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AI verdict

AI pick Samuel T win probability ~71% confidence High best odds 1.23

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Samuel T. Full breakdown below.

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US Open. Men. Qualifying Wild Card Challenge
US Open. Men. Qualifying Wild Card Challenge International
26.08.2026 15:00 UTC

Samuel T - Harris B

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis US Open. Men. Qualifying Wild Card Challenge
US Open. Men. Qualifying Wild Card Challenge grass 26.08.2026 15:00 UTC Not started
26.08.2026 15:00 UTC Not started
Samuel T
Samuel T
Rank #161 Elo 349
37Bad Form
W L L L L W W W
Harris B
Harris B
Rank #110 Elo 567
71Good Form
L L W W W L W W
-:-
Coverage: grass
Preview

Extended stats (scorego)

Samuel T Harris B
Win % 71.1% 52.4%
Hard % 75.4% 55.2%
Clay % 62.5% 33.3%
Grass % 40% 61.1%
Deciding set % 46.5% 56.1%
Tie-breaks % 62.5% 49.3%
Titles (total) 11 1
Last 10 WLWWWWWWLL WLLLLWWWLW

Source: scorego-app.com

About the athletes

- Country -
#161 Rating #110
31 Age 23
1.93m Height (cm) 1.91m
89kg Weight (kg) 80kg
Right Hand Right
- Seed -
grass Coverage grass
0 H2H 0

Serve and return stats

Samuel T Harris B
Aces per match 5.12 4.22
Double faults per match 2.12 2.15
Breaks per match 1.91 3.04

Source:tennisstats.com (per-match averages)

TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return

Billy Harris
Rank:161 Elo: 349
W L L L L W W W
Toby Samuel
Rank:110 Elo: 567
L L W W W L W W
Elo favourite:Samuel T (edge +218 Elo)

Hard

Billy HarrisToby Samuel
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 35.3% 6 / 17 Matches 81.5% 22 / 27 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 46.5% 20 / 43 Matches 88.5% 54 / 61 Matches

Clay

Billy HarrisToby Samuel
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 11.1% 1 / 9 Matches 70.0% 7 / 10 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 11.1% 1 / 9 Matches 70.0% 7 / 10 Matches

Grass

Billy HarrisToby Samuel
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 57.1% 4 / 7 Matches 55.6% 5 / 9 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 57.1% 4 / 7 Matches 55.6% 5 / 9 Matches

Source:tennisstats.com

H2H series (tennisstats)

Billy Harris Toby Samuel
H2H wins 0 (0.0%) 1 (100.0%)
Sets 0 (0.0%) 2 (100.0%)
Wins this year 36.8% 14 / 38 Matches 70.8% 34 / 48 Matches
Wins in 12 mo. 43.8% 28 / 64 Matches 80.5% 66 / 82 Matches
Current rank 161 110

Source: tennisstats.com

Profile and percentages (tennisstats)

Billy Harris Toby Samuel
Prize money (career) $1,235,982 USD $76,759 USD
Rating 161 110
Age 31 23
Height 1.93m 1.91m
Weight 89kg 80kg
Playing hand Right-handed Right-handed

Win percentage (match / set)

Billy Harris Toby Samuel
Match Wins 37 % 71 %
Match Wins (3 Sets) 33 % 74 %
Match Wins (5 Sets) 100 % 0 %
Wins in Straight Sets 16 % 56 %
Wins From Behind 18 % 26 %
Won At Least 1 Set 55 % 85 %
Set 1 Win 29 % 73 %
Set 2 Win 42 % 69 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Head-to-Head Record

Date Tournament Results
Jul 15 2023 M25 Nottingham 4 ITF Men (Grass) Billy Harris 0 – 2 Toby Samuel

Source:tennisstats.com

Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)

Outcome percentages for totals and props: values for each player and a match-total column.

Total games

Billy Harris Toby Samuel Match total
Average Games in a Set 9.92 9.83 9.88
Over 6.5 100 % 93 % 97 %
Over 7.5 94 % 87 % 91 %
Over 8.5 76 % 70 % 73 %
Over 9.5 58 % 46 % 52 %
Over 10.5 30 % 33 % 32 %
Over 11.5 30 % 33 % 32 %

Aces

Billy Harris Toby Samuel Match total
Aces Per Match 5.12 4.22 9.34
Most Aces in a match 27 % 65 % N/A
1+ 94 % 93 % 98 %
2+ 79 % 83 % 95 %
3+ 70 % 78 % 88 %
4+ 58 % 63 % 83 %
5+ 48 % 43 % 72 %

Breaks

Billy Harris Toby Samuel Match total
Breaks Per Match 1.91 3.04 4.95
Over 0.5 52 % 100 % 100 %
Over 1.5 9 % 98 % 100 %
Over 2.5 0 % 98 % 74 %
Over 3.5 0 % 0 % 74 %
Over 4.5 0 % 0 % 70 %
Over 5.5 0 % 0 % 35 %

Tie-breaks

Billy Harris Toby Samuel Match total
Tie Breaks Per Match 0.64 0.33 0.48
Over 0.5 42 % 30 % 36 %
Over 1.5 21 % 2 % 12 %
Under 0.5 58 % 70 % 36 %
Under 1.5 79 % 98 % 12 %

Double faults

Billy Harris Toby Samuel Match total
Double Faults Per Match 2.12 2.15 4.27
Over 0.5 (1+) 88 % 80 % 98 %
Over 1.5 (2+) 58 % 58 % 94 %
Over 2.5 (3+) 39 % 33 % 89 %
Over 3.5 (4+) 18 % 18 % 75 %
Over 4.5 (5+) 6 % 15 % 63 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 3 % 8 % 38 %

Net points

Billy Harris Toby Samuel Match total
Net Points Won Per Match 5.85 8.33 14.18
Over 4.5 (5+) 50 % 88 % 69 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 33 % 83 % 58 %
Over 6.5 (7+) 29 % 67 % 48 %
Over 7.5 (8+) 25 % 54 % 40 %
Over 8.5 (9+) 8 % 46 % 27 %
Over 9.5 (10+) 8 % 33 % 21 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Odds
P1 1.30 72.9% BetBoom
P2 3.50 27.1% BetBoom

Samuel T meet Harris B on August 26, 2026 in the US Open. Men. Qualifying Wild Card Challenge, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Samuel T 4-0-1, Harris B 1-0-4. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PropickAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Samuel T — 71%

1 · Samuel T ✓ Pick71.3%
market 77%
2 · Harris B28.7%
market 23%

Model estimate: win Samuel T 71.3%, win Harris B 28.7%. Model favourite — Samuel T.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🎯 Safe pick strong

Match winner — Samuel T

Model confidence 77% ~87% on our history

How often this pick wins on our settled history — not a profit forecast.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Samuel T - Harris B August 26, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Samuel T. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.23 / 2 4.15

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 6.4% 5 books
1 ✓ Pick 77.1%
2 22.9%

Odds source: consensus of 5 books (Baltbet, Fonbet, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner P1 1.45 ↓ 1.30
Winner P2 2.80 ↑ 3.45

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Samuel T
77%
1.23
Harris B
23%
4.15
Total
Over 21.5
48%
2.00
Under 21.5
52%
1.82

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

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Match center
Start 26.08.2026 15:00 UTC
Market 1 77.1% @ 1.23 / 2 22.9% @ 4.15
Coverage grass
Form 6 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Samuel T 71%
💹 Market Samuel T 77%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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Match center

Samuel T - Harris B

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Samuel T 72.6% 61.3% model more cautious than market
Harris B 27.4% 38.7%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Model = Glicko + Elo strength prior (heuristic, historical calibration in progress). Glicko71.3% · +Elo prior (weight0.52).

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 71.3% / 28.7% probabilities
Rating 1,846 / 1,622 Samuel T / Harris B
RD 204 / 230 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,438-2,254 / 1,162-2,083 strength interval

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.15 Fonbet · no value · model 28.7%
1 1.23 Fonbet · no value · model 71.3%
Total
Over 10.5 3.50 market consensus · line only
Over 19.5 1.54 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet
— 1.52 65.8%
1.90 52.6% 1.88 53.2%
— 2.45 40.8%
1.88 53.2% —
— 2.35 42.6%
— 1.87 53.5%
— 1.50 66.7%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.07 93.5%
1.70 58.8%
2.10 47.6%
6.70 14.9%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet Kambi BetMGM
Over 2.5 — — 2.63 38.0%
Over 8.5 — — 1.30 76.9%
Over 9.5 — — 1.96 51.0%
Over 10.5 — — 3.50 28.6%
Over 19.5 — — 1.54 64.9%
Over 20.5 1.79 55.9% 1.75 57.1% 1.71 58.5%
Over 21.5 1.99 50.3% 2.00 50.0% 1.89 52.9%
Over 22.5 — 2.25 44.4% 2.18 45.9%
Under 20.5 2.00 50.0% 1.95 51.3% —
Under 21.5 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% —
Under 22.5 — 1.57 63.7% —

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 2.5 2.70 37.0%
Under 2.5 1.45 69.0%
Match center

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.45 (Winline) · 2 3.75 (Pari)
Bookmaker12
Pari 1.27 3.75
Winline 1.45 2.75
Fonbet 1.42 2.9
Betcity 1.43 2.7
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Samuel T
W L W W W
2026-08-24 2026 US Open, New York, USA, Qualifying
Samuel T Samuel T 2:1 Maestrelli F
2026-07-29 2026 Vancouver, Canada
Samuel T Hara Friend J D 2:0 Samuel T
2026-07-29 2026 Vancouver, Canada
Samuel T Pinnington Jones J 0:2 Samuel T
2026-07-26 2026 Winnipeg, Canada
Samuel T Draxl L 0:2 Samuel T
2026-07-25 2026 Winnipeg, Canada
Samuel T Broom C 0:2 Samuel T
4 Wins
1 Losses
1.6 Sets won
0.6 Sets lost
80% Win percentage
Harris B
W L L L L
2026-08-24 2026 US Open, New York, USA, Qualifying
Bueno G 0:2 Harris B Harris B
2026-08-12 2026 Cincinnati, USA, Qualifying
Harris B 0:2 Jacquet K Harris B
2026-07-25 2026 Washington, USA, Qualifying
Shelbayh A 2:0 Harris B Harris B
2026-07-21 2026 Bloomfield Hills, USA
Suresh D 2:0 Harris B Harris B
2026-06-30 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain
Khachanov K 3:1 Harris B Harris B
1 Wins
4 Losses
0.6 Sets won
1.8 Sets lost
20% Win percentage

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Frequently asked questions

When does Samuel T vs Harris B start?

August 26, 2026.