AI verdict
Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Jacquet K. Full breakdown below.
Picks locked before kickoff results verified after public accuracy log →
| Jacquet K | Dougaz A | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 62.1% |
| Hard % | 62.5% | 63.7% |
| Clay % | 57.1% | 60.2% |
| Grass % | 60% | 16.7% |
| Deciding set % | 50.6% | 50.8% |
| Tie-breaks % | 58.3% | 49.6% |
| Titles (total) | 5 | 13 |
| Last 10 | WLLWWLWLWL | WLWWWWLWWW |
Source: scorego-app.com
| Jacquet K | Dougaz A | |
|---|---|---|
| Aces per match | 7.61 | 4.52 |
| Double faults per match | 3.67 | 3.03 |
| Breaks per match | 9 | 3.38 |
Source:tennisstats.com (per-match averages)
| Aziz Dougaz | Kyrian Jacquet | |
|---|---|---|
| Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year | 77.4% 24 / 31 Matches | 75.0% 12 / 16 Matches |
| Win Percentage Last 12 Months | 77.4% 24 / 31 Matches | 69.4% 25 / 36 Matches |
| Aziz Dougaz | Kyrian Jacquet | |
|---|---|---|
| Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year | 0.0% 0 / 3 Matches | 61.5% 8 / 13 Matches |
| Win Percentage Last 12 Months | 0.0% 0 / 3 Matches | 61.5% 8 / 13 Matches |
| Aziz Dougaz | Kyrian Jacquet | |
|---|---|---|
| Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year | 0.0% 0 / 1 Matches | 60.0% 3 / 5 Matches |
| Win Percentage Last 12 Months | 0.0% 0 / 1 Matches | 60.0% 3 / 5 Matches |
Source:tennisstats.com
| Aziz Dougaz | Kyrian Jacquet | |
|---|---|---|
| H2H wins | 1 (100.0%) | 0 (0.0%) |
| Sets | 2 (66.7%) | 1 (33.3%) |
| Wins this year | 67.6% 25 / 37 Matches | 64.3% 27 / 42 Matches |
| Wins in 12 mo. | 67.6% 25 / 37 Matches | 64.5% 40 / 62 Matches |
| Current rank | 520 | 107 |
Source: tennisstats.com
| Aziz Dougaz | Kyrian Jacquet | |
|---|---|---|
| Prize money (career) | $395,683 USD | $356,255 USD |
| Rating | 520 | 107 |
| Age | 29 | 25 |
| Height | 1.88m | 1.78m |
| Weight | 82kg | 65kg |
| Playing hand | Left-handed | Right-handed |
| Aziz Dougaz | Kyrian Jacquet | |
|---|---|---|
| Match Wins | 68 % | 64 % |
| Match Wins (3 Sets) | 69 % | 68 % |
| Match Wins (5 Sets) | 50 % | 60 % |
| Wins in Straight Sets | 43 % | 45 % |
| Wins From Behind | 25 % | 25 % |
| Won At Least 1 Set | 84 % | 86 % |
| Set 1 Win | 62 % | 69 % |
| Set 2 Win | 65 % | 60 % |
Source:tennisstats.com
| Date | Tournament | Results |
|---|---|---|
| May 21 2024 | French Open ATP (Clay) | Aziz Dougaz 2 – 1 Kyrian Jacquet |
Source:tennisstats.com
Outcome percentages for totals and props: values for each player and a match-total column.
| Aziz Dougaz | Kyrian Jacquet | Match total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average Games in a Set | 9.84 | 9.79 | 9.82 |
| Over 6.5 | 91 % | 94 % | 93 % |
| Over 7.5 | 86 % | 85 % | 86 % |
| Over 8.5 | 74 % | 62 % | 68 % |
| Over 9.5 | 57 % | 47 % | 52 % |
| Over 10.5 | 29 % | 32 % | 31 % |
| Over 11.5 | 29 % | 32 % | 31 % |
| Aziz Dougaz | Kyrian Jacquet | Match total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aces Per Match | 7.61 | 4.52 | 12.13 |
| Most Aces in a match | 83 % | 58 % | N/A |
| 1+ | 100 % | 100 % | 100 % |
| 2+ | 100 % | 94 % | 100 % |
| 3+ | 89 % | 79 % | 99 % |
| 4+ | 83 % | 58 % | 93 % |
| 5+ | 83 % | 42 % | 87 % |
| Aziz Dougaz | Kyrian Jacquet | Match total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Breaks Per Match | 9 | 3.38 | 12.38 |
| Over 0.5 | 100 % | 100 % | 100 % |
| Over 1.5 | 100 % | 100 % | 100 % |
| Over 2.5 | 100 % | 70 % | 100 % |
| Over 3.5 | 100 % | 67 % | 85 % |
| Over 4.5 | 100 % | 55 % | 84 % |
| Over 5.5 | 100 % | 0 % | 82 % |
| Aziz Dougaz | Kyrian Jacquet | Match total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tie Breaks Per Match | 0.34 | 0.53 | 0.44 |
| Over 0.5 | 29 % | 44 % | 36 % |
| Over 1.5 | 6 % | 9 % | 7 % |
| Under 0.5 | 71 % | 56 % | 36 % |
| Under 1.5 | 94 % | 91 % | 7 % |
| Aziz Dougaz | Kyrian Jacquet | Match total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double Faults Per Match | 3.67 | 3.03 | 6.7 |
| Over 0.5 (1+) | 100 % | 97 % | 100 % |
| Over 1.5 (2+) | 83 % | 85 % | 99 % |
| Over 2.5 (3+) | 72 % | 58 % | 94 % |
| Over 3.5 (4+) | 61 % | 30 % | 83 % |
| Over 4.5 (5+) | 28 % | 15 % | 70 % |
| Over 5.5 (6+) | 17 % | 12 % | 60 % |
| Aziz Dougaz | Kyrian Jacquet | Match total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Net Points Won Per Match | 6.33 | 9.45 | 15.78 |
| Over 4.5 (5+) | 33 % | 81 % | 57 % |
| Over 5.5 (6+) | 33 % | 71 % | 52 % |
| Over 6.5 (7+) | 33 % | 71 % | 52 % |
| Over 7.5 (8+) | 33 % | 62 % | 48 % |
| Over 8.5 (9+) | 33 % | 48 % | 41 % |
| Over 9.5 (10+) | 17 % | 48 % | 33 % |
Source:tennisstats.com
Jacquet K face Dougaz A on August 26, 2026 in the US Open. Men. Qualifying Wild Card Challenge, International.
Recent form (W-D-L): Jacquet K 3-0-2, Dougaz A 4-0-1. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. PropickAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 67% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PropickAI AI pick.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Jacquet K — 67%
Model estimate: win Jacquet K 67.2%, win Dougaz A 32.8%. Model favourite — Jacquet K.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Match winner — Dougaz A
How often this pick wins on our settled history — not a profit forecast.
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Dougaz A.
For reference
Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Fonbet, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Market consensus
Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.
Play-by-play
Play-by-play: gismo. For reference.
Playoff draw
Playoff draw: gismo. For reference.
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V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Model = Glicko + Elo strength prior (heuristic, historical calibration in progress). Glicko67.2% · +Elo prior (weight0.24).
Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.72 58.1% | |
| 3.55 28.2% | |
| 1.23 81.3% | |
| 4.70 21.3% | |
| 1.70 58.8% | |
| 2.85 35.1% | |
| 1.85 54.1% | |
| 2.20 45.5% | |
| 2.00 50.0% | |
| 1.25 80.0% | |
| 3.75 26.7% | |
| 1.88 53.2% | |
| 2.02 49.5% | |
| 1.15 87.0% | |
| 2.08 48.1% | |
| 1.37 73.0% | |
| 1.90 52.6% | |
| 1.60 62.5% |
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.28 78.1% | |
| 6.90 14.5% | |
| 1.07 93.5% | |
| 3.35 29.9% |
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 20.5 | 1.55 64.5% |
| Over 21.5 | 1.78 56.2% |
| Over 22.5 | 1.65 60.6% |
| Over 23.5 | 1.68 59.5% |
| Over 24.5 | 1.65 60.6% |
| Over 25.5 | 1.65 60.6% |
| Over 26.5 | 1.75 57.1% |
| Over 27.5 | 1.60 62.5% |
| Over 28.5 | 1.35 74.1% |
| Over 29.5 | 1.23 81.3% |
| Over 30.5 | 3.20 31.3% |
| Over 32.5 | 4.60 21.7% |
| Under 20.5 | 2.25 44.4% |
| Under 21.5 | 2.05 48.8% |
| Under 22.5 | 2.10 47.6% |
| Under 23.5 | 2.05 48.8% |
| Under 24.5 | 2.10 47.6% |
| Under 25.5 | 2.10 47.6% |
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 1.28 78.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 3.35 29.9% |
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| Pari | 1.3 | 3.55 |
| Winline | 1.41 | 2.9 |
| Fonbet | 1.37 | 3.1 |
| Betcity | 1.33 | 3.1 |
Jacquet K
Dougaz A
The Jacquet K - Dougaz A breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
Sportradar · Winline StatsHub
By the PropickAI model, Dougaz A is favoured — about 67% win probability.
The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Dougaz A. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.
Live odds for Jacquet K vs Dougaz A from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.
August 26, 2026.