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Todi
Todi International
10.08.2026 09:30 UTC Match prediction

Caniato C A - Crivellaro G

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis Todi
Todi 10.08.2026 09:30 UTC Finished
10.08.2026 09:30 UTC Finished
Caniato C A
Caniato C A
Rank #452 Elo 101
47Struggling Form
W L L L L L W W
Crivellaro G
Crivellaro G
Rank #1359 Elo 7
41Struggling Form
L L L W L L W W
2:0 6:1 6:2
1 2 GP
Caniato C A 6 6 2
Crivellaro G 1 2 0
1 2
Preview

Extended stats (scorego)

Caniato C A Crivellaro G
Win % 52.5% 50%
Hard % 44.4% 0%
Clay % 54.8% 50%
Grass % 0% 0%
Deciding set % 37.5% 0%
Tie-breaks % 42.9% 0%
Titles (total) 2 0
Last 10 WLLLLLWLLW LW

Source: scorego-app.com

About the athletes

- Country -
#452 Rating #1359
20 Age -
1.88m Height (cm) -
73kg Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
- Coverage -
0 H2H 0

Serve and return stats

Caniato C A Crivellaro G
Aces per match 4.35 3.50
Double faults per match 2.46 3.75
Breaks per match 4 2

Source:tennisstats.com (per-match averages)

TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return

Carlo Alberto Caniato
Rank:452 Elo: 101
W L L L L L W W
Gabriele Crivellaro
Rank:1359 Elo: 7
L L L W L L W W
Elo favourite:Caniato C A (edge +94 Elo)

Hard

Carlo Alberto CaniatoGabriele Crivellaro
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 0.0% 0 / 4 Matches 0.0% 0 / 2 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 37.5% 6 / 16 Matches 0.0% 0 / 4 Matches

Clay

Carlo Alberto CaniatoGabriele Crivellaro
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 53.6% 15 / 28 Matches 57.1% 4 / 7 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 54.3% 19 / 35 Matches 46.2% 6 / 13 Matches

Grass

Carlo Alberto CaniatoGabriele Crivellaro
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year N/A 0 / 0 Matches N/A 0 / 0 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months N/A 0 / 0 Matches N/A 0 / 0 Matches

Source:tennisstats.com

H2H series (tennisstats)

Carlo Alberto Caniato Gabriele Crivellaro
H2H wins 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Sets 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Wins this year 46.9% 15 / 32 Matches 41.2% 7 / 17 Matches
Wins in 12 mo. 49.0% 25 / 51 Matches 36.0% 9 / 25 Matches
Current rank 452 1359

Source: tennisstats.com

Profile and percentages (tennisstats)

Carlo Alberto Caniato Gabriele Crivellaro
Prize money (career) $12,067 USD $0 USD
Rating 452 1359
Age 20 —
Height 1.88m —
Weight 73kg —

Win percentage (match / set)

Carlo Alberto Caniato Gabriele Crivellaro
Match Wins 47 % 41 %
Match Wins (3 Sets) 47 % 44 %
Wins in Straight Sets 41 % 29 %
Wins From Behind 0 % 9 %
Won At Least 1 Set 66 % 53 %
Set 1 Win 59 % 35 %
Set 2 Win 47 % 47 %
Set 3 Win 25 % 50 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)

Outcome percentages for totals and props: values for each player and a match-total column.

Total games

Carlo Alberto Caniato Gabriele Crivellaro Match total
Average Games in a Set 9.91 9.76 9.84
Over 6.5 88 % 100 % 94 %
Over 7.5 84 % 100 % 92 %
Over 8.5 75 % 67 % 71 %
Over 9.5 53 % 44 % 49 %
Over 10.5 31 % 11 % 21 %
Over 11.5 31 % 11 % 21 %

Aces

Carlo Alberto Caniato Gabriele Crivellaro Match total
Aces Per Match 4.35 3.50 7.85
Most Aces in a match 38 % 25 % N/A
1+ 96 % 75 % 100 %
2+ 88 % 50 % 98 %
3+ 69 % 50 % 86 %
4+ 62 % 50 % 82 %
5+ 35 % 50 % 80 %

Breaks

Carlo Alberto Caniato Gabriele Crivellaro Match total
Breaks Per Match 4 2 6
Over 0.5 100 % 100 % 100 %
Over 1.5 100 % 100 % 100 %
Over 2.5 50 % 0 % 100 %
Over 3.5 50 % 0 % 100 %
Over 4.5 50 % 0 % 25 %
Over 5.5 50 % 0 % 25 %

Tie-breaks

Carlo Alberto Caniato Gabriele Crivellaro Match total
Tie Breaks Per Match 0.53 0.11 0.32
Over 0.5 41 % 11 % 26 %
Over 1.5 13 % 0 % 6 %
Under 0.5 59 % 89 % 26 %
Under 1.5 88 % 100 % 6 %

Double faults

Carlo Alberto Caniato Gabriele Crivellaro Match total
Double Faults Per Match 2.46 3.75 6.21
Over 0.5 (1+) 81 % 100 % 100 %
Over 1.5 (2+) 62 % 75 % 94 %
Over 2.5 (3+) 42 % 75 % 80 %
Over 3.5 (4+) 31 % 50 % 76 %
Over 4.5 (5+) 8 % 50 % 65 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 8 % 25 % 46 %

Net points

Carlo Alberto Caniato Gabriele Crivellaro Match total
Net Points Won Per Match 5.46 2 7.46
Over 4.5 (5+) 62 % 0 % 31 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 62 % 0 % 31 %
Over 6.5 (7+) 62 % 0 % 31 %
Over 7.5 (8+) 38 % 0 % 19 %
Over 8.5 (9+) 38 % 0 % 19 %
Over 9.5 (10+) 31 % 0 % 16 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Odds
P1 1.15 81.3% BetBoom
P2 5.00 18.7% BetBoom

Caniato C A meet Crivellaro G on August 10, 2026 in the Todi, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Caniato C A 1-0-4, Crivellaro G 2-1-2. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 77% to win. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Caniato C A — 77%

Pure model vs market (1 · Caniato C A): model 43% · market 81% Δ −38 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Caniato C A ✓ Pick77.3%
market81%
2 · Crivellaro G22.7%
market19%

Model estimate: win Caniato C A 77.3%, win Crivellaro G 22.7%. Model favourite — Caniato C A.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Crivellaro G (odds3.35) Score 1:2 confidence 57% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Kaniato K-A: forma pp (0-2)
  • • Krivellaro G: forma VPVPV (3-2)
  • • Model backs Krivellaro G: probability 57% vs 30% on the line (odds 3.35)
  • • edge over the line +27 pp — value pick.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Caniato C A - Crivellaro G August 10, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Caniato C A.

Line favourite Fonbet: Caniato C A. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.02 / 2 10.00
  • Glicko: Caniato C A 77.3% / Crivellaro G 22.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.1% 6 books
1 ✓ Pick 81.1%
2 18.9%

Odds source: consensus of 6 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.28 ↓ 1.15
Winner 2 3.35 ↑ 4.50

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Caniato C A
81%
1.15
Crivellaro G
19%
10.00
Total
Over 19.5
52%
1.83
Under 19.5
48%
1.96

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Caniato C A
3-7WLLWLLLLLW
scored 1.0conceded 1.4
Crivellaro G
3-7LWLLLLLWLW
scored 0.7conceded 1.5

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Match center
Start 10.08.2026 09:30 UTC
Market 1 90.7% @ 1.02 / 2 9.3% @ 10.00
Form 5 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Caniato C A 77%
💹 Market Caniato C A 81%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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$10,000Virtual balance

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Match center

Caniato C A - Crivellaro G

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:0
Events 0
Statistics 20
Set Caniato C A Crivellaro G Result
Set 1 6 1 6:1
Set 2 6 2 6:2
Metric Caniato C A Crivellaro G SStats
Breyk-poynty realizovany 4/8 0/3 final
Points na prieme 55% (21/38) 17% (7/41) final
Eysy 3 2 final
Breyk-poynty otygrany 3/3 4/8 final
Dvoynye oshibki 1 0 final
Pervaya podacha, % 56% 61% final
Points na pervoy podache 91% (21/23) 52% (12/23) final
Points na vtoroy podache 72% (13/18) 33% (5/15) final
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form home - 77.3% fact: home hit / ROI 15.0% / Brier 0.103 / LogLoss 0.258
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form home - 53.3% fact: home hit / ROI 15.0% / Brier 0.437 / LogLoss 0.630
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Caniato C A 81.1% 64.9% model more cautious than market
Crivellaro G 18.9% 35.1%
1X2: 6 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Model = Glicko + Elo strength prior (heuristic, historical calibration in progress). Glicko77.3% · +Elo prior (weight0.47).

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 77.3% / 22.7% probabilities
Rating 1,282 / 1,588 Caniato C A / Crivellaro G
RD 229 / 172 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 823-1,740 / 1,244-1,933 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 10.00 Fonbet · no value · model 22.7%
1 1.02 Fonbet · no value · model 77.3%
Total
Over 14.5 6.30 Fonbet · line only
Over 15.5 9.00 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
— — 1.65 60.6%
— — 1.55 64.5%
1.95 51.3% 2.04 49.0% 1.50 66.7%
— — 1.35 74.1%
— — 1.02 98.0%
— — 1.01 99.0%
— — 1.07 93.5%
1.76 56.8% 1.69 59.2% —
— — 2.10 47.6%
— — 2.30 43.5%
— — 2.40 41.7%
— — 2.90 34.5%
— — 10.00 10.0%
— — 9.00 11.1%
— — 6.30 15.9%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.01 99.0%
1.01 99.0%
11.00 9.1%
11.00 9.1%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 14.5 — — 6.30 15.9%
Over 15.5 — — 9.00 11.1%
Over 16.5 — — 10.00 10.0%
Over 17.5 — — 2.75 36.4%
Over 18.5 — — 2.20 45.5%
Over 19.5 1.76 56.8% 1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6%
Over 20.5 — — 2.02 49.5%
Over 21.5 — — 1.92 52.1%
Under 14.5 — — 1.07 93.5%
Under 15.5 — — 1.01 99.0%
Under 16.5 — — 1.02 98.0%
Under 17.5 — — 1.40 71.4%
Under 18.5 — — 1.60 62.5%
Under 19.5 1.95 51.3% 1.90 52.6% 1.87 53.5%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 2.5 11.00 9.1%
Under 2.5 1.01 99.0%
Match center
Caniato C A
W L L L L
2026-08-09 2026 Todi, Italy, Qualifying
Caniato C A Caniato C A 2:0 Cecconi F
2026-08-04 2026 Plovdiv 2, Bulgaria
Caniato C A Piraino G 2:1 Caniato C A
2026-07-28 2026 San Marino, San Marino
Caniato C A Caniato C A 0:2 Pellegrino A
2026-07-14 2026 Cordenons, Italy
Caniato C A Mrva M 2:1 Caniato C A
2026-07-07 2026 Trieste, Italy
Caniato C A Caniato C A 0:2 Dellien H
1 Wins
4 Losses
0.8 Sets won
1.6 Sets lost
20% Win percentage
Crivellaro G
W L W L D
2026-08-09 2026 Todi, Italy, Qualifying
Crivellaro G 2:1 Arnaboldi F Crivellaro G
2026-07-13 2026 Cordenons, Italy, Qualifying
Prihodko O 2:0 Crivellaro G Crivellaro G
2026-07-12 2026 Cordenons, Italy, Qualifying
Crivellaro G 2:0 Bassem Sobhy M Crivellaro G
2026-07-06 2026 Trieste, Italy Qualifying
Kravchenko G 2:0 Crivellaro G Crivellaro G
2026-07-05 2026 Trieste, Italy Qualifying
Crivellaro G 1:1 Rubio Fierros A F Crivellaro G
2 Wins
2 Losses
1.0 Sets won
1.2 Sets lost
40% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyCaniato C A - Crivellaro G

Caniato C A
0 matches total
Crivellaro G
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history