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AI verdict

AI pick Jones Maximus win probability ~53% best odds 6.60

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Jones Maximus. Full breakdown below.

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Manakor
Manakor International
02.09.2026 14:30 UTC Match prediction

Ivanov Ivan vs Jones Maximus — Tennis prediction

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis Manakor
Manakor 02.09.2026 14:30 UTC Finished
02.09.2026 14:30 UTC Finished
Ivanov Ivan
Ivanov Ivan
L W L L L
Jones Maximus
Jones Maximus
W W L L L
2:0 6:0 6:4
1 2 GP
Ivanov Ivan 6 6 2
Jones Maximus 0 4 0
1 2
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Jones Maximus — 53%

1 · Ivanov Ivan47.1%
2 · Jones Maximus52.9%

Model estimate: win Ivanov Ivan 47.1%, win Jones Maximus 52.9%. Model favourite — Jones Maximus.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🎯 Safe pick banker

Match winner — Ivanov Ivan

Model confidence 86% ~95% on our history

How often this pick wins on our settled history — not a profit forecast.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Ivanov Ivan - Jones Maximus September 2, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Ivanov Ivan.

Line favourite Fonbet: Ivanov Ivan. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.08 / 2 6.60
  • Glicko: Ivanov Ivan 47.1% / Jones Maximus 52.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.9% 4 books · best price +273.9%
1 47.6%
2 52.4%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 2.05 ↓ 2.00
Winner 2 1.68 ↑ 1.75

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Ivanov Ivan
47%
2.00
Jones Maximus
53%
6.60
Total
Over 22.5
48%
2.35
Under 22.5
52%
1.81

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

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Preview

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
- Coverage -
0 H2H 0
Odds
P1 2.00 47.0% BetBoom
P2 1.77 53.1% BetBoom

Ivanov Ivan go head-to-head with Dzhons Maksimus in tennis, in Manakor, on 2 September 2026. PropickAI's Glicko-2 model makes Dzhons Maksimus the favourite, with a win probability of about 53%. Sportsbook prices (4 books) put that result at roughly 53%.

Latest form: Ivanov Ivan 4 won and 1 lost; Dzhons Maksimus 2 won and 0 lost. Dzhons Maksimus come in having won their last matches. Glicko ratings: Ivanov Ivan 1802, Dzhons Maksimus 1899, a gap of 97 points.

Our model and the market consensus broadly agree on this match. Model confidence in the favourite is low. The match is close, and the model flags no clear safer edge. Key markers: an edge of 97 Glicko rating points, the model's 53% for Dzhons Maksimus. Read on for team stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PropickAI AI prediction. This is a probability read from our model plus the market line, not a guaranteed outcome.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Ivanov Ivan
5-5WWWLWLLLWL
sets for 1.1sets against 1.3
Jones Maximus
5-5LLWLWWLLWW
sets for 1.2sets against 1.1

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Match center
Start 02.09.2026 14:30 UTC
Market 1 85.9% @ 1.08 / 2 14.1% @ 6.60
Form 5 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Jones Maximus 53%
💹 Market Jones Maximus 52%
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Match center

Ivanov Ivan - Jones Maximus

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Set Ivanov Ivan Jones Maximus Result
Set 1 6 0 6:0
Set 2 6 4 6:4
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Ivanov Ivan 47.1% 47.1%
Jones Maximus 53.0% 52.9% market and model agree
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 47.1% / 52.9% probabilities
Rating 1,802 / 1,899 Ivanov Ivan / Dzhons Maksimus
RD 158 / 226 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,486-2,117 / 1,447-2,351 strength interval

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.60 Fonbet · weak value +249.1% · model 52.9%
1 1.08 Fonbet · no value · model 47.1%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.82 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.88 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 15.5 1.88 Fonbet · line only
Over 16.5 1.45 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.91 52.4% — —
1.81 55.3% 1.74 57.5% —
1.89 52.9% 1.96 51.0% —
1.73 57.8% — —
1.81 55.3% — 1.85 54.1%
1.91 52.4% 1.97 50.8% —
1.83 54.6% 1.75 57.1% —
2.00 50.0% — —
— — 2.00 50.0%
— — 1.67 59.9%
— — 5.30 18.9%
— — 2.10 47.6%
— — 1.95 51.3%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.04 96.2%
1.25 80.0%
3.55 28.2%
8.00 12.5%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 15.5 — — 1.88 53.2%
Over 16.5 — — 1.45 69.0%
Over 17.5 — — 1.80 55.6%
Over 18.5 — — 1.90 52.6%
Over 19.5 — — 2.30 43.5%
Over 21.5 1.76 56.8% 1.73 57.8% 2.02 49.5%
Over 22.5 1.91 52.4% 2.00 50.0% 2.35 42.6%
Over 23.5 — — 1.65 60.6%
Over 24.5 — — 1.80 55.6%
Over 25.5 — — 2.35 42.6%
Under 21.5 1.97 50.8% 2.00 50.0% —
Under 22.5 1.81 55.3% 1.73 57.8% —

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 2.5 3.55 28.2%
Under 2.5 1.25 80.0%
Match center
Ivanov Ivan
L W L L L
2026-08-26 2026 Roehampton 2, Great Britain
Ivanov Ivan Ivanov Ivan 0:2 Loffhagen G
2026-08-24 2026 Roehampton 2, Great Britain
Ivanov Ivan Ivanov Ivan 2:1 Peniston R
2026-08-18 2026 Roehampton, Great Britain
Ivanov Ivan Moller E 2:0 Ivanov Ivan
2026-08-04 2026 Plovdiv 2, Bulgaria
Ivanov Ivan Ivanov Ivan 0:2 Milic O
2026-07-15 2026 Pozoblanco, Spain
Ivanov Ivan Ivanov Ivan 1:2 Crawford O
1 Wins
4 Losses
0.6 Sets won
1.8 Sets lost
20% Win percentage
Jones Maximus
W W L L L
2026-09-01 2026 Manacor, Spain, Qualifying
Jones Maximus 2:0 Paldanius O Jones Maximus
2026-08-31 2026 Manacor, Spain, Qualifying
Gray A 0:2 Jones Maximus Jones Maximus
2026-07-14 2026 Pozoblanco, Spain
Jones Maximus 0:1 Ivashka I Jones Maximus
2026-05-19 2026 Bengaluru 3, India
Jones Maximus 0:2 Sasikumar M Jones Maximus
2026-05-14 2026 Bengaluru 2, India
Jones Maximus 1:2 Sekulic P Jones Maximus
2 Wins
3 Losses
1.0 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
40% Win percentage

More predictions

Ivanov Ivan – Lajal M 03.09 Balshaw F – Muller A 03.09 Ribecai M – Pinnington Jones J 03.09 Harris B – Hara Friend J D 03.09 Rincon D – Montes-De la Torre I 03.09

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ivanov Ivan vs Jones Maximus?

By the PropickAI model, Ivanov Ivan is favoured — about 53% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for Ivanov Ivan vs Jones Maximus?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Ivanov Ivan. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

What are the bookmaker odds for Ivanov Ivan vs Jones Maximus?

Live odds for Ivanov Ivan vs Jones Maximus from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.

When does Ivanov Ivan vs Jones Maximus start?

September 2, 2026.