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Challenger Men - Singles: Leksington πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ, hard
Challenger Men - Singles: Leksington πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ, hard
04.08.2026 15:00 UTC Match prediction

McCabe J - Lajovic D

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis Challenger Men - Singles: Leksington πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ, hard
Challenger Men - Singles: Leksington πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ, hard hard 04.08.2026 15:00 UTC Finished
04.08.2026 15:00 UTC Finished
McCabe J
McCabe J
L L L W L
Lajovic D
Lajovic D
L L L L W
1:2 3:6 7:6 3:6
1 2 3 GP
McCabe J 3 7 3 1
Lajovic D 6 6 6 2
1 2 3
Coverage: hard
Preview

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0
Odds
P1 2.00 51.0% BetBoom
P2 2.08 49.0% BetBoom

McCabe J face Lajovic D on August 4, 2026 in the Challenger Men - Singles: Leksington πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ, hard.

Recent form (W-D-L): McCabe J 1-0-4, Lajovic D 1-1-3. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 52% to win. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 McCabe J β€” 52%

Pure model vs market (1 Β· McCabe J): model 59% Β· market 51% Ξ” +8 pp model estimates above the market

1 Β· McCabe J51.6%
2 Β· Lajovic D48.4%

Model estimate: win McCabe J 51.6%, win Lajovic D 48.4%. Model favourite β€” McCabe J.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1McCabe J (odds2.40) Score 2:1 confidence 59% βœ— outcome missed
  • • Makkeyb Dzh
  • • πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ί β€” Layovich D
  • • πŸ‡·πŸ‡Έ (tennis)
  • • Makkeyb Dzh
  • • πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ί: forma PPVPP (1-4)
  • • Layovich D
  • • πŸ‡·πŸ‡Έ: forma PPPPP (0-5)
  • • Model backs Makkeyb Dzh
  • • πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ί: probability 59% vs 42% on the line (odds 2.40)
  • • edge over the line +17 pp β€” value pick.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction McCabe J - Lajovic D August 4, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lajovic D.

Line favourite Fonbet: Lajovic D. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.00 / 2 1.77
  • Glicko: McCabe J 51.6% / Lajovic D 48.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin β€” for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.6% 4 books Β· best price +8.4%
1 50.7%
2 49.3%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds β€” reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line β€” for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 2.40 ↓ 2.00
Winner 2 1.50 ↑ 1.77

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
McCabe J
51%
2.00
Lajovic D
49%
2.08
Handicap
McCabe J (1.5)
50%
1.83
Lajovic D (1.5)
50%
1.90
Total
Over 22.5
49%
1.96
Under 22.5
51%
1.81

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

McCabe J
6-4LLWWLWWWLW
scored 1.2conceded 1.1
Lajovic D
5-5LWLWWLLLWW
scored 1.4conceded 1.5

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics β€” for reference.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:2/7 ready Β· Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated03.08.2026 17:02 UTC
1 62% ✓ favourite
2 38%
Score2:0 Total games: Under 22.5 Bet:1
Per AI data H2H: 0-0
Claude updated03.08.2026 15:18 UTC
1 57% ✓ favourite
2 43%
Score2:1 Total games: Over 22.5 Bet:Over 22.5 games (otsenka 64%, spravedlivyy kef 1.56, brat ot

AI consensus:1

AI 1 2 Score Total games Bet
Google AI 62% 38% 2:0 Under 22.5
Claude 57% 43% 2:1 Over 22.5 Over 22.5 games (otsenka 64%, spravedlivyy kef 1.56, brat ot
Match center
Start 04.08.2026 15:00 UTC
Market 1 46.9% @ 2.00 / 2 53.1% @ 1.77
Coverage hard
Form 6 matches
πŸ₯Š Humans vs Machines
πŸ€– 7 AI models McCabe J 60%
πŸ“ Math model McCabe J 52%
πŸ’Ή Market McCabe J 51%
Every pick locked before kickoff Β· public log
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Match center

McCabe J - Lajovic D

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 1:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
Set McCabe J Lajovic D Result
Set 1 3 6 3:6
Set 2 7 6 7:6
Set 3 3 6 3:6
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 51.6% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.532 / LogLoss 0.725
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 50.2% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.504 / LogLoss 0.697
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
McCabe J 50.7% 51.6% market and model agree
Lajovic D 49.3% 48.4%
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 51.6% / 48.4% probabilities
Rating 1,453 / 1,252 McCabe J / Lajovic D
RD 125 / 217 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,203-1,704 / 819-1,685 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.77 Fonbet Β· no value Β· model 48.4%
1 2.00 Fonbet Β· weak value +3.1% Β· model 51.6%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.70 Fonbet Β· line only
2 +0.5 1.80 Fonbet Β· line only
1 -0.5 2.02 Fonbet Β· line only
1 +0.5 1.90 Fonbet Β· line only
Total
Over 20.5 1.50 Fonbet Β· line only
Over 21.5 1.65 Fonbet Β· line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
— — 1.90 52.6%
— — 1.80 55.6%
— 1.93 51.8% —
— — 2.02 49.5%
1.86 53.8% 1.85 54.1% 2.13 47.0%
— — 2.10 47.6%
— — 1.80 55.6%
1.86 53.8% 1.85 54.1% 1.90 52.6%
— — 2.10 47.6%
— — 1.95 51.3%
— — 1.70 58.8%
— — 1.63 61.4%
— 1.77 56.5% 1.65 60.6%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 20.5 — — 1.50 66.7%
Over 21.5 — 1.78 56.2% 1.65 60.6%
Over 22.5 1.91 52.4% 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6%
Over 23.5 — — 2.10 47.6%
Over 24.5 — — 2.20 45.5%
Over 25.5 — — 2.35 42.6%
Under 20.5 — — 2.40 41.7%
Under 21.5 — 1.92 52.1% 2.10 47.6%
Under 22.5 1.81 55.3% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6%
Under 23.5 — — 1.65 60.6%
Under 24.5 — — 1.60 62.5%
Under 25.5 — — 1.53 65.4%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.71 58.5% 1.67 59.9% 2.00 50.0% 1.98 50.5%
2.05 48.8% 2.08 48.1% 1.77 56.5% 1.74 57.5%
Match center
McCabe J
L L L W L
2026-07-25 2026 Washington, USA, Qualifying
McCabe J McCabe J 0:2 Bolt A
2026-07-21 2026 Winnipeg, Canada
McCabe J McCabe J 1:2 Chan Duncan
2026-07-16 2026 Lincoln, USA
McCabe J McCabe J 0:2 Tomic B
2026-07-15 2026 Lincoln, USA
McCabe J Imamura M 0:2 McCabe J
2026-07-08 2026 Newport, USA
McCabe J McCabe J 0:2 Jung Jason
1 Wins
4 Losses
0.6 Sets won
1.6 Sets lost
20% Win percentage
Lajovic D
D L L L W
2026-07-25 2026 Washington, USA, Qualifying
Hewitt Cruz 0:0 Lajovic D Lajovic D
2026-07-13 2026 Umag, Croatia
Lajovic D 1:2 Van Assche L Lajovic D
2026-06-30 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain
Fritz T 3:0 Lajovic D Lajovic D
2026-06-25 2026 Wimbledon, London, GB, Qualifying, 3rd Round
Gaubas V 3:2 Lajovic D Lajovic D
2026-06-24 2026 Wimbledon, London, GB, Qualifying, 1st - 2nd Round
Rodesch C 0:2 Lajovic D Lajovic D
1 Wins
3 Losses
1.0 Sets won
1.6 Sets lost
20% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMcCabe J - Lajovic D

McCabe J
0 matches total
Lajovic D
Biggest win β€” largest score margin
Highest-scoring match β€” most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw β€” draw with the most goals

Match history