AI verdict

AI pick Gea A win probability ~65% confidence High best odds 1.01

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Gea A. Full breakdown below.

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US Open. Men. Qualifying Wild Card Challenge
US Open. Men. Qualifying Wild Card Challenge International

Gea A - Chidekh C

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
Tennis US Open. Men. Qualifying Wild Card Challenge
US Open. Men. Qualifying Wild Card Challenge grass 26.08.2026 18:45 UTC Finished
26.08.2026 18:45 UTC Finished
Gea A
Gea A
Rank #185 Elo 304
67Average Form
W L W W W L W L
Chidekh C
Chidekh C
Rank #86 Elo 709
68Average Form
W W L W W W L W
2:1 6:4 6:7 6:2
1 2 3 GP
Gea A 6 6 6 2
Chidekh C 4 7 2 1
1 2 3
Coverage: grass
Preview

Extended stats (scorego)

Gea A Chidekh C
Win % 62.7% 64%
Hard % 72.8% 66.8%
Clay % 53.2% 38.1%
Grass % 55.6% 50%
Deciding set % 49.4% 56.4%
Tie-breaks % 60% 52.6%
Titles (total) 11 13
Last 10 WWWWWWLWWW WLWWWLWWWL

Source: scorego-app.com

About the athletes

- Country -
#185 Rating #86
25 Age 21
1.80m Height (cm) 1.80m
75kg Weight (kg) 72kg
Right Hand Right
- Seed -
grass Coverage grass
0 H2H 0

Serve and return stats

Gea A Chidekh C
Aces per match 3.04 5.22
Double faults per match 3.2 3.63
Breaks per match 2.44 2.7

Source:tennisstats.com (per-match averages)

TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return

Clement Chidekh
Rank:185 Elo: 304
W L W W W L W L
Arthur Gea
Rank:86 Elo: 709
W W L W W W L W
Elo favourite:Gea A (edge +405 Elo)

Hard

Clement ChidekhArthur Gea
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 71.4% 30 / 42 Matches 90.0% 18 / 20 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 65.1% 41 / 63 Matches 75.7% 28 / 37 Matches

Clay

Clement ChidekhArthur Gea
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 0.0% 0 / 1 Matches 63.2% 12 / 19 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 0.0% 0 / 1 Matches 63.2% 12 / 19 Matches

Grass

Clement ChidekhArthur Gea
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 60.0% 6 / 10 Matches 57.1% 4 / 7 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 60.0% 6 / 10 Matches 57.1% 4 / 7 Matches

Source:tennisstats.com

H2H series (tennisstats)

Clement Chidekh Arthur Gea
H2H wins 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Sets 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Wins this year 67.3% 37 / 55 Matches 67.9% 36 / 53 Matches
Wins in 12 mo. 63.2% 48 / 76 Matches 65.7% 46 / 70 Matches
Current rank 185 86

Source: tennisstats.com

Profile and percentages (tennisstats)

Clement Chidekh Arthur Gea
Prize money (career) $113,148 USD $72,927 USD
Rating 185 86
Age 25 21
Height 1.80m 1.80m
Weight 75kg 72kg
Playing hand Right-handed Right-handed

Win percentage (match / set)

Clement Chidekh Arthur Gea
Match Wins 67 % 68 %
Match Wins (3 Sets) 68 % 74 %
Match Wins (5 Sets) 0 % 40 %
Wins in Straight Sets 42 % 43 %
Wins From Behind 28 % 32 %
Won At Least 1 Set 80 % 87 %
Set 1 Win 64 % 64 %
Set 2 Win 57 % 67 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)

Outcome percentages for totals and props: values for each player and a match-total column.

Total games

Clement Chidekh Arthur Gea Match total
Average Games in a Set 9.76 9.87 9.82
Over 6.5 100 % 96 % 98 %
Over 7.5 89 % 91 % 90 %
Over 8.5 72 % 72 % 72 %
Over 9.5 45 % 46 % 46 %
Over 10.5 26 % 28 % 27 %
Over 11.5 26 % 28 % 27 %

Aces

Clement Chidekh Arthur Gea Match total
Aces Per Match 3.04 5.22 8.26
Most Aces in a match 22 % 70 % N/A
1+ 90 % 96 % 98 %
2+ 73 % 87 % 95 %
3+ 49 % 72 % 91 %
4+ 33 % 59 % 85 %
5+ 18 % 46 % 76 %

Breaks

Clement Chidekh Arthur Gea Match total
Breaks Per Match 2.44 2.7 5.14
Over 0.5 61 % 100 % 100 %
Over 1.5 59 % 100 % 100 %
Over 2.5 18 % 35 % 99 %
Over 3.5 10 % 33 % 96 %
Over 4.5 8 % 4 % 75 %
Over 5.5 2 % 2 % 25 %

Tie-breaks

Clement Chidekh Arthur Gea Match total
Tie Breaks Per Match 0.34 0.43 0.39
Over 0.5 28 % 39 % 34 %
Over 1.5 6 % 4 % 5 %
Under 0.5 72 % 61 % 34 %
Under 1.5 94 % 96 % 5 %

Double faults

Clement Chidekh Arthur Gea Match total
Double Faults Per Match 3.2 3.63 6.83
Over 0.5 (1+) 100 % 100 % 100 %
Over 1.5 (2+) 86 % 85 % 98 %
Over 2.5 (3+) 57 % 72 % 92 %
Over 3.5 (4+) 43 % 41 % 83 %
Over 4.5 (5+) 22 % 26 % 70 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 10 % 20 % 58 %

Net points

Clement Chidekh Arthur Gea Match total
Net Points Won Per Match 7.62 6.46 14.08
Over 4.5 (5+) 87 % 50 % 69 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 83 % 42 % 63 %
Over 6.5 (7+) 70 % 29 % 50 %
Over 7.5 (8+) 50 % 25 % 38 %
Over 8.5 (9+) 47 % 21 % 34 %
Over 9.5 (10+) 40 % 17 % 29 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Odds
P1 1.44 65.6% BetBoom
P2 2.75 34.4% BetBoom

Gea A go head-to-head with Chidekh C on August 26, 2026 in the US Open. Men. Qualifying Wild Card Challenge, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Gea A 5-0-0, Chidekh C 4-0-1. PropickAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 65% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PropickAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Gea A65%

1 · Gea A ✓ Pick64.6%
market 65%
2 · Chidekh C35.4%
market 35%

Model estimate: win Gea A 64.6%, win Chidekh C 35.4%. Model favourite — Gea A.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🎯 Safe pick banker

Match winner Gea A

Model confidence 92% ~95% on our history

How often this pick wins on our settled history — not a profit forecast.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Gea A - Chidekh C August 26, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Gea A.

Line favourite Fonbet: Gea A. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 11.00
  • Glicko: Gea A 64.6% / Chidekh C 35.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.2% 4 books · best price +1.1%
1 ✓ Pick 65.5%
2 34.5%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Fonbet, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.38 ↑ 1.42
Winner 2 3.05 ↓ 2.75

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Gea A
65%
1.44
Chidekh C
35%
11.00
Total
Over 9.5
50%
1.87
Under 9.5
50%
1.87

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

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Match center
Start 26.08.2026 18:45 UTC
Market 1 91.6% @ 1.01 / 2 8.4% @ 11.00
Coverage grass
Form 6 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Gea A 65%
💹 Market Gea A 65%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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$10,000Virtual balance

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Match center

Gea A - Chidekh C

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:1
Events 0
Statistics 24
Set Gea A Chidekh C Result
Set 1 6 4 6:4
Set 2 6 7 6:7
Set 3 6 2 6:2
Metric Gea A Chidekh C SStats
Nevynuzhdennye oshibki 33 26 final
Vinnery 30 26 final
Breyk-poynty realizovany 1/5 2/6 final
Points na prieme 36% (32/89) 38% (35/91) final
Eysy 4 6 final
Breyk-poynty otygrany 4/6 4/5 final
Dvoynye oshibki 1 6 final
Pervaya podacha, % 67% 51% final
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 64.6% fact: home hit / ROI 44.0% / Brier 0.251 / LogLoss 0.437
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 51.7% fact: home hit / ROI 44.0% / Brier 0.466 / LogLoss 0.659
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Gea A 65.5% 59.8% market and model agree
Chidekh C 34.5% 40.2% market and model agree
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Model = Glicko + Elo strength prior (heuristic, historical calibration in progress). Glicko64.6% · +Elo prior (weight0.46).

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 64.6% / 35.4% probabilities
Rating 1,949 / 1,835 Gea A / Chidekh C
RD 227 / 167 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,494-2,404 / 1,500-2,170 strength interval

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.70 market consensus · no value · model 35.4%
1 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 64.6%
Handicap
2 +0.5 2.85 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.37 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 10.5 3.40 market consensus · line only
Over 18.5 1.32 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet Leon
1.37 73.0%
1.50 66.7%
1.78 56.2%
1.01 99.0% 1.84 54.4%
1.02 98.0%
4.10 24.4%
2.85 35.1%
1.90 52.6%
2.40 41.7%
1.98 50.5%
12.00 8.3%
9.50 10.5%
1.19 84.0%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.13 88.5%
5.80 17.2%
1.10 90.9%
5.00 20.0%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 18.5 1.32 75.8%
Over 19.5 1.30 76.9%
Over 20.5 2.80 35.7%
Over 21.5 1.78 56.2%
Over 22.5 1.45 69.0%
Over 23.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 24.5 2.05 48.8%
Over 26.5 2.45 40.8%
Over 28.5 2.55 39.2%
Over 29.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 30.5 1.25 80.0%
Over 31.5 9.50 10.5%
Over 32.5 12.00 8.3%
Over 33.5 3.20 31.3%
Under 18.5 3.05 32.8%
Under 19.5 3.30 30.3%
Under 20.5 1.38 72.5%
Under 21.5 2.00 50.0%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 2.5 1.10 90.9%
Under 2.5 5.80 17.2%
Match center

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.39 (Betcity) · 2 3.3 (Pari)
Bookmaker12
Pari 1.33 3.3
Winline 1.37 3.1
Fonbet 1.33 3.3
Betcity 1.39 2.85
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Gea A
W W W W W
2026-08-25 2026 US Open, New York, USA, Qualifying
Gea A Gea A 2:0 Nagal S
2026-08-02 2026 Los Cabos, Mexico
Gea A Gea A 2:0 Shapovalov D
2026-08-01 2026 Los Cabos, Mexico
Gea A Wong C 0:2 Gea A
2026-07-31 2026 Los Cabos, Mexico
Gea A Cerundolo F 1:2 Gea A
2026-07-30 2026 Los Cabos, Mexico
Gea A Gea A 2:1 Zheng Michael
5 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.4 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Chidekh C
W L W W W
2026-08-25 2026 US Open, New York, USA, Qualifying
Chidekh C 2:0 Coria F Chidekh C
2026-08-21 2026 Kingston, Jamaica
Royer V 2:1 Chidekh C Chidekh C
2026-08-20 2026 Kingston, Jamaica
Chidekh C 2:0 Midon L Chidekh C
2026-08-19 2026 Kingston, Jamaica
Miyoshi K 0:2 Chidekh C Chidekh C
2026-08-18 2026 Kingston, Jamaica
Clarke J 1:2 Chidekh C Chidekh C
4 Wins
1 Losses
1.8 Sets won
0.6 Sets lost
80% Win percentage

Recent form

Gea A WWWWWW
Chidekh C LWLWWW

Match facts

Round: 15 Stadium: Court 10

Sportradar · Winline StatsHub

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gea A vs Chidekh C?

By the PropickAI model, Gea A is favoured — about 65% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for Gea A vs Chidekh C?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Gea A. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

When does Gea A vs Chidekh C start?

August 26, 2026.