FreeMatch preview

Ofner S — Nishikori K

Tennis 25.08.2026 15:00 UTC
Favourite Nishikori K best odds 1.90 Venue: Stadium 17

AI analysis of team form, streaks and match statistics — full pick, probabilities and value below.

Full Access Go deeper than the free pick Your free pick and probability are below. Full Access adds the full 7-AI consensus, every value-edge pick, math-model probabilities and complete reports for every match.
Get Full Access →
US Open. Men. Qualifying Wild Card Challenge
US Open. Men. Qualifying Wild Card Challenge International
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
25.08.2026 15:00 UTC
Finished

US Open. Men. Qualifying Wild Card Challenge

Ofner S vs Nishikori K — Tennis prediction

International Tennis
Ofner S
Ofner S
1 : 2
1:6 6:2 2:6
Finished
Nishikori K
Nishikori K

Ofner S face Nishikori K on August 25, 2026 in the US Open. Men. Qualifying Wild Card Challenge, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Ofner S 0-0-5, Nishikori K 2-0-3. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PropickAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 Safe pick banker

Match winner Nishikori K

Model confidence 90% ~95% on our history

How often this pick wins on our settled history — not a profit forecast.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Ofner S - Nishikori K August 25, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Nishikori K. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 9.00 / 2 1.05

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 6.4% 6 books · best price +1.9%
1 49.7%
2 50.3%

Odds source: consensus of 6 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Ofner S
50%
9.00
Nishikori K
50%
1.90
Handicap
Ofner S (0.5)
50%
3.90
Nishikori K (0.5)
50%
1.84
Total
Over 22.5
51%
1.86
Under 22.5
49%
2.55

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Head-to-head

1Wins0
2.0Sets on average0.0

Head-to-head matches: 1 · average total 2.0 (sets)

Team form

Ofner S
2-8LWLWLLLLLL
sets for 0.8sets against 1.9
Nishikori K
5-5LWLWLLWLWW
sets for 1.3sets against 1.3

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Play-by-play

Match timeline

Ofner SNishikori K
  • Match started
  • Set 1 Break 0-2 Nishikori K
  • Set 1 Break 0-4 Nishikori K
  • Set 1 1-6 Nishikori K
  • Set 2 Break 2-0 Ofner S
  • Set 2 6-2 Ofner S
  • Set 3 Break 0-1 Nishikori K
  • Set 3 Break 2-5 Nishikori K
  • Set 3 2-6 Nishikori K
  • Match ended 1-2 Nishikori K

Play-by-play: gismo. For reference.

Playoff draw

Tournament bracket 2026 US Open, New York, USA, Qualifying

Qualification round 1
Gea, Arthur2
Nagal, Sumit0
Chidekh, Clement2
Coria, Federico0
Mikrut, Luka2
Sanchez Izquierdo, Nikolas0
Kouame, Moise1
Basavareddy, Nishesh2
Wong, Coleman2
Moller, Elmer1
Neumayer, Lukas2
McCabe, James0
Squire, Henri1
Jorda Sanchis, David2
Kwon, Soonwoo0
Lajovic, Dusan0
Gaston, Hugo2
Justo, Guido Ivan0
Ilagan, Andre2
Boyer, Tristan1
Kym, Jerome2
Added, Dan0
Smith, Colton2
Pellegrino, Andrea1
Fearnley, Jacob2
Carballes Baena, Roberto0
Pavlovic, Luka2
Varillas, Juan Pablo1
Dedura-Palomero, Diego0
Ferreira Silva, Frederico2
Coppejans, Kimmer0
Rodionov, Jurij2
Droguet, Titouan1
Rincon, Daniel2
Lajal, Mark1
Lee, Jordan2
Den Ouden, Guy1
Olivieri, Genaro Alberto2
Prado Angelo, Juan Carlos1
Barrios Vera, Tomas2
Mochizuki, Shintaro2
Milavsky, Daniel0
Shick, Braden2
Tabur, Clement0
Passaro, Francesco2
Gill, Felix0
Martin Tiffon, Pol0
Gentzsch, Tom2
Samuel, Toby2
Maestrelli, Francesco1
Bueno, Gonzalo0
Harris, Billy2
Roncadelli, Franco0
Ymer, Elias2
Johnson, Spencer1
Garin, Cristian2
Svrcina, Dalibor2
Meligeni Alves, Felipe0
Smith, Keegan0
Galarneau, Alexis2
Brancaccio, Raul0
Seyboth Wild, Thiago2
Napolitano, Stefano0
McDonald, Mackenzie2
Virtanen, Otto2
Blanchet, Ugo0
Pinnington Jones, Jack2
Svajda, Trevor0
Skatov, Timofey2
Bailly, Gilles Arnaud0
Giustino, Lorenzo0
Dimitrov, Grigor2
Jacquet, Kyrian2
Midon, Lautaro0
Gomez, Federico Agustin0
Dougaz, Aziz2
Guerrieri, Andrea2
Holmgren, August1
Schwaerzler, Joel2
Heide, Gustavo1
Bu, Yunchaokete2
Noguchi, Rio1
Kolar, Zdenek0
Gojo, Borna2
Nardi, Luca0
Cina, Federico0
Echargui, Moez0
Dellien, Hugo2
Piros, Zsombor2
Alcala Gurri, Max0
Martinez, Pedro0
Glinka, Daniil2
Kasnikowski, Maks1
Budkov Kjaer, Nicolai2
Sakellaridis, Stefanos0
O'Connell, Christopher2
Mejia, Nicolas1
Draxl, Liam2
Daniel, Taro1
Johnson, Andrew2
Secord, Jack0
Schoolkate, Tristan2
Hong, Seongchan2
Basilashvili, Nikoloz0
Gaubas, Vilius2
Feldbausch, Kilian0
Cecchinato, Marco2
Broady, Liam0
Bertola, Remy2
Moro Canas, Alejandro0
Wendelken, Harry2
Travaglia, Stefano1
Rocha, Henrique2
Mmoh, Michael0
Tomic, Bernard1
Harris, Lloyd2
Onclin, Gauthier0
Sachko, Vitaliy2
Bolt, Alex0
Llamas Ruiz, Pablo2
Ofner, Sebastian1
Nishikori, Kei2
Antonius, Michael2
Searle, Henry0
Clarke, Jay1
Sakamoto, Rei2
Djere, Laslo0
Muller, Alexandre2
Qualification round 2
Gea, Arthur2
Chidekh, Clement1
Mikrut, Luka0
Basavareddy, Nishesh2
Wong, Coleman2
Neumayer, Lukas0
Jorda Sanchis, David0
Lajovic, Dusan2
Gaston, Hugo2
Ilagan, Andre0
Kym, Jerome1
Smith, Colton2
Fearnley, Jacob2
Pavlovic, Luka1
Ferreira Silva, Frederico1
Rodionov, Jurij2
Rincon, Daniel2
Lee, Jordan1
Olivieri, Genaro Alberto0
Barrios Vera, Tomas2
Mochizuki, Shintaro2
Shick, Braden0
Passaro, Francesco2
Gentzsch, Tom0
Samuel, Toby2
Harris, Billy1
Ymer, Elias0
Garin, Cristian2
Svrcina, Dalibor2
Galarneau, Alexis0
Seyboth Wild, Thiago0
McDonald, Mackenzie2
Virtanen, Otto2
Pinnington Jones, Jack1
Skatov, Timofey0
Dimitrov, Grigor2
Jacquet, Kyrian1
Dougaz, Aziz2
Guerrieri, Andrea2
Schwaerzler, Joel1
Bu, Yunchaokete2
Gojo, Borna0
Cina, Federico2
Dellien, Hugo1
Piros, Zsombor2
Glinka, Daniil1
Budkov Kjaer, Nicolai0
O'Connell, Christopher2
Draxl, Liam2
Johnson, Andrew0
Schoolkate, Tristan2
Hong, Seongchan0
Gaubas, Vilius2
Cecchinato, Marco0
Bertola, Remy1
Wendelken, Harry2
Rocha, Henrique1
Harris, Lloyd2
Sachko, Vitaliy1
Llamas Ruiz, Pablo2
Nishikori, Kei2
Antonius, Michael0
Sakamoto, Rei2
Muller, Alexandre0
Qualification Final
Gea, Arthur0
Basavareddy, Nishesh0
Wong, Coleman2
Lajovic, Dusan0
Gaston, Hugo0
Smith, Colton0
Fearnley, Jacob0
Rodionov, Jurij0
Rincon, Daniel0
Barrios Vera, Tomas2
Mochizuki, Shintaro0
Passaro, Francesco0
Samuel, Toby0
Garin, Cristian0
Svrcina, Dalibor0
McDonald, Mackenzie0
Virtanen, Otto0
Dimitrov, Grigor0
Dougaz, Aziz0
Guerrieri, Andrea2
Bu, Yunchaokete0
Cina, Federico0
Piros, Zsombor0
O'Connell, Christopher0
Draxl, Liam0
Schoolkate, Tristan0
Gaubas, Vilius0
Wendelken, Harry0
Harris, Lloyd0
Llamas Ruiz, Pablo0
Nishikori, Kei0
Sakamoto, Rei0

Playoff draw: gismo. For reference.

Unlock the full AI analysis

Get the 7-AI consensus, math-model probabilities, value picks and full reports for every match with Full Access.

Get Full Access →
Match center
Start 25.08.2026 15:00 UTC
Market 1 10.4% @ 9.00 / 2 89.6% @ 1.05
🏦 Virtual bank $10,000
$10,000Virtual balance

Play free: you start with $10,000 in virtual money. Bet on this match at our odds, then track your profit and climb the global leaderboard. No real money, no sign-up.

Match center

Ofner S - Nishikori K

Form 5/5 recent games
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form home - 50.2% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.503 / LogLoss 0.697
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form home - 50.0% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.500 / LogLoss 0.694
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.05 Fonbet · line only
1 9.00 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.63 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.20 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 2.13 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 3.90 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 10.5 3.00 market consensus · line only
Over 17.5 1.87 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.84 54.4%
1.82 55.0% 1.70 58.8%
1.81 55.3% 1.82 55.0%
1.94 51.6%
2.00 50.0%
1.84 54.4% 1.20 83.3%
1.76 56.8% 1.80 55.6%
1.94 51.6% 1.63 61.4%
1.97 50.8% 2.08 48.1% 1.63 61.4%
1.98 50.5% 2.00 50.0%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.03 97.1%
7.00 14.3%
1.07 93.5%
9.50 10.5%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 17.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 18.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 19.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 20.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 21.5 2.15 46.5%
Over 22.5 1.86 53.8% 1.84 54.4% 1.45 69.0%
Over 23.5 1.20 83.3%
Over 24.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 25.5 5.10 19.6%
Over 26.5 3.00 33.3%
Over 27.5 4.40 22.7%
Under 17.5 1.88 53.2%
Under 18.5 1.75 57.1%
Under 19.5 2.02 49.5%
Under 22.5 1.92 52.1% 1.90 52.6%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 2.5 1.03 97.1%
Under 2.5 9.50 10.5%
Match center
Ofner S
L L L L L
2026-08-18 2026 Cancun, Mexico
Ofner S Safiullin R 2:0 Ofner S
2026-08-12 2026 Cincinnati, USA, Qualifying
Ofner S Trungelliti M 2:1 Ofner S
2026-08-01 2026 Montreal, Canada, Qualifying
Ofner S Fearnley J 2:0 Ofner S
2026-07-21 2026 Kitzbuhel, Austria
Ofner S Molcan A 2:0 Ofner S
2026-07-14 2026 Bastad, Sweden
Ofner S Ofner S 0:2 Tirante T A
0 Wins
5 Losses
0.2 Sets won
2.0 Sets lost
0% Win percentage
Nishikori K
L W L L W
2026-08-13 2026 Cincinnati, USA, Qualifying
Trungelliti M 2:1 Nishikori K Nishikori K
2026-08-11 2026 Cincinnati, USA, Qualifying
Nishikori K 2:1 Comesana F Nishikori K
2026-08-01 2026 Montreal, Canada, Qualifying
Zheng Michael 2:0 Nishikori K Nishikori K
2026-07-29 2026 Washington, USA
Jodar R 2:0 Nishikori K Nishikori K
2026-07-27 2026 Washington, USA
Nishikori K 2:1 Shang Juncheng Nishikori K
2 Wins
3 Losses
1.0 Sets won
1.6 Sets lost
40% Win percentage

Detailed match statistics Ofner S – Nishikori K

4Aces1
4Double Faults3
2/7Break Points Won4/11
71Points won80
6Max Points in a Row7
9Games won14
3Max Games in a Row5
36/26/62Service Points Won54/35/89
35/54/89Receiver Points Won26/36/62
7/4/11Service Games Won10/2/12
0Tiebreaks Won0
33/15/481st Serve Pts. Won47/30/77
3/11/142nd Serve Pts. Won7/5/12
48/14/621st Serve Successful77/12/89
10/4/142nd Serve Successful12/3/15

Sportradar · Winline StatsHub

Recent form

Ofner S LLLLLL
Nishikori K WLWLLW

Match facts

Round: 14 Stadium: Stadium 17

Sportradar · Winline StatsHub

Frequently asked questions

What does PropickAI predict for Ofner S vs Nishikori K?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Nishikori K. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

What are the bookmaker odds for Ofner S vs Nishikori K?

Live odds for Ofner S vs Nishikori K from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.

When does Ofner S vs Nishikori K start?

August 25, 2026.