AI verdict
Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Matusevich A. Full breakdown below.
Picks locked before kickoff results verified after public accuracy log →
| Matusevich A | Ribecai M | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 62.9% | 60.4% |
| Hard % | 69.7% | 61.7% |
| Clay % | 57.3% | 60.4% |
| Grass % | 27.3% | 0% |
| Deciding set % | 54.1% | 37.1% |
| Tie-breaks % | 58.4% | 51.2% |
| Titles (total) | 4 | 1 |
| Last 10 | WLWWWLWWWL | WLWWLLLLWL |
Source: scorego-app.com
| Matusevich A | Ribecai M | |
|---|---|---|
| Aces per match | 1.38 | 4.05 |
| Double faults per match | 2.21 | 2.24 |
| Breaks per match | 3.04 | 0.5 |
Source:tennisstats.com (per-match averages)
| Michele Ribecai | Anton Matusevich | |
|---|---|---|
| Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year | 57.9% 11 / 19 Matches | 79.1% 34 / 43 Matches |
| Win Percentage Last 12 Months | 61.8% 21 / 34 Matches | 75.5% 40 / 53 Matches |
| Michele Ribecai | Anton Matusevich | |
|---|---|---|
| Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year | 46.2% 12 / 26 Matches | 57.1% 8 / 14 Matches |
| Win Percentage Last 12 Months | 55.8% 24 / 43 Matches | 52.9% 9 / 17 Matches |
| Michele Ribecai | Anton Matusevich | |
|---|---|---|
| Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year | N/A 0 / 0 Matches | 40.0% 2 / 5 Matches |
| Win Percentage Last 12 Months | N/A 0 / 0 Matches | 40.0% 2 / 5 Matches |
Source:tennisstats.com
| Michele Ribecai | Anton Matusevich | |
|---|---|---|
| H2H wins | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) |
| Sets | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) |
| Wins this year | 54.2% 26 / 48 Matches | 69.7% 46 / 66 Matches |
| Wins in 12 mo. | 60.0% 48 / 80 Matches | 67.1% 53 / 79 Matches |
| Current rank | 276 | 330 |
Source: tennisstats.com
| Michele Ribecai | Anton Matusevich | |
|---|---|---|
| Prize money (career) | $11,920 USD | $158,573 USD |
| Rating | 276 | 330 |
| Age | 23 | 25 |
| Height | — | 1.85m |
| Weight | — | 86kg |
| Michele Ribecai | Anton Matusevich | |
|---|---|---|
| Match Wins | 54 % | 70 % |
| Match Wins (3 Sets) | 51 % | 71 % |
| Match Wins (5 Sets) | N/A | 0 % |
| Wins in Straight Sets | 48 % | 55 % |
| Wins From Behind | 4 % | 17 % |
| Won At Least 1 Set | 85 % | 82 % |
| Set 1 Win | 77 % | 70 % |
| Set 2 Win | 56 % | 67 % |
Source:tennisstats.com
Outcome percentages for totals and props: values for each player and a match-total column.
| Michele Ribecai | Anton Matusevich | Match total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average Games in a Set | 9.25 | 10.03 | 9.64 |
| Over 6.5 | 98 % | 95 % | 97 % |
| Over 7.5 | 84 % | 87 % | 86 % |
| Over 8.5 | 67 % | 79 % | 73 % |
| Over 9.5 | 53 % | 48 % | 51 % |
| Over 10.5 | 18 % | 34 % | 26 % |
| Over 11.5 | 18 % | 34 % | 26 % |
| Michele Ribecai | Anton Matusevich | Match total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aces Per Match | 1.38 | 4.05 | 5.43 |
| Most Aces in a match | 15 % | 33 % | N/A |
| 1+ | 74 % | 90 % | 98 % |
| 2+ | 41 % | 71 % | 93 % |
| 3+ | 15 % | 57 % | 90 % |
| 4+ | 8 % | 48 % | 82 % |
| 5+ | 0 % | 33 % | 75 % |
| Michele Ribecai | Anton Matusevich | Match total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Breaks Per Match | 3.04 | 0.5 | 3.54 |
| Over 0.5 | 69 % | 38 % | 100 % |
| Over 1.5 | 67 % | 0 % | 50 % |
| Over 2.5 | 64 % | 0 % | 49 % |
| Over 3.5 | 62 % | 0 % | 34 % |
| Over 4.5 | 8 % | 0 % | 34 % |
| Over 5.5 | 0 % | 0 % | 31 % |
| Michele Ribecai | Anton Matusevich | Match total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tie Breaks Per Match | 0.2 | 0.42 | 0.31 |
| Over 0.5 | 20 % | 35 % | 28 % |
| Over 1.5 | 0 % | 6 % | 3 % |
| Under 0.5 | 80 % | 65 % | 28 % |
| Under 1.5 | 100 % | 94 % | 3 % |
| Michele Ribecai | Anton Matusevich | Match total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double Faults Per Match | 2.21 | 2.24 | 4.45 |
| Over 0.5 (1+) | 77 % | 81 % | 95 % |
| Over 1.5 (2+) | 49 % | 57 % | 88 % |
| Over 2.5 (3+) | 33 % | 29 % | 84 % |
| Over 3.5 (4+) | 23 % | 24 % | 70 % |
| Over 4.5 (5+) | 18 % | 24 % | 49 % |
| Over 5.5 (6+) | 10 % | 10 % | 41 % |
| Michele Ribecai | Anton Matusevich | Match total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Net Points Won Per Match | 5.03 | 8 | 13.03 |
| Over 4.5 (5+) | 53 % | 75 % | 64 % |
| Over 5.5 (6+) | 37 % | 50 % | 44 % |
| Over 6.5 (7+) | 37 % | 50 % | 44 % |
| Over 7.5 (8+) | 32 % | 50 % | 41 % |
| Over 8.5 (9+) | 21 % | 50 % | 36 % |
| Over 9.5 (10+) | 11 % | 50 % | 31 % |
Source:tennisstats.com
Matusevich A face Ribecai M on August 26, 2026 in the Rokhempton 2, International.
Recent form (W-D-L): Matusevich A 4-0-1, Ribecai M 3-0-2. PropickAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 60% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PropickAI AI pick.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Matusevich A — 60%
Model estimate: win Matusevich A 59.7%, win Ribecai M 40.3%. Model favourite — Matusevich A.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Match winner — Ribecai M
How often this pick wins on our settled history — not a profit forecast.
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Ribecai M.
For reference
Odds source: consensus of 6 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Market consensus
Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.
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V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Model = Glicko + Elo strength prior (heuristic, historical calibration in progress). Glicko59.7% · +Elo prior (weight0.35).
Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | 2.00 50.0% | |
| — | 1.77 56.5% | 2.05 48.8% | |
| 1.81 55.3% | 1.84 54.4% | — | |
| — | — | 2.00 50.0% | |
| — | 1.93 51.8% | 1.40 71.4% | |
| 1.91 52.4% | 1.86 53.8% | 1.78 56.2% | |
| — | — | 1.01 99.0% | |
| — | — | 1.04 96.2% | |
| — | — | 1.72 58.1% | |
| — | — | 1.68 59.5% | |
| — | — | 1.95 51.3% | |
| — | — | 1.50 66.7% | |
| — | — | 1.40 71.4% |
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.04 96.2% | |
| 10.00 10.0% | |
| 1.02 98.0% | |
| 8.00 12.5% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 20.5 | — | — | 1.55 64.5% |
| Over 21.5 | — | 1.73 57.8% | 1.67 59.9% |
| Over 22.5 | 1.96 51.0% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.85 54.1% |
| Over 23.5 | — | — | 1.65 60.6% |
| Over 24.5 | — | — | 1.80 55.6% |
| Over 25.5 | — | — | 1.80 55.6% |
| Over 28.5 | — | — | 1.72 58.1% |
| Over 29.5 | — | — | 1.35 74.1% |
| Over 30.5 | — | — | 1.40 71.4% |
| Over 31.5 | — | — | 8.00 12.5% |
| Over 32.5 | — | — | 9.50 10.5% |
| Over 34.5 | — | — | 2.60 38.5% |
| Under 21.5 | — | 2.00 50.0% | — |
| Under 22.5 | 1.77 56.5% | 1.76 56.8% | — |
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 1.02 98.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 10.00 10.0% |
Matusevich A
Ribecai M
The Matusevich A - Ribecai M breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
By the PropickAI model, Ribecai M is favoured — about 60% win probability.
The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Ribecai M. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.
August 26, 2026.