AI verdict
Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Monday J. Full breakdown below.
Picks locked before kickoff results verified after public accuracy log →
| Monday J | Maxted L | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 64.6% | 100% |
| Hard % | 66.7% | 100% |
| Clay % | 100% | 0% |
| Grass % | 36.8% | 0% |
| Deciding set % | 59.6% | 0% |
| Tie-breaks % | 50.7% | 100% |
| Titles (total) | 8 | 1 |
| Last 10 | WLLWLWWWLW | WWWW |
Source: scorego-app.com
| Monday J | Maxted L | |
|---|---|---|
| Aces per match | 2.90 | 5.43 |
| Double faults per match | 2.4 | 2.86 |
| Breaks per match | 3.05 | 3.67 |
Source:tennisstats.com (per-match averages)
| Lui Maxted | Johannus Monday | |
|---|---|---|
| Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year | 60.0% 21 / 35 Matches | 70.4% 19 / 27 Matches |
| Win Percentage Last 12 Months | 63.8% 37 / 58 Matches | 65.2% 30 / 46 Matches |
| Lui Maxted | Johannus Monday | |
|---|---|---|
| Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year | N/A 0 / 0 Matches | N/A 0 / 0 Matches |
| Win Percentage Last 12 Months | N/A 0 / 0 Matches | N/A 0 / 0 Matches |
| Lui Maxted | Johannus Monday | |
|---|---|---|
| Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year | 50.0% 1 / 2 Matches | 50.0% 2 / 4 Matches |
| Win Percentage Last 12 Months | 50.0% 1 / 2 Matches | 50.0% 2 / 4 Matches |
Source:tennisstats.com
| Lui Maxted | Johannus Monday | |
|---|---|---|
| H2H wins | 0 (0.0%) | 2 (100.0%) |
| Sets | 1 (20.0%) | 4 (80.0%) |
| Wins this year | 59.5% 22 / 37 Matches | 63.6% 21 / 33 Matches |
| Wins in 12 mo. | 63.3% 38 / 60 Matches | 61.5% 32 / 52 Matches |
| Current rank | 362 | 311 |
Source: tennisstats.com
| Lui Maxted | Johannus Monday | |
|---|---|---|
| Prize money (career) | $9,893 USD | $93,796 USD |
| Rating | 362 | 311 |
| Age | 22 | 24 |
| Height | 1.80m | 1.98m |
| Weight | 75kg | 86kg |
| Lui Maxted | Johannus Monday | |
|---|---|---|
| Match Wins | 59 % | 64 % |
| Match Wins (3 Sets) | 59 % | 68 % |
| Match Wins (5 Sets) | N/A | 0 % |
| Wins in Straight Sets | 43 % | 36 % |
| Wins From Behind | 12 % | 33 % |
| Won At Least 1 Set | 68 % | 79 % |
| Set 1 Win | 57 % | 55 % |
| Set 2 Win | 56 % | 61 % |
Source:tennisstats.com
| Date | Tournament | Results |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 5 2026 | Nottingham 3 Chall. Men (Hard) | Lui Maxted 1 – 2 Johannus Monday |
| Jul 18 2024 | M25 East Lansing, MI ITF Men (Hard) | Lui Maxted 0 – 2 Johannus Monday |
Source:tennisstats.com
Outcome percentages for totals and props: values for each player and a match-total column.
| Lui Maxted | Johannus Monday | Match total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average Games in a Set | 9.73 | 9.94 | 9.84 |
| Over 6.5 | 100 % | 100 % | 100 % |
| Over 7.5 | 92 % | 87 % | 90 % |
| Over 8.5 | 78 % | 81 % | 80 % |
| Over 9.5 | 43 % | 55 % | 49 % |
| Over 10.5 | 24 % | 26 % | 25 % |
| Over 11.5 | 24 % | 26 % | 25 % |
| Lui Maxted | Johannus Monday | Match total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aces Per Match | 2.90 | 5.43 | 8.33 |
| Most Aces in a match | 10 % | 43 % | N/A |
| 1+ | 80 % | 100 % | 95 % |
| 2+ | 70 % | 90 % | 95 % |
| 3+ | 60 % | 71 % | 90 % |
| 4+ | 30 % | 71 % | 88 % |
| 5+ | 20 % | 67 % | 88 % |
| Lui Maxted | Johannus Monday | Match total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Breaks Per Match | 3.05 | 3.67 | 6.72 |
| Over 0.5 | 100 % | 90 % | 98 % |
| Over 1.5 | 70 % | 90 % | 98 % |
| Over 2.5 | 70 % | 90 % | 95 % |
| Over 3.5 | 70 % | 71 % | 95 % |
| Over 4.5 | 70 % | 71 % | 80 % |
| Over 5.5 | 70 % | 0 % | 80 % |
| Lui Maxted | Johannus Monday | Match total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tie Breaks Per Match | 0.35 | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| Over 0.5 | 30 % | 32 % | 31 % |
| Over 1.5 | 5 % | 3 % | 4 % |
| Under 0.5 | 70 % | 68 % | 31 % |
| Under 1.5 | 95 % | 97 % | 4 % |
| Lui Maxted | Johannus Monday | Match total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double Faults Per Match | 2.4 | 2.86 | 5.26 |
| Over 0.5 (1+) | 90 % | 90 % | 100 % |
| Over 1.5 (2+) | 70 % | 62 % | 98 % |
| Over 2.5 (3+) | 50 % | 48 % | 91 % |
| Over 3.5 (4+) | 20 % | 38 % | 74 % |
| Over 4.5 (5+) | 10 % | 14 % | 54 % |
| Over 5.5 (6+) | 0 % | 14 % | 44 % |
| Lui Maxted | Johannus Monday | Match total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Net Points Won Per Match | 12 | 8.62 | 20.62 |
| Over 4.5 (5+) | 100 % | 85 % | 93 % |
| Over 5.5 (6+) | 100 % | 85 % | 93 % |
| Over 6.5 (7+) | 100 % | 77 % | 89 % |
| Over 7.5 (8+) | 67 % | 77 % | 72 % |
| Over 8.5 (9+) | 67 % | 69 % | 68 % |
| Over 9.5 (10+) | 67 % | 69 % | 68 % |
Source:tennisstats.com
Monday J meet Maxted L on August 26, 2026 in the Rokhempton 2, International.
Recent form (W-D-L): Monday J 3-0-2, Maxted L 4-0-1. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PropickAI neural-network verdict.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Monday J — 61%
Model estimate: win Monday J 61.0%, win Maxted L 39.0%. Model favourite — Monday J.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Fonbet, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Market consensus
Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.
Get the 7-AI consensus, math-model probabilities, value picks and full reports for every match with Full Access.
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V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.
Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Model = Glicko + Elo strength prior (heuristic, historical calibration in progress). Glicko61.0% · +Elo prior (weight0.23).
Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| 1.53 65.4% | — | |
| 1.63 61.4% | — | |
| 1.80 55.6% | 1.85 54.1% | |
| 2.15 46.5% | — | |
| — | 1.89 52.9% | |
| 2.35 42.6% | — | |
| 2.15 46.5% | — | |
| 1.90 52.6% | — | |
| 1.63 61.4% | — |
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.22 82.0% | |
| 2.40 41.7% | |
| 1.58 63.3% | |
| 4.30 23.3% |
| Outcome | Fonbet | Kambi BetMGM |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | — | 2.30 43.5% |
| Over 8.5 | — | 1.21 82.6% |
| Over 9.5 | — | 1.68 59.5% |
| Over 10.5 | — | 3.05 32.8% |
| Over 21.5 | 1.60 62.5% | 1.61 62.1% |
| Over 22.5 | 1.90 52.6% | 1.86 53.8% |
| Over 23.5 | 2.08 48.1% | 2.10 47.6% |
| Over 24.5 | 2.15 46.5% | — |
| Under 2.5 | — | 1.57 63.7% |
| Under 10.5 | — | 1.34 74.6% |
| Under 21.5 | 2.20 45.5% | 2.18 45.9% |
| Under 22.5 | 1.90 52.6% | — |
| Under 23.5 | 1.67 59.9% | — |
| Under 24.5 | 1.63 61.4% | — |
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 2.35 42.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 1.60 62.5% |
Monday J
Maxted L
The Monday J - Maxted L breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
August 26, 2026.