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AI verdict

AI pick Bublik A win probability ~68% confidence High best odds 1.40

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Bublik A. Full breakdown below.

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US Open. Men. Qualifying Wild Card Challenge
US Open. Men. Qualifying Wild Card Challenge International
31.08.2026 00:30 UTC

Bublik A vs Wolf J J — Tennis prediction

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis US Open. Men. Qualifying Wild Card Challenge
US Open. Men. Qualifying Wild Card Challenge grass 31.08.2026 00:30 UTC Not started
31.08.2026 00:30 UTC Not started
Bublik A
Bublik A
Rank #248 Elo 225
71Good Form
L W W W W W W W
Wolf J J
Wolf J J
Rank #16 Elo 2525
61Average Form
W W W W W L W L
-:-
Coverage: grass
Preview

Extended stats (scorego)

Bublik A Wolf J J
Win % 54.9% 0%
Hard % 52.7% 0%
Clay % 53.6% 0%
Grass % 65.2% 0%
Deciding set % 62.2% 0%
Tie-breaks % 52.6% 0%
Titles (total) 10 0
Last 10 LWWWLLWWWL LL

Source: scorego-app.com

About the athletes

- Country -
#248 Rating #16
27 Age 29
1.83m Height (cm) 1.96m
81kg Weight (kg) 82kg
Right Hand Right
- Seed -
grass Coverage grass
0 H2H 0

Serve and return stats

Bublik A Wolf J J
Aces per match 6.00 9.13
Double faults per match 2.78 3.29
Breaks per match 15 1.34

Source:tennisstats.com (per-match averages)

TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return

Jeffrey John Wolf
Rank:248 Elo: 225
L W W W W W W W
Alexander Bublik
Rank:16 Elo: 2525
W W W W W L W L
Elo favourite:Bublik A (edge +2300 Elo)

Hard

Jeffrey John WolfAlexander Bublik
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 73.7% 14 / 19 Matches 69.2% 9 / 13 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 73.7% 14 / 19 Matches 68.8% 22 / 32 Matches

Clay

Jeffrey John WolfAlexander Bublik
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 66.7% 8 / 12 Matches 53.3% 8 / 15 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 66.7% 8 / 12 Matches 56.3% 9 / 16 Matches

Grass

Jeffrey John WolfAlexander Bublik
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year N/A 0 / 0 Matches 50.0% 2 / 4 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months N/A 0 / 0 Matches 50.0% 2 / 4 Matches

Source:tennisstats.com

H2H series (tennisstats)

Jeffrey John Wolf Alexander Bublik
H2H wins 3 (75.0%) 1 (25.0%)
Sets 6 (60.0%) 4 (40.0%)
Wins this year 71.0% 22 / 31 Matches 61.0% 25 / 41 Matches
Wins in 12 mo. 71.0% 22 / 31 Matches 63.9% 39 / 61 Matches
Current rank 248 16

Source: tennisstats.com

Profile and percentages (tennisstats)

Jeffrey John Wolf Alexander Bublik
Prize money (career) $2,457,680 USD $10,122,169 USD
Rating 248 16
Age 27 29
Height 1.83m 1.96m
Weight 81kg 82kg
Playing hand Right-handed Right-handed

Win percentage (match / set)

Jeffrey John Wolf Alexander Bublik
Match Wins 71 % 61 %
Match Wins (3 Sets) 71 % 59 %
Match Wins (5 Sets) N/A 60 %
Wins in Straight Sets 48 % 39 %
Wins From Behind 25 % 27 %
Won At Least 1 Set 87 % 73 %
Set 1 Win 68 % 54 %
Set 2 Win 68 % 59 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Head-to-Head Record

Date Tournament Results
Jul 6 2023 Wimbledon ATP (Grass) Jeffrey John Wolf 0 – 3 Alexander Bublik
Mar 22 2023 Miami ATP (Hard) Jeffrey John Wolf 2 – 0 Alexander Bublik
Oct 14 2022 Florence ATP (Hard) Jeffrey John Wolf 2 – 1 Alexander Bublik
Aug 10 2019 Cincinnati ATP (Hard) Jeffrey John Wolf 2 – 0 Alexander Bublik

Source:tennisstats.com

Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)

Outcome percentages for totals and props: values for each player and a match-total column.

Total games

Jeffrey John Wolf Alexander Bublik Match total
Average Games in a Set 9.71 10.24 9.98
Over 6.5 97 % 100 % 99 %
Over 7.5 87 % 88 % 88 %
Over 8.5 71 % 81 % 76 %
Over 9.5 42 % 53 % 48 %
Over 10.5 29 % 28 % 29 %
Over 11.5 29 % 28 % 29 %

Aces

Jeffrey John Wolf Alexander Bublik Match total
Aces Per Match 6.00 9.13 15.13
Most Aces in a match 33 % 52 % N/A
1+ 100 % 100 % 100 %
2+ 100 % 100 % 100 %
3+ 94 % 94 % 100 %
4+ 78 % 94 % 100 %
5+ 72 % 81 % 100 %

Breaks

Jeffrey John Wolf Alexander Bublik Match total
Breaks Per Match 15 1.34 16.34
Over 0.5 100 % 26 % 100 %
Over 1.5 100 % 26 % 81 %
Over 2.5 100 % 13 % 79 %
Over 3.5 100 % 0 % 73 %
Over 4.5 100 % 0 % 52 %
Over 5.5 100 % 0 % 50 %

Tie-breaks

Jeffrey John Wolf Alexander Bublik Match total
Tie Breaks Per Match 0.35 0.59 0.47
Over 0.5 35 % 44 % 40 %
Over 1.5 0 % 16 % 8 %
Under 0.5 65 % 56 % 40 %
Under 1.5 100 % 84 % 8 %

Double faults

Jeffrey John Wolf Alexander Bublik Match total
Double Faults Per Match 2.78 3.29 6.07
Over 0.5 (1+) 94 % 100 % 100 %
Over 1.5 (2+) 67 % 81 % 97 %
Over 2.5 (3+) 56 % 65 % 95 %
Over 3.5 (4+) 28 % 39 % 88 %
Over 4.5 (5+) 17 % 23 % 72 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 17 % 13 % 53 %

Net points

Jeffrey John Wolf Alexander Bublik Match total
Net Points Won Per Match 6.17 7.06 13.23
Over 4.5 (5+) 67 % 52 % 60 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 50 % 36 % 43 %
Over 6.5 (7+) 50 % 28 % 39 %
Over 7.5 (8+) 33 % 24 % 29 %
Over 8.5 (9+) 17 % 20 % 19 %
Over 9.5 (10+) 17 % 16 % 17 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Odds
P1 1.40 69.4% BetBoom
P2 3.18 30.6% BetBoom

Bublik A go head-to-head with Wolf J J in tennis, in US Open. Men. Qualifying Wild Card Challenge, on 31 August 2026. The PropickAI Glicko-2 model rates Bublik A as the favourite at around 68%. Sportsbook prices (6 books) put that result at roughly 68%.

Recent form reads: Bublik A have 4 won and 1 lost of their last 5; Wolf J J have 4 won and 1 lost of 5. Glicko ratings: Bublik A 1819, Wolf J J 1902, a gap of 84 points.

Our model and the market consensus broadly agree on this match. Model confidence in the favourite is moderate. On a hit-rate basis the steadier pick tilts to a covered market on Bublik A - double chance looks calmer than a clean win. Key markers: an edge of 84 Glicko rating points, the model's 68% for Bublik A. Read on for team stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PropickAI AI prediction. This is a probability read from our model plus the market line, not a guaranteed outcome.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Bublik A — 68%

1 · Bublik A ✓ Pick67.6%
market 68%
2 · Wolf J J32.4%
market 32%

Model estimate: win Bublik A 67.6%, win Wolf J J 32.4%. Model favourite — Bublik A.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🎯 Safe pick confident

Match winner — Bublik A

Model confidence 68% ~79% on our history

How often this pick wins on our settled history — not a profit forecast.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown
AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Bublik A (odds1.39) Score 2:1 confidence 68%
  • • Bublik A: forma PVVVV (4-1)
  • • Vulf Dzh: forma PVVVV (4-1)
  • • liniya na pik P1 1.58→1.38 (ukorotilas — dengi na pik)
  • • Model backs Bublik A: probability 68% vs 72% on the line (odds 1.39)
  • • no edge over the line (-4 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Bublik A - Wolf J J August 31, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Bublik A. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.40 / 2 2.95

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.3% 6 books · best price +1.4%
1 ✓ Pick 67.9%
2 32.1%

Odds source: consensus of 6 books (Betcity, Fonbet, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon, Pinnacle). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner P1 1.58 ↓ 1.40
Winner P2 2.40 ↑ 2.95

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Bublik A
68%
1.42
Wolf J J
32%
3.08
Total
Over 38.5
51%
1.93
Under 38.5
49%
1.98

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Playoff draw

Tournament bracket 2026 US Open, New York, USA, Qualifying

Qualification round 1
Gea, Arthur2
Nagal, Sumit0
Chidekh, Clement2
Coria, Federico0
Mikrut, Luka2
Sanchez Izquierdo, Nikolas0
Kouame, Moise1
Basavareddy, Nishesh2
Wong, Coleman2
Moller, Elmer1
Neumayer, Lukas2
McCabe, James0
Squire, Henri1
Jorda Sanchis, David2
Kwon, Soonwoo0
Lajovic, Dusan0
Gaston, Hugo2
Justo, Guido Ivan0
Ilagan, Andre2
Boyer, Tristan1
Kym, Jerome2
Added, Dan0
Smith, Colton2
Pellegrino, Andrea1
Fearnley, Jacob2
Carballes Baena, Roberto0
Pavlovic, Luka2
Varillas, Juan Pablo1
Dedura-Palomero, Diego0
Ferreira Silva, Frederico2
Coppejans, Kimmer0
Rodionov, Jurij2
Droguet, Titouan1
Rincon, Daniel2
Lajal, Mark1
Lee, Jordan2
Den Ouden, Guy1
Olivieri, Genaro Alberto2
Prado Angelo, Juan Carlos1
Barrios Vera, Tomas2
Mochizuki, Shintaro2
Milavsky, Daniel0
Shick, Braden2
Tabur, Clement0
Passaro, Francesco2
Gill, Felix0
Martin Tiffon, Pol0
Gentzsch, Tom2
Samuel, Toby2
Maestrelli, Francesco1
Bueno, Gonzalo0
Harris, Billy2
Roncadelli, Franco0
Ymer, Elias2
Johnson, Spencer1
Garin, Cristian2
Svrcina, Dalibor2
Meligeni Alves, Felipe0
Smith, Keegan0
Galarneau, Alexis2
Brancaccio, Raul0
Seyboth Wild, Thiago2
Napolitano, Stefano0
McDonald, Mackenzie2
Virtanen, Otto2
Blanchet, Ugo0
Pinnington Jones, Jack2
Svajda, Trevor0
Skatov, Timofey2
Bailly, Gilles Arnaud0
Giustino, Lorenzo0
Dimitrov, Grigor2
Jacquet, Kyrian2
Midon, Lautaro0
Gomez, Federico Agustin0
Dougaz, Aziz2
Guerrieri, Andrea2
Holmgren, August1
Schwaerzler, Joel2
Heide, Gustavo1
Bu, Yunchaokete2
Noguchi, Rio1
Kolar, Zdenek0
Gojo, Borna2
Nardi, Luca0
Cina, Federico0
Echargui, Moez0
Dellien, Hugo2
Piros, Zsombor2
Alcala Gurri, Max0
Martinez, Pedro0
Glinka, Daniil2
Kasnikowski, Maks1
Budkov Kjaer, Nicolai2
Sakellaridis, Stefanos0
O'Connell, Christopher2
Mejia, Nicolas1
Draxl, Liam2
Daniel, Taro1
Johnson, Andrew2
Secord, Jack0
Schoolkate, Tristan2
Hong, Seongchan2
Basilashvili, Nikoloz0
Gaubas, Vilius2
Feldbausch, Kilian0
Cecchinato, Marco2
Broady, Liam0
Bertola, Remy2
Moro Canas, Alejandro0
Wendelken, Harry2
Travaglia, Stefano1
Rocha, Henrique2
Mmoh, Michael0
Tomic, Bernard1
Harris, Lloyd2
Onclin, Gauthier0
Sachko, Vitaliy2
Bolt, Alex0
Llamas Ruiz, Pablo2
Ofner, Sebastian1
Nishikori, Kei2
Antonius, Michael2
Searle, Henry0
Clarke, Jay1
Sakamoto, Rei2
Djere, Laslo0
Muller, Alexandre2
Qualification round 2
Gea, Arthur2
Chidekh, Clement1
Mikrut, Luka0
Basavareddy, Nishesh2
Wong, Coleman2
Neumayer, Lukas0
Jorda Sanchis, David0
Lajovic, Dusan2
Gaston, Hugo2
Ilagan, Andre0
Kym, Jerome1
Smith, Colton2
Fearnley, Jacob2
Pavlovic, Luka1
Ferreira Silva, Frederico1
Rodionov, Jurij2
Rincon, Daniel2
Lee, Jordan1
Olivieri, Genaro Alberto0
Barrios Vera, Tomas2
Mochizuki, Shintaro2
Shick, Braden0
Passaro, Francesco2
Gentzsch, Tom0
Samuel, Toby2
Harris, Billy1
Ymer, Elias0
Garin, Cristian2
Svrcina, Dalibor2
Galarneau, Alexis0
Seyboth Wild, Thiago0
McDonald, Mackenzie2
Virtanen, Otto2
Pinnington Jones, Jack1
Skatov, Timofey0
Dimitrov, Grigor2
Jacquet, Kyrian1
Dougaz, Aziz2
Guerrieri, Andrea2
Schwaerzler, Joel1
Bu, Yunchaokete2
Gojo, Borna0
Cina, Federico2
Dellien, Hugo1
Piros, Zsombor2
Glinka, Daniil1
Budkov Kjaer, Nicolai0
O'Connell, Christopher2
Draxl, Liam2
Johnson, Andrew0
Schoolkate, Tristan2
Hong, Seongchan0
Gaubas, Vilius2
Cecchinato, Marco0
Bertola, Remy1
Wendelken, Harry2
Rocha, Henrique1
Harris, Lloyd2
Sachko, Vitaliy1
Llamas Ruiz, Pablo2
Nishikori, Kei2
Antonius, Michael0
Sakamoto, Rei2
Muller, Alexandre0
Qualification Final
Gea, Arthur0
Basavareddy, Nishesh2
Wong, Coleman2
Lajovic, Dusan0
Gaston, Hugo2
Smith, Colton1
Fearnley, Jacob1
Rodionov, Jurij2
Rincon, Daniel0
Barrios Vera, Tomas2
Mochizuki, Shintaro0
Passaro, Francesco2
Samuel, Toby0
Garin, Cristian0
Svrcina, Dalibor2
McDonald, Mackenzie1
Virtanen, Otto0
Dimitrov, Grigor0
Dougaz, Aziz0
Guerrieri, Andrea2
Bu, Yunchaokete1
Cina, Federico2
Piros, Zsombor0
O'Connell, Christopher0
Draxl, Liam1
Schoolkate, Tristan2
Gaubas, Vilius1
Wendelken, Harry2
Harris, Lloyd2
Llamas Ruiz, Pablo0
Nishikori, Kei0
Sakamoto, Rei2

Playoff draw: gismo. For reference.

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Match center
Start 31.08.2026 00:30 UTC
Market 1 67.8% @ 1.40 / 2 32.2% @ 2.95
Coverage grass
Form 6 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Bublik A 68%
💹 Market Bublik A 68%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
🏦 Virtual bank $10,000
$10,000Virtual balance

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Match center

Bublik A - Wolf J J

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Bublik A 68.2% 69.4% market and model agree
Wolf J J 31.9% 30.6% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Model = Glicko + Elo strength prior (heuristic, historical calibration in progress). Glicko67.6% · +Elo prior (weight0.33).

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 67.6% / 32.4% probabilities
Rating 1,819 / 1,902 Bublik A / Wolf J J
RD 178 / 139 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,463-2,174 / 1,624-2,181 strength interval

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.95 Fonbet · no value · model 32.4%
1 1.40 Fonbet · no value · model 67.6%
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.75 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 3.10 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.40 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.32 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 0.5 1.52 market consensus · line only
Over 10.5 2.80 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Betcity Fonbet
— 1.40 71.4%
— 1.47 68.0%
— 1.55 64.5%
1.82 55.0% —
2.00 50.0% —
2.00 50.0% —
— 3.10 32.3%
2.00 50.0% —
1.81 55.3% —
1.82 55.0% —
— 2.75 36.4%
— 2.50 40.0%
— 2.25 44.4%
— 2.02 49.5%
— 1.83 54.6%
— 1.60 62.5%
— 1.40 71.4%
— 1.35 74.1%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.82 55.0%
3.10 32.3%
1.93 51.8%
1.35 74.1%

Total

Outcome Betcity Fonbet
Over 33.5 — 1.52 65.8%
Over 34.5 — 1.50 66.7%
Over 35.5 — 1.58 63.3%
Over 36.5 1.85 54.1% 1.65 60.6%
Over 37.5 — 1.75 57.1%
Over 38.5 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6%
Over 39.5 — 1.95 51.3%
Over 40.5 — 2.10 47.6%
Over 41.5 — 2.30 43.5%
Over 42.5 — 2.45 40.8%
Under 33.5 — 2.35 42.6%
Under 34.5 — 2.40 41.7%
Under 35.5 — 2.25 44.4%
Under 36.5 1.95 51.3% 2.10 47.6%
Under 38.5 1.90 52.6% —

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 3.5 1.53 65.4%
Under 3.5 2.40 41.7%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 1-0-2
2023-07-06 · Aleksandr Bublik 3:0 Dzheffri-Dzhon Vulf
2023-03-22 · Aleksandr Bublik 0:2 Dzheffri-Dzhon Vulf
2022-10-14 · Aleksandr Bublik 1:2 Dzheffri-Dzhon Vulf
Source: ruscore

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.4 (Pari) · 2 3 (Betcity)
Bookmaker12
Pari 1.4 2.95
Winline 1.4 2.95
Fonbet 1.4 2.95
Betcity 1.39 3
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Bublik A
L W W W L
2026-07-25 2026 Kitzbuhel, Austria
Bublik A Bublik A 0:2 Halys Q
2026-07-24 2026 Kitzbuhel, Austria
Bublik A Bublik A 2:0 Etcheverry T M
2026-07-23 2026 Kitzbuhel, Austria
Bublik A Bublik A 2:0 Molcan A
2026-07-22 2026 Kitzbuhel, Austria
Bublik A Bublik A 2:0 Diaz Acosta F
2026-07-16 2026 Gstaad, Switzerland
Bublik A Bublik A 1:2 Halys Q
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.4 Sets won
0.8 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Wolf J J
L W W W W
2026-08-14 2026 Cincinnati, USA
Wolf J J 0:2 Duckworth J Wolf J J
2026-08-13 2026 Cincinnati, USA, Qualifying
Shimabukuro S 1:2 Wolf J J Wolf J J
2026-08-12 2026 Cincinnati, USA, Qualifying
Wolf J J 2:1 Mochizuki S Wolf J J
2026-08-01 2026 Vancouver, Canada
Wolf J J 2:0 Lajal M Wolf J J
2026-07-31 2026 Vancouver, Canada
Matsuoka H 1:2 Wolf J J Wolf J J
4 Wins
1 Losses
1.6 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
80% Win percentage

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Frequently asked questions

What does PropickAI predict for Bublik A vs Wolf J J?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Bublik A. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

What are the bookmaker odds for Bublik A vs Wolf J J?

Live odds for Bublik A vs Wolf J J from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.

When does Bublik A vs Wolf J J start?

August 31, 2026.