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AI verdict

AI pick Daniel T win probability ~85% confidence High best odds 1.14

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Daniel T. Full breakdown below.

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US Open. Men. Qualifying Wild Card Challenge
US Open. Men. Qualifying Wild Card Challenge International
25.08.2026 21:00 UTC

Daniel T - Johnson Andrew

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis US Open. Men. Qualifying Wild Card Challenge
US Open. Men. Qualifying Wild Card Challenge grass 25.08.2026 21:00 UTC Not started
25.08.2026 21:00 UTC Not started
Daniel T
Daniel T
Rank #186 Elo 311
68Average Form
L W W W W W W W
Johnson Andrew
Johnson Andrew
Rank #809 Elo 35
67Average Form
W W W W W W W L
-:-
Coverage: grass
Preview

Extended stats (scorego)

Daniel T Johnson Andrew
Win % 40% 66.7%
Hard % 28.6% 58.3%
Clay % 50% 72.2%
Grass % 0% 0%
Deciding set % 80% 71.4%
Tie-breaks % 40% 71.4%
Titles (total) 0 1
Last 10 LLWLLWWWLL LWWWWLWLWW

Source: scorego-app.com

About the athletes

- Country -
#186 Rating #809
33 Age -
1.91m Height (cm) -
84kg Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
grass Coverage grass
0 H2H 0

Serve and return stats

Daniel T Johnson Andrew
Aces per match 3.64 1.25
Double faults per match 1.44 3.25
Breaks per match 1.04 2.5

Source:tennisstats.com (per-match averages)

TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return

Taro Daniel
Rank:186 Elo: 311
L W W W W W W W
Andrew Johnson
Rank:809 Elo: 35
W W W W W W W L
Elo favourite:Daniel T (edge +276 Elo)

Hard

Taro DanielAndrew Johnson
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 63.2% 12 / 19 Matches 66.7% 6 / 9 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 54.8% 17 / 31 Matches 69.2% 9 / 13 Matches
Aces Per Match 4.42 1.00
Most Aces in a match 37 % 0 %

Clay

Taro DanielAndrew Johnson
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 70.6% 12 / 17 Matches 68.8% 11 / 16 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 70.6% 12 / 17 Matches 66.7% 12 / 18 Matches
Aces Per Match 2.76 1.33
Most Aces in a match 35 % 67 %

Grass

Taro DanielAndrew Johnson
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year N/A 0 / 0 Matches 50.0% 1 / 2 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months N/A 0 / 0 Matches 50.0% 1 / 2 Matches
Aces Per Match N/A N/A
Most Aces in a match N/A N/A

Source:tennisstats.com

H2H series (tennisstats)

Taro Daniel Andrew Johnson
H2H wins 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Sets 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Wins this year 67.6% 25 / 37 Matches 66.7% 18 / 27 Matches
Wins in 12 mo. 61.2% 30 / 49 Matches 66.7% 22 / 33 Matches
Current rank 186 809

Source: tennisstats.com

Profile and percentages (tennisstats)

Taro Daniel Andrew Johnson
Prize money (career) $4,892,371 USD $0 USD
Rating 186 809
Age 33 —
Height 1.91m —
Weight 84kg —

Win percentage (match / set)

Taro Daniel Andrew Johnson
Match Wins 68 % 67 %
Match Wins (3 Sets) 67 % 67 %
Wins in Straight Sets 46 % 48 %
Wins From Behind 25 % 31 %
Won At Least 1 Set 76 % 78 %
Set 1 Win 62 % 52 %
Set 2 Win 59 % 74 %
Set 3 Win 73 % 63 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)

Outcome percentages for totals and props: values for each player and a match-total column.

Total games

Taro Daniel Andrew Johnson Match total
Average Games in a Set 9.92 9.37 9.65
Over 6.5 94 % 100 % 97 %
Over 7.5 92 % 89 % 91 %
Over 8.5 83 % 48 % 66 %
Over 9.5 64 % 48 % 56 %
Over 10.5 25 % 19 % 22 %
Over 11.5 25 % 19 % 22 %

Aces

Taro Daniel Andrew Johnson Match total
Aces Per Match 3.64 1.25 4.89
Most Aces in a match 36 % 50 % N/A
1+ 97 % 75 % 88 %
2+ 83 % 50 % 88 %
3+ 47 % 0 % 86 %
4+ 36 % 0 % 41 %
5+ 33 % 0 % 38 %

Breaks

Taro Daniel Andrew Johnson Match total
Breaks Per Match 1.04 2.5 3.54
Over 0.5 44 % 25 % 100 %
Over 1.5 3 % 25 % 100 %
Over 2.5 3 % 25 % 52 %
Over 3.5 3 % 25 % 52 %
Over 4.5 0 % 25 % 52 %
Over 5.5 0 % 0 % 0 %

Tie-breaks

Taro Daniel Andrew Johnson Match total
Tie Breaks Per Match 0.25 0.37 0.31
Over 0.5 25 % 22 % 24 %
Over 1.5 0 % 11 % 6 %
Under 0.5 75 % 78 % 24 %
Under 1.5 100 % 89 % 6 %

Double faults

Taro Daniel Andrew Johnson Match total
Double Faults Per Match 1.44 3.25 4.69
Over 0.5 (1+) 67 % 100 % 99 %
Over 1.5 (2+) 39 % 75 % 95 %
Over 2.5 (3+) 22 % 50 % 67 %
Over 3.5 (4+) 8 % 25 % 46 %
Over 4.5 (5+) 6 % 25 % 41 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 3 % 25 % 24 %

Net points

Taro Daniel Andrew Johnson Match total
Net Points Won Per Match 7.09 10.5 17.59
Over 4.5 (5+) 76 % 100 % 88 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 59 % 100 % 80 %
Over 6.5 (7+) 53 % 100 % 77 %
Over 7.5 (8+) 53 % 100 % 77 %
Over 8.5 (9+) 47 % 75 % 61 %
Over 9.5 (10+) 47 % 75 % 61 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Odds
P1 1.07 88.8% BetBoom
P2 8.50 11.2% BetBoom

Daniel T take on Johnson Andrew on August 25, 2026 in the US Open. Men. Qualifying Wild Card Challenge, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Daniel T 4-0-1, Johnson Andrew 2-0-3. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PropickAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Daniel T — 85%

1 · Daniel T ✓ Pick85.1%
market 84%
2 · Johnson Andrew14.9%
market 16%

Model estimate: win Daniel T 85.1%, win Johnson Andrew 14.9%. Model favourite — Daniel T.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🎯 Safe pick strong

Match winner — Daniel T

Model confidence 84% ~87% on our history

How often this pick wins on our settled history — not a profit forecast.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Daniel T - Johnson Andrew August 25, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Daniel T. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.14 / 2 5.80

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 6.8% 4 books · best price +2.7%
1 ✓ Pick 84.0%
2 16.0%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Fonbet, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner P1 1.22 ↓ 1.07
Winner P2 4.20 ↑ 8.50

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Daniel T
84%
1.14
Johnson Andrew
16%
6.00
Total
Over 19.5
53%
1.81
Under 19.5
47%
2.05

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

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Match center
Start 25.08.2026 21:00 UTC
Market 1 83.6% @ 1.14 / 2 16.4% @ 5.80
Coverage grass
Form 3 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Daniel T 85%
💹 Market Daniel T 84%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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Match center

Daniel T - Johnson Andrew

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Daniel T 87.8% 65.7% model more cautious than market
Johnson Andrew 12.2% 34.3%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Model = Glicko + Elo strength prior (heuristic, historical calibration in progress). Glicko85.1% · +Elo prior (weight0.60).

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 85.1% / 14.9% probabilities
Rating 1,846 / 1,500 Daniel T / Johnson Andrew
RD 156 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,534-2,157 / 800-2,200 strength interval

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.80 Fonbet · no value · model 14.9%
1 1.14 Fonbet · no value · model 85.1%
Total
Over 10.5 3.90 market consensus · line only
Over 18.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet Leon
1.32 75.8% —
1.55 64.5% —
2.00 50.0% 2.07 48.3%
2.75 36.4% —
— 1.70 58.8%
3.10 32.3% —
2.30 43.5% —
1.77 56.5% —
1.40 71.4% —

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.04 96.2%
1.48 67.6%
2.55 39.2%
9.00 11.1%

Total

Outcome Fonbet Kambi BetMGM
Over 2.5 — 3.30 30.3%
Over 8.5 — 1.40 71.4%
Over 9.5 — 2.08 48.1%
Over 10.5 — 3.90 25.6%
Over 18.5 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7%
Over 19.5 1.78 56.2% 1.75 57.1%
Over 20.5 2.00 50.0% 2.02 49.5%
Over 21.5 2.25 44.4% —
Over 22.5 2.65 37.7% —
Under 10.5 — 1.23 81.3%
Under 18.5 2.40 41.7% —
Under 19.5 2.05 48.8% —
Under 20.5 1.72 58.1% —
Under 21.5 1.57 63.7% —
Under 22.5 1.43 69.9% —

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 2.5 3.15 31.8%
Under 2.5 1.35 74.1%
Match center

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.13 (Pari) · 2 9.1 (Betcity)
Bookmaker12
Pari 1.13 5.9
Winline 1.08 8
Fonbet 1.08 8
Betcity 1.04 9.1
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Daniel T
L W W W W
2026-08-22 2026 Quebec City, Canada
Daniel T Sakellaridis S 2:0 Daniel T
2026-08-21 2026 Quebec City, Canada
Daniel T Daniel T 2:0 Fearnley J
2026-08-20 2026 Quebec City, Canada
Daniel T Choinski J 0:2 Daniel T
2026-08-19 2026 Quebec City, Canada
Daniel T Chan Duncan 0:2 Daniel T
2026-08-18 2026 Quebec City, Canada, Qualifying
Daniel T Lajovic D 1:2 Daniel T
4 Wins
1 Losses
1.6 Sets won
0.6 Sets lost
80% Win percentage
Johnson Andrew
L W L L W
2026-07-07 2026 Wimbledon, Boys
Johnson Andrew 1:2 Reisach, Vincent Jakob Johnson Andrew
2026-07-04 2026 Wimbledon, Boys
Johnson Andrew 2:0 Todoran, Matei Johnson Andrew
2026-05-31 2026 French Open, Boys
Johnson Andrew 0:2 Ciurnelli R Johnson Andrew
2026-04-21 2026 Savannah, USA
Johnson Andrew 1:2 Basavareddy N Johnson Andrew
2026-04-20 2026 Savannah, USA, Qualifying
Johnson Andrew 2:0 Cid Subervi R Johnson Andrew
2 Wins
3 Losses
1.2 Sets won
1.2 Sets lost
40% Win percentage

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Frequently asked questions

When does Daniel T vs Johnson Andrew start?

August 25, 2026.