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AI verdict

AI pick Ilagan A win probability ~51% best odds 1.12

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Ilagan A. Full breakdown below.

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US Open. Men. Qualifying Wild Card Challenge
US Open. Men. Qualifying Wild Card Challenge International
25.08.2026 19:25 UTC Match prediction

Ilagan A vs Boyer T — Tennis prediction

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis US Open. Men. Qualifying Wild Card Challenge
US Open. Men. Qualifying Wild Card Challenge grass 25.08.2026 19:25 UTC Finished
25.08.2026 19:25 UTC Finished
Ilagan A
Ilagan A
Rank #170 Elo 338
54Average Form
L L W L L W W L
Boyer T
Boyer T
Rank #210 Elo 269
64Average Form
L L W W L W L W
2:1 6:4 3:6 6:4
1 2 3 GP
Ilagan A 6 3 6 2
Boyer T 4 6 4 1
1 2 3
Coverage: grass
Preview

Extended stats (scorego)

Ilagan A Boyer T
Win % 62% 54.5%
Hard % 61.6% 53.2%
Clay % 75% 56.7%
Grass % 75% 45.5%
Deciding set % 55.4% 54.5%
Tie-breaks % 46.3% 47.1%
Titles (total) 3 4
Last 10 LWWWWLWWWW LLWLLWWWLW

Source: scorego-app.com

About the athletes

- Country -
#170 Rating #210
25 Age 25
1.88m Height (cm) 1.73m
84kg Weight (kg) 64kg
Right Hand Left
- Seed -
grass Coverage grass
0 H2H 0

Serve and return stats

Ilagan A Boyer T
Aces per match 2.69 4.20
Double faults per match 2.12 2.29
Breaks per match 2.52 2.95

Source:tennisstats.com (per-match averages)

TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return

Tristan Boyer
Rank:170 Elo: 338
L L W L L W W L
Andre Ilagan
Rank:210 Elo: 269
L L W W L W L W
Elo favourite:Boyer T (edge +69 Elo)

Hard

Tristan BoyerAndre Ilagan
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 38.9% 7 / 18 Matches 61.4% 35 / 57 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 36.4% 8 / 22 Matches 59.5% 47 / 79 Matches

Clay

Tristan BoyerAndre Ilagan
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 75.0% 9 / 12 Matches N/A 0 / 0 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 66.7% 12 / 18 Matches N/A 0 / 0 Matches

Grass

Tristan BoyerAndre Ilagan
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 0.0% 0 / 1 Matches 75.0% 3 / 4 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 0.0% 0 / 1 Matches 75.0% 3 / 4 Matches

Source:tennisstats.com

H2H series (tennisstats)

Tristan Boyer Andre Ilagan
H2H wins 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Sets 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Wins this year 54.3% 19 / 35 Matches 64.1% 41 / 64 Matches
Wins in 12 mo. 50.0% 23 / 46 Matches 62.1% 54 / 87 Matches
Current rank 170 210

Source: tennisstats.com

Profile and percentages (tennisstats)

Tristan Boyer Andre Ilagan
Prize money (career) $231,671 USD $32,896 USD
Rating 170 210
Age 25 25
Height 1.88m 1.73m
Weight 84kg 64kg
Playing hand Right-handed Left-handed

Win percentage (match / set)

Tristan Boyer Andre Ilagan
Match Wins 54 % 64 %
Match Wins (3 Sets) 52 % 62 %
Match Wins (5 Sets) 100 % N/A
Wins in Straight Sets 31 % 45 %
Wins From Behind 12 % 23 %
Won At Least 1 Set 71 % 78 %
Set 1 Win 57 % 59 %
Set 2 Win 47 % 64 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)

Outcome percentages for totals and props: values for each player and a match-total column.

Total games

Tristan Boyer Andre Ilagan Match total
Average Games in a Set 9.43 9.69 9.56
Over 6.5 94 % 98 % 96 %
Over 7.5 87 % 87 % 87 %
Over 8.5 65 % 72 % 69 %
Over 9.5 39 % 46 % 43 %
Over 10.5 26 % 28 % 27 %
Over 11.5 26 % 28 % 27 %

Aces

Tristan Boyer Andre Ilagan Match total
Aces Per Match 2.69 4.20 6.89
Most Aces in a match 31 % 27 % N/A
1+ 81 % 96 % 97 %
2+ 56 % 84 % 92 %
3+ 47 % 69 % 84 %
4+ 22 % 55 % 82 %
5+ 22 % 43 % 72 %

Breaks

Tristan Boyer Andre Ilagan Match total
Breaks Per Match 2.52 2.95 5.47
Over 0.5 100 % 98 % 100 %
Over 1.5 100 % 47 % 100 %
Over 2.5 6 % 45 % 99 %
Over 3.5 3 % 45 % 73 %
Over 4.5 0 % 2 % 72 %
Over 5.5 0 % 0 % 22 %

Tie-breaks

Tristan Boyer Andre Ilagan Match total
Tie Breaks Per Match 0.29 0.48 0.38
Over 0.5 29 % 43 % 36 %
Over 1.5 0 % 5 % 2 %
Under 0.5 71 % 57 % 36 %
Under 1.5 100 % 95 % 2 %

Double faults

Tristan Boyer Andre Ilagan Match total
Double Faults Per Match 2.12 2.29 4.41
Over 0.5 (1+) 81 % 84 % 97 %
Over 1.5 (2+) 63 % 71 % 93 %
Over 2.5 (3+) 34 % 41 % 77 %
Over 3.5 (4+) 16 % 18 % 66 %
Over 4.5 (5+) 9 % 4 % 50 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 6 % 4 % 41 %

Net points

Tristan Boyer Andre Ilagan Match total
Net Points Won Per Match 8.94 5.23 14.17
Over 4.5 (5+) 75 % 55 % 65 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 75 % 45 % 60 %
Over 6.5 (7+) 69 % 23 % 46 %
Over 7.5 (8+) 50 % 23 % 37 %
Over 8.5 (9+) 50 % 18 % 34 %
Over 9.5 (10+) 44 % 5 % 25 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Odds
P1 1.93 50.3% BetBoom
P2 1.95 49.7% BetBoom

Ilagan A face Boyer T on August 25, 2026 in the US Open. Men. Qualifying Wild Card Challenge, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Ilagan A 3-0-2, Boyer T 2-0-3. PropickAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 51% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PropickAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Ilagan A — 51%

1 · Ilagan A50.7%
2 · Boyer T49.3%

Model estimate: win Ilagan A 50.7%, win Boyer T 49.3%. Model favourite — Ilagan A.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🎯 Safe pick strong

Match winner — Ilagan A

Model confidence 84% ~87% on our history

How often this pick wins on our settled history — not a profit forecast.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Ilagan A - Boyer T August 25, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Ilagan A.

Line favourite Fonbet: Ilagan A. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.12 / 2 5.70
  • Glicko: Ilagan A 50.7% / Boyer T 49.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 6.8% 6 books · best price +209.8%
1 49.5%
2 50.5%

Odds source: consensus of 6 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 2.05 ↓ 1.85
Winner 2 1.77 ↑ 1.95

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Ilagan A
49%
1.93
Boyer T
51%
5.70
Handicap
Ilagan A (0.5)
51%
1.85
Boyer T (0.5)
49%
5.30
Total
Over 23.5
48%
2.00
Under 23.5
52%
1.80

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Playoff draw

Tournament bracket 2026 US Open, New York, USA, Qualifying

Qualification round 1
Gea, Arthur2
Nagal, Sumit0
Chidekh, Clement2
Coria, Federico0
Mikrut, Luka2
Sanchez Izquierdo, Nikolas0
Kouame, Moise1
Basavareddy, Nishesh2
Wong, Coleman2
Moller, Elmer1
Neumayer, Lukas2
McCabe, James0
Squire, Henri1
Jorda Sanchis, David2
Kwon, Soonwoo0
Lajovic, Dusan0
Gaston, Hugo2
Justo, Guido Ivan0
Ilagan, Andre2
Boyer, Tristan1
Kym, Jerome2
Added, Dan0
Smith, Colton2
Pellegrino, Andrea1
Fearnley, Jacob2
Carballes Baena, Roberto0
Pavlovic, Luka2
Varillas, Juan Pablo1
Dedura-Palomero, Diego0
Ferreira Silva, Frederico2
Coppejans, Kimmer0
Rodionov, Jurij2
Droguet, Titouan1
Rincon, Daniel2
Lajal, Mark1
Lee, Jordan2
Den Ouden, Guy1
Olivieri, Genaro Alberto2
Prado Angelo, Juan Carlos1
Barrios Vera, Tomas2
Mochizuki, Shintaro2
Milavsky, Daniel0
Shick, Braden2
Tabur, Clement0
Passaro, Francesco2
Gill, Felix0
Martin Tiffon, Pol0
Gentzsch, Tom2
Samuel, Toby2
Maestrelli, Francesco1
Bueno, Gonzalo0
Harris, Billy2
Roncadelli, Franco0
Ymer, Elias2
Johnson, Spencer1
Garin, Cristian2
Svrcina, Dalibor2
Meligeni Alves, Felipe0
Smith, Keegan0
Galarneau, Alexis2
Brancaccio, Raul0
Seyboth Wild, Thiago2
Napolitano, Stefano0
McDonald, Mackenzie2
Virtanen, Otto2
Blanchet, Ugo0
Pinnington Jones, Jack2
Svajda, Trevor0
Skatov, Timofey2
Bailly, Gilles Arnaud0
Giustino, Lorenzo0
Dimitrov, Grigor2
Jacquet, Kyrian2
Midon, Lautaro0
Gomez, Federico Agustin0
Dougaz, Aziz2
Guerrieri, Andrea2
Holmgren, August1
Schwaerzler, Joel2
Heide, Gustavo1
Bu, Yunchaokete2
Noguchi, Rio1
Kolar, Zdenek0
Gojo, Borna2
Nardi, Luca0
Cina, Federico0
Echargui, Moez0
Dellien, Hugo2
Piros, Zsombor2
Alcala Gurri, Max0
Martinez, Pedro0
Glinka, Daniil2
Kasnikowski, Maks1
Budkov Kjaer, Nicolai2
Sakellaridis, Stefanos0
O'Connell, Christopher2
Mejia, Nicolas1
Draxl, Liam2
Daniel, Taro1
Johnson, Andrew2
Secord, Jack0
Schoolkate, Tristan2
Hong, Seongchan2
Basilashvili, Nikoloz0
Gaubas, Vilius2
Feldbausch, Kilian0
Cecchinato, Marco2
Broady, Liam0
Bertola, Remy2
Moro Canas, Alejandro0
Wendelken, Harry2
Travaglia, Stefano1
Rocha, Henrique2
Mmoh, Michael0
Tomic, Bernard1
Harris, Lloyd2
Onclin, Gauthier0
Sachko, Vitaliy2
Bolt, Alex0
Llamas Ruiz, Pablo2
Ofner, Sebastian1
Nishikori, Kei2
Antonius, Michael2
Searle, Henry0
Clarke, Jay1
Sakamoto, Rei2
Djere, Laslo0
Muller, Alexandre2
Qualification round 2
Gea, Arthur2
Chidekh, Clement1
Mikrut, Luka0
Basavareddy, Nishesh2
Wong, Coleman2
Neumayer, Lukas0
Jorda Sanchis, David0
Lajovic, Dusan2
Gaston, Hugo2
Ilagan, Andre0
Kym, Jerome1
Smith, Colton2
Fearnley, Jacob2
Pavlovic, Luka1
Ferreira Silva, Frederico1
Rodionov, Jurij2
Rincon, Daniel2
Lee, Jordan1
Olivieri, Genaro Alberto0
Barrios Vera, Tomas2
Mochizuki, Shintaro2
Shick, Braden0
Passaro, Francesco2
Gentzsch, Tom0
Samuel, Toby2
Harris, Billy1
Ymer, Elias0
Garin, Cristian2
Svrcina, Dalibor2
Galarneau, Alexis0
Seyboth Wild, Thiago0
McDonald, Mackenzie2
Virtanen, Otto2
Pinnington Jones, Jack1
Skatov, Timofey0
Dimitrov, Grigor2
Jacquet, Kyrian1
Dougaz, Aziz2
Guerrieri, Andrea2
Schwaerzler, Joel1
Bu, Yunchaokete2
Gojo, Borna0
Cina, Federico2
Dellien, Hugo1
Piros, Zsombor2
Glinka, Daniil1
Budkov Kjaer, Nicolai0
O'Connell, Christopher2
Draxl, Liam2
Johnson, Andrew0
Schoolkate, Tristan2
Hong, Seongchan0
Gaubas, Vilius2
Cecchinato, Marco0
Bertola, Remy1
Wendelken, Harry2
Rocha, Henrique1
Harris, Lloyd2
Sachko, Vitaliy1
Llamas Ruiz, Pablo2
Nishikori, Kei2
Antonius, Michael0
Sakamoto, Rei2
Muller, Alexandre0
Qualification Final
Gea, Arthur0
Basavareddy, Nishesh0
Wong, Coleman2
Lajovic, Dusan0
Gaston, Hugo0
Smith, Colton0
Fearnley, Jacob0
Rodionov, Jurij0
Rincon, Daniel0
Barrios Vera, Tomas2
Mochizuki, Shintaro0
Passaro, Francesco0
Samuel, Toby0
Garin, Cristian0
Svrcina, Dalibor0
McDonald, Mackenzie0
Virtanen, Otto0
Dimitrov, Grigor0
Dougaz, Aziz0
Guerrieri, Andrea2
Bu, Yunchaokete0
Cina, Federico0
Piros, Zsombor0
O'Connell, Christopher0
Draxl, Liam0
Schoolkate, Tristan0
Gaubas, Vilius0
Wendelken, Harry0
Harris, Lloyd0
Llamas Ruiz, Pablo0
Nishikori, Kei0
Sakamoto, Rei0

Playoff draw: gismo. For reference.

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Match center
Start 25.08.2026 19:25 UTC
Market 1 83.6% @ 1.12 / 2 16.4% @ 5.70
Coverage grass
Form 6 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Ilagan A 51%
💹 Market Boyer T 51%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
🏦 Virtual bank $10,000
$10,000Virtual balance

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Match center

Ilagan A - Boyer T

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:1
Events 0
Statistics 0
Set Ilagan A Boyer T Result
Set 1 6 4 6:4
Set 2 3 6 3:6
Set 3 6 4 6:4
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 50.7% fact: home hit / ROI 93.0% / Brier 0.485 / LogLoss 0.678
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 50.1% fact: home hit / ROI 93.0% / Brier 0.498 / LogLoss 0.691
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Ilagan A 49.5% 50.2% market and model agree
Boyer T 50.5% 49.8% market and model agree
1X2: 6 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Model = Glicko + Elo strength prior (heuristic, historical calibration in progress). Glicko50.7% · +Elo prior (weight0.36).

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 50.7% / 49.3% probabilities
Rating 1,763 / 1,447 Ilagan A / Boyer T
RD 168 / 168 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,426-2,100 / 1,111-1,783 strength interval

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.70 Fonbet · weak value +180.7% · model 49.3%
1 1.12 Fonbet · no value · model 50.7%
Handicap
2 -0.5 3.65 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 5.30 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.25 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.10 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 10.5 2.75 market consensus · line only
Over 2.5 1.07 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.84 54.4% — —
1.82 55.0% 1.67 59.9% —
1.97 50.8% — 1.25 80.0%
1.82 55.0% — 5.30 18.9%
— — 2.15 46.5%
— — 11.00 9.1%
1.94 51.6% — 3.65 27.4%
1.97 50.8% 2.13 47.0% 1.68 59.5%
— — 2.40 41.7%
— — 1.77 56.5%
— — 1.70 58.8%
— — 1.43 69.9%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.01 99.0%
7.00 14.3%
1.07 93.5%
12.00 8.3%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 20.5 — — 1.65 60.6%
Over 21.5 — — 1.85 54.1%
Over 22.5 1.80 55.6% — 1.80 55.6%
Over 23.5 1.99 50.3% 1.97 50.8% 2.00 50.0%
Over 24.5 — — 2.00 50.0%
Over 25.5 — — 2.02 49.5%
Over 26.5 — — 1.38 72.5%
Over 27.5 — — 1.22 82.0%
Over 28.5 — — 1.19 84.0%
Over 29.5 — — 3.10 32.3%
Over 30.5 — — 2.90 34.5%
Over 31.5 — — 4.40 22.7%
Under 22.5 1.99 50.3% — —
Under 23.5 1.80 55.6% 1.78 56.2% —

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 2.5 1.07 93.5%
Under 2.5 7.00 14.3%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 1-0-0
2026-08-25 · Andre Ilagan 2:1 Tristan Boyer
Source: ruscore

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 2.12 (Winline) · 2 1.83 (Pari)
Bookmaker12
Pari 1.97 1.83
Winline 2.12 1.71
Fonbet 2 1.8
Betcity 2.03 1.73
Source: ruscore · line comparison

Match stats

8 Eysy 6
2 Dvoynye oshibki 3
10 Vsego breyk-poyntov 4
3 Vyigrannye breyk-poynty 2
89 Vyigrannye Points 86
54 Points na podache 59
27 Poteryannye Points na podache 35
53 Uspeshnaya 1-ya podacha 48
26 Uspeshnaya 2-ya podacha 43
37 Vyigrysh 1-y podachi 31
17 Vyigrysh 2-y podachi 28
7 Maks. ochkov podryad 5
12 Geymy na podache 12
15 Vyigrannye geymy 14
3 Maks. geymov podryad 3
0 Tay-breyk 0
Source: ruscore
Ilagan A
L W W W L
2026-08-16 2026 Brownsburg, USA
Ilagan A Ilagan A 0:2 Harris L
2026-08-15 2026 Brownsburg, USA
Ilagan A Ilagan A 2:0 Pinnington Jones J
2026-08-14 2026 Brownsburg, USA
Ilagan A Ilagan A 2:1 Schoolkate T
2026-08-11 2026 Brownsburg, USA
Ilagan A Ilagan A 2:1 Martin Andres
2026-08-09 2026 Lexington, USA
Ilagan A Ilagan A 1:2 Butvilas E
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.4 Sets won
1.2 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Boyer T
L L W L W
2026-08-17 2026 Quebec City, Canada, Qualifying
Boyer T 0:2 Watt J Boyer T
2026-08-10 2026 Brownsburg, USA, Qualifying
Boyer T 0:2 Mayo A Boyer T
2026-08-09 2026 Brownsburg, USA, Qualifying
Boyer T 2:1 Forbes M Boyer T
2026-08-04 2026 Lexington, USA
Butvilas E 2:1 Boyer T Boyer T
2026-07-30 2026 Los Cabos, Mexico
Cerundolo F 0:1 Boyer T Boyer T
2 Wins
3 Losses
0.8 Sets won
1.4 Sets lost
40% Win percentage

Recent form

Ilagan A WLWWWL
Boyer T LLLWLW

Match facts

Round: 14 Stadium: Court 12

Sportradar · Winline StatsHub

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Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ilagan A vs Boyer T?

By the PropickAI model, Ilagan A is favoured — about 51% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for Ilagan A vs Boyer T?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Ilagan A. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

What are the bookmaker odds for Ilagan A vs Boyer T?

Live odds for Ilagan A vs Boyer T from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.

When does Ilagan A vs Boyer T start?

August 25, 2026.