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AI verdict

AI pick Ovcharenko O win probability ~52% best odds 1.77

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Ovcharenko O. Full breakdown below.

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Son
Son International
17.08.2026 10:00 UTC

Sakellaridis D - Ovcharenko O

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis Son
Son 17.08.2026 10:00 UTC Not started
17.08.2026 10:00 UTC Not started
Sakellaridis D
Sakellaridis D
Rank #617 Elo 62
64Average Form
W L W L W L L L
Ovcharenko O
Ovcharenko O
Rank #562 Elo 74
54Average Form
L W L L W W W W
-:-
Preview

Extended stats (scorego)

Sakellaridis D Ovcharenko O
Win % 45.8% 66.7%
Hard % 45.6% 0%
Clay % 46.1% 66.7%
Grass % 0% 0%
Deciding set % 48.4% 0%
Tie-breaks % 45.7% 66.7%
Titles (total) 1 0
Last 10 WLWWLWLWWL LWW

Source: scorego-app.com

About the athletes

- Country -
#617 Rating #562
24 Age 20
1.85m Height (cm) -
81kg Weight (kg) 70kg
Right Hand Right
- Seed -
- Coverage -
0 H2H 0

Serve and return stats

Sakellaridis D Ovcharenko O
Aces per match 2.00 2.29
Double faults per match 1.5 2.71
Breaks per match 2 5

Source:tennisstats.com (per-match averages)

TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return

Oleksandr Ovcharenko
Rank:617 Elo: 62
W L W L W L L L
Dimitris Sakellaridis
Rank:562 Elo: 74
L W L L W W W W
Elo favourite:Sakellaridis D (edge +12 Elo)

Hard

Oleksandr OvcharenkoDimitris Sakellaridis
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 66.7% 8 / 12 Matches 47.1% 16 / 34 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 66.7% 8 / 12 Matches 47.6% 30 / 63 Matches

Clay

Oleksandr OvcharenkoDimitris Sakellaridis
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 58.3% 7 / 12 Matches 64.3% 18 / 28 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 59.5% 22 / 37 Matches 62.9% 22 / 35 Matches

Grass

Oleksandr OvcharenkoDimitris Sakellaridis
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year N/A 0 / 0 Matches N/A 0 / 0 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months N/A 0 / 0 Matches N/A 0 / 0 Matches

Source:tennisstats.com

H2H series (tennisstats)

Oleksandr Ovcharenko Dimitris Sakellaridis
H2H wins 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Sets 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Wins this year 64.3% 18 / 28 Matches 53.9% 35 / 65 Matches
Wins in 12 mo. 62.3% 33 / 53 Matches 52.5% 53 / 101 Matches
Current rank 617 562

Source: tennisstats.com

Profile and percentages (tennisstats)

Oleksandr Ovcharenko Dimitris Sakellaridis
Prize money (career) $78,392 USD $23,739 USD
Rating 617 562
Age 24 20
Height 1.85m —
Weight 81kg 70kg
Playing hand Right-handed Right-handed

Win percentage (match / set)

Oleksandr Ovcharenko Dimitris Sakellaridis
Match Wins 64 % 54 %
Match Wins (3 Sets) 63 % 55 %
Wins in Straight Sets 50 % 35 %
Wins From Behind 9 % 19 %
Won At Least 1 Set 79 % 68 %
Set 1 Win 68 % 51 %
Set 2 Win 59 % 52 %
Set 3 Win 50 % 57 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)

Outcome percentages for totals and props: values for each player and a match-total column.

Total games

Oleksandr Ovcharenko Dimitris Sakellaridis Match total
Average Games in a Set 9.07 9.32 9.2
Over 6.5 96 % 98 % 97 %
Over 7.5 71 % 77 % 74 %
Over 8.5 50 % 56 % 53 %
Over 9.5 29 % 40 % 35 %
Over 10.5 13 % 21 % 17 %
Over 11.5 13 % 21 % 17 %

Aces

Oleksandr Ovcharenko Dimitris Sakellaridis Match total
Aces Per Match 2.00 2.29 4.29
Most Aces in a match 25 % 43 % N/A
1+ 50 % 71 % 100 %
2+ 50 % 57 % 100 %
3+ 50 % 57 % 73 %
4+ 25 % 29 % 73 %
5+ 25 % 14 % 66 %

Breaks

Oleksandr Ovcharenko Dimitris Sakellaridis Match total
Breaks Per Match 2 5 7
Over 0.5 100 % 100 % 100 %
Over 1.5 100 % 0 % 100 %
Over 2.5 100 % 0 % 100 %
Over 3.5 100 % 0 % 100 %
Over 4.5 0 % 0 % 50 %
Over 5.5 0 % 0 % 36 %

Tie-breaks

Oleksandr Ovcharenko Dimitris Sakellaridis Match total
Tie Breaks Per Match 0.25 0.23 0.24
Over 0.5 21 % 21 % 21 %
Over 1.5 4 % 2 % 3 %
Under 0.5 79 % 79 % 21 %
Under 1.5 96 % 98 % 3 %

Double faults

Oleksandr Ovcharenko Dimitris Sakellaridis Match total
Double Faults Per Match 1.5 2.71 4.21
Over 0.5 (1+) 75 % 86 % 100 %
Over 1.5 (2+) 50 % 86 % 100 %
Over 2.5 (3+) 25 % 57 % 100 %
Over 3.5 (4+) 0 % 29 % 100 %
Over 4.5 (5+) 0 % 14 % 75 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 0 % 0 % 61 %

Net points

Oleksandr Ovcharenko Dimitris Sakellaridis Match total
Net Points Won Per Match 6.67 7.5 14.17
Over 4.5 (5+) 67 % 100 % 84 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 67 % 100 % 84 %
Over 6.5 (7+) 67 % 100 % 84 %
Over 7.5 (8+) 0 % 100 % 50 %
Over 8.5 (9+) 0 % 0 % 0 %
Over 9.5 (10+) 0 % 0 % 0 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Odds
P1 2.00 47.4% BetBoom
P2 1.80 52.6% BetBoom

Sakellaridis D face Ovcharenko O on August 17, 2026 in the Son, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Sakellaridis D 3-0-2, Ovcharenko O 2-0-3. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PropickAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Ovcharenko O — 52%

1 · Sakellaridis D48.4%
2 · Ovcharenko O51.6%

Model estimate: win Sakellaridis D 48.4%, win Ovcharenko O 51.6%. Model favourite — Ovcharenko O.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown
AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Ovcharenko O (odds1.58) Score 1:2 confidence 57%
  • • Sakellaridis D: forma VVPVV (4-1)
  • • Ovcharenko A: forma VPVPV (3-2)
  • • Model backs Ovcharenko A: probability 57% vs 63% on the line (odds 1.58)
  • • no edge over the line (-6 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Sakellaridis D - Ovcharenko O August 17, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Ovcharenko O. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.00 / 2 1.77

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.1% 6 books · best price +1.7%
1 47.3%
2 52.7%

Odds source: consensus of 6 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner P1 2.25 ↓ 2.00
Winner P2 1.58 ↑ 1.77

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Sakellaridis D
48%
2.00
Ovcharenko O
52%
1.80
Total
Over 21.5
51%
1.81
Under 21.5
49%
1.94

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Match center
Start 17.08.2026 10:00 UTC
Market 1 46.9% @ 2.00 / 2 53.1% @ 1.77
Form 6 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Ovcharenko O 52%
💹 Market Ovcharenko O 53%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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Match center

Sakellaridis D - Ovcharenko O

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Sakellaridis D 47.3% 48.9% market and model agree
Ovcharenko O 52.7% 51.1% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Model = Glicko + Elo strength prior (heuristic, historical calibration in progress). Glicko48.4% · +Elo prior (weight0.29).

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 48.4% / 51.6% probabilities
Rating 1,877 / 1,729 Sakellaridis D / Ovcharenko O
RD 155 / 142 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,568-2,186 / 1,445-2,014 strength interval

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.77 Fonbet · no value · model 51.6%
1 2.00 Fonbet · no value · model 48.4%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.85 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.90 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 20.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only
Over 21.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.85 54.1% — 1.90 52.6% 1.89 52.9%
1.80 55.6% 1.74 57.5% 1.80 55.6% —
1.82 55.0% 1.83 54.6% — —
— — 1.80 55.6% —
— — 1.90 52.6% —
1.85 54.1% — — 1.85 54.1%
1.90 52.6% 1.97 50.8% — 1.91 52.4%
1.88 53.2% 1.87 53.5% — 1.93 51.8%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.40 71.4%
3.15 31.8%
1.30 76.9%
2.70 37.0%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
Over 20.5 — — 1.65 60.6% —
Over 21.5 1.80 55.6% 1.81 55.3% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6%
Over 22.5 — — 2.05 48.8% —
Over 23.5 — — 2.25 44.4% —
Under 20.5 — — 2.10 47.6% —
Under 21.5 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6% 1.94 51.6%
Under 22.5 — — 1.68 59.5% —
Under 23.5 — — 1.57 63.7% —

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 2.5 2.30 43.5%
Under 2.5 1.55 64.5%
Match center
Sakellaridis D
W L W L W
2026-08-16 2026 Sion, Switzerland, Qualifying
Sakellaridis D Sakellaridis D 2:0 Tanner G L
2026-08-03 2026 Grodzisk Mazowiecki, Poland, Qualifying
Sakellaridis D Sakellaridis D 0:2 Dougaz A
2026-08-02 2026 Grodzisk Mazowiecki, Poland, Qualifying
Sakellaridis D Sakellaridis D 2:0 Lalami Y
2026-07-28 2026 Bonn, Germany
Sakellaridis D Sakellaridis D 0:2 McDonald N
2026-07-27 2026 Bonn, Germany, Qualifying
Sakellaridis D Sakellaridis D 2:1 Marti Pujolras A
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.2 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Ovcharenko O
W L W L L
2026-08-16 2026 Sion, Switzerland, Qualifying
Tsitsipas Petros 0:2 Ovcharenko O Ovcharenko O
2026-03-09 2026 Hersonissos 2, Greece, Qualifying
Gadamauri B 2:0 Ovcharenko O Ovcharenko O
2026-03-08 2026 Hersonissos 2, Greece, Qualifying
Kountourakis I 0:2 Ovcharenko O Ovcharenko O
2026-03-01 2026 Hersonissos, Greece, Qualifying
Ovcharenko O 1:2 Fellin P O Ovcharenko O
2026-02-22 2026 Lugano, Switzerland, Qualifying
Piraino G 2:1 Ovcharenko O Ovcharenko O
2 Wins
3 Losses
1.2 Sets won
1.2 Sets lost
40% Win percentage

Recent form

Sakellaridis D WLWLWW
Ovcharenko O WLWLLW

Match facts

Round: 19 Stadium: Court 2

Sportradar · Winline StatsHub

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Frequently asked questions

When does Sakellaridis D vs Ovcharenko O start?

August 17, 2026.