonson S. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ
W
H
Hara Friend J D
W
2:0
Coverage: hard
Preview

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0
Odds
P1 1.79 52.3% BetBoom
P2 1.96 47.7% BetBoom

Dzhonson S. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ take on Hara Friend J D on August 6, 2026 in the Lexington, USA.

Recent form (W-D-L): Dzhonson S. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ 1-0-0, Hara Friend J D 1-0-0. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 53% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Dzhonson S. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ β€” 53%

Pure model vs market (1 Β· Dzhonson S. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ): model 60% Β· market 52% Ξ” +8 pp model estimates above the market

1 Β· Dzhonson S. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ52.8%
2 Β· Hara Friend J D47.2%

Model estimate: win Dzhonson S. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ 52.8%, win Hara Friend J D 47.2%. Model favourite β€” Dzhonson S. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Dzhonson S. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ (odds2.11) Score 2:1 confidence 60% βœ“ outcome correct
  • • Dzhonson S
  • • πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ β€” Hara Friend J
  • • D
  • • πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ (tennis)
  • • Dzhonson S
  • • πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ: forma VVPPV (3-2)
  • • Hara Friend J
  • • D
  • • πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅: forma VPVVV (4-1)
  • • Model backs Dzhonson S
  • • πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ: probability 60% vs 47% on the line (odds 2.11)
  • • edge over the line +13 pp β€” value pick.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Dzhonson S. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ - Hara Friend J D August 6, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Dzhonson S. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ.

Line favourite market consensus: Dzhonson S. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.79 / 2 1.96
  • Glicko: Dzhonson S. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ 52.8% / Hara Friend J D 47.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin β€” for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.0% 3 books
1 52.0%
2 48.0%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds β€” reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Dzhonson S. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ
52%
1.79
Hara Friend J D
48%
1.96
Handicap
Dzhonson S. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ (-1.5)
50%
1.95
Hara Friend J D (-1.5)
50%
1.96
Total
Over 22.5
52%
1.81
Under 22.5
48%
1.99

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Head-to-head

0Wins1
1.0Average score2.0

Head-to-head matches: 1 Β· average total 3.0 (goals)

Team form

Dzhonson S. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ
7-3WLWWWLLWWW
scored 1.6conceded 0.8
Hara Friend J D
6-4LLLWWWWWLW
scored 1.3conceded 1.1

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics β€” for reference.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:2/7 ready Β· Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated06.08.2026 11:23 UTC
1 65% ✓ favourite
2 35%
Score2:0 Total games: Under 22.5 Bet:1 and Correct score 2:0
Per AI data H2H: 0-0
Claude updated06.08.2026 11:28 UTC
1 56% ✓ favourite
2 44%
Score2:1 Total games: Over 21.5 Bet:Over 21.5 games

AI consensus:1

AI 1 2 Score Total games Bet
Google AI 65% 35% 2:0 Under 22.5
Claude 56% 44% 2:1 Over 21.5 Over 21.5 games
Match center
Start 06.08.2026 22:30 UTC
Market 1 52.3% @ 1.79 / 2 47.7% @ 1.96
Coverage hard
Form 6 matches
πŸ₯Š Humans vs Machines
πŸ€– 7 AI models Dzhonson S. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ 61%
πŸ“ Math model Dzhonson S. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ 53%
πŸ’Ή Market Dzhonson S. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ 52%
Every pick locked before kickoff Β· public log
Match center

Dzhonson S. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ - Hara Friend J D

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 52.8% fact: home hit / ROI 79.0% / Brier 0.445 / LogLoss 0.638
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 50.3% fact: home hit / ROI 79.0% / Brier 0.493 / LogLoss 0.686
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Dzhonson S. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ 52.0% 52.8% market and model agree
Hara Friend J D 48.0% 47.2%
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 52.8% / 47.2% probabilities
Rating 1,863 / 1,649 Dzhonson S. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ / Hara Friend J D
RD 147 / 136 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,570-2,156 / 1,377-1,921 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.94 market consensus Β· no value Β· model 47.2%
1 1.78 market consensus Β· no value Β· model 52.8%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.81 market consensus Β· line only
2 +0.5 1.87 market consensus Β· line only
1 -0.5 1.86 market consensus Β· line only
1 +0.5 1.91 market consensus Β· line only
Total
Over 22.5 1.78 market consensus Β· line only
Over 23.5 1.97 market consensus Β· line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
1.91 52.4% — —
1.81 55.3% 1.75 57.1% —
1.83 54.6% 1.83 54.6% —
1.86 53.8% — 1.86 53.8%
1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3% —
1.86 53.8% — 1.87 53.5%
1.81 55.3% 1.76 56.8% —
1.81 55.3% — —
1.91 52.4% 1.96 51.0% —
1.89 52.9% 1.87 53.5% —

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
Over 22.5 1.81 55.3% 1.75 57.1% 1.77 56.5%
Over 23.5 1.97 50.8% — —
Under 22.5 1.91 52.4% 1.97 50.8% 1.99 50.3%
Under 23.5 1.76 56.8% — —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
1.79 55.9% 1.75 57.1% 1.79 55.9%
1.94 51.6% 1.96 51.0% 1.92 52.1%
Match center
Dzhonson S. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ
W
04.08 19:15 UTC Challenger Men - Singles: Leksington πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ, hard
Dzhonson S. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ 2:0 Echargi M. (Tun)
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Hara Friend J D
W
04.08 19:00 UTC Challenger Men - Singles: Leksington πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ, hard
Hara Friend J D 2:1 Smit K. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΈSmit K. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage