AI verdict
Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Bandecchi S. Full breakdown below.
Picks locked before kickoff results verified after public accuracy log →
| Bandecchi S | Rus A | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 55.7% | 50.4% |
| Hard % | 61.4% | 43.4% |
| Clay % | 49% | 57.4% |
| Grass % | 50% | 31.6% |
| Deciding set % | 55.1% | 46.5% |
| Tie-breaks % | 50.9% | 38.7% |
| Titles (total) | 4 | 9 |
| Last 10 | WWWWWWWLWW | WWLWLLWWLW |
Source: scorego-app.com
| Bandecchi S | Rus A | |
|---|---|---|
| Aces per match | 3.00 | 1.29 |
| Double faults per match | 2.41 | 3.21 |
| Breaks per match | 5.32 | 4.93 |
Source:tennisstats.com (per-match averages)
| Susan Bandecchi | Arantxa Rus | |
|---|---|---|
| Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year | 64.7% 22 / 34 Matches | 50.0% 6 / 12 Matches |
| Win Percentage Last 12 Months | 67.9% 38 / 56 Matches | 54.2% 13 / 24 Matches |
| Aces Per Match | 3.45 | 1.67 |
| Most Aces in a match | 36 % | 33 % |
| Susan Bandecchi | Arantxa Rus | |
|---|---|---|
| Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year | 75.0% 6 / 8 Matches | 43.5% 10 / 23 Matches |
| Win Percentage Last 12 Months | 60.0% 6 / 10 Matches | 52.6% 20 / 38 Matches |
| Aces Per Match | 2.60 | 0.90 |
| Most Aces in a match | 60 % | 20 % |
| Susan Bandecchi | Arantxa Rus | |
|---|---|---|
| Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year | 0.0% 0 / 1 Matches | 0.0% 0 / 1 Matches |
| Win Percentage Last 12 Months | 0.0% 0 / 1 Matches | 0.0% 0 / 1 Matches |
| Aces Per Match | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| Most Aces in a match | 0 % | 100 % |
Source:tennisstats.com
| Susan Bandecchi | Arantxa Rus | |
|---|---|---|
| H2H wins | 0 (0.0%) | 1 (100.0%) |
| Sets | 1 (33.3%) | 2 (66.7%) |
| Wins this year | 63.8% 30 / 47 Matches | 44.7% 17 / 38 Matches |
| Wins in 12 mo. | 64.8% 46 / 71 Matches | 52.3% 34 / 65 Matches |
| Current rank | 152 | 203 |
Source: tennisstats.com
| Susan Bandecchi | Arantxa Rus | |
|---|---|---|
| Prize money (career) | $334,586 USD | $4,035,085 USD |
| Rating | 152 | 203 |
| Age | 28 | 35 |
| Height | — | 1.80m |
| Weight | — | 65kg |
| Playing hand | Right-handed | Left-handed |
| Susan Bandecchi | Arantxa Rus | |
|---|---|---|
| Match Wins | 64 % | 45 % |
| Match Wins (3 Sets) | 65 % | 44 % |
| Wins in Straight Sets | 40 % | 26 % |
| Wins From Behind | 27 % | 19 % |
| Won At Least 1 Set | 77 % | 68 % |
| Set 1 Win | 55 % | 45 % |
| Set 2 Win | 61 % | 50 % |
| Set 3 Win | 69 % | 44 % |
Source:tennisstats.com
| Susan Bandecchi | Arantxa Rus | |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 1 | 1 |
| 1st serve points won | 63% (12/19) | 65% (11/17) |
| 2nd serve points won | 60% (3/5) | 17% (1/6) |
| Average 1st serve speed | 159 km/h | 155 km/h |
| Average 2nd serve speed | 138 km/h | 126 km/h |
| 1st return points won | 35% (6/17) | 37% (7/19) |
| 2nd return points won | 83% (5/6) | 40% (2/5) |
| Winners | 4 | 5 |
| Unforced errors | 10 | 12 |
| Last 10 balls | 5 | 5 |
| Distance covered (metres) | 284.3 | 270.5 |
Source:tennisstats.com
| Date | Tournament | Results |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 27 2021 | W80+H Les Franqueses del Valles ITF Women (Hard) | Susan Bandecchi 1 – 2 Arantxa Rus |
Source:tennisstats.com
Outcome percentages for totals and props: values for each player and a match-total column.
| Susan Bandecchi | Arantxa Rus | Match total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average Games in a Set | 9.7 | 9.37 | 9.54 |
| Over 6.5 | 100 % | 94 % | 97 % |
| Over 7.5 | 84 % | 83 % | 84 % |
| Over 8.5 | 70 % | 69 % | 70 % |
| Over 9.5 | 51 % | 50 % | 51 % |
| Over 10.5 | 26 % | 14 % | 20 % |
| Over 11.5 | 26 % | 14 % | 20 % |
| Susan Bandecchi | Arantxa Rus | Match total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aces Per Match | 3.00 | 1.29 | 4.29 |
| Most Aces in a match | 41 % | 29 % | N/A |
| 1+ | 82 % | 57 % | 82 % |
| 2+ | 65 % | 43 % | 72 % |
| 3+ | 53 % | 14 % | 66 % |
| 4+ | 41 % | 14 % | 63 % |
| 5+ | 18 % | 0 % | 34 % |
| Susan Bandecchi | Arantxa Rus | Match total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Breaks Per Match | 5.32 | 4.93 | 10.25 |
| Over 0.5 | 100 % | 100 % | 100 % |
| Over 1.5 | 100 % | 100 % | 100 % |
| Over 2.5 | 100 % | 71 % | 100 % |
| Over 3.5 | 100 % | 71 % | 100 % |
| Over 4.5 | 100 % | 71 % | 100 % |
| Over 5.5 | 53 % | 0 % | 100 % |
| Susan Bandecchi | Arantxa Rus | Match total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tie Breaks Per Match | 0.23 | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| Over 0.5 | 19 % | 22 % | 20 % |
| Over 1.5 | 5 % | 3 % | 4 % |
| Under 0.5 | 81 % | 78 % | 20 % |
| Under 1.5 | 95 % | 97 % | 4 % |
| Susan Bandecchi | Arantxa Rus | Match total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double Faults Per Match | 2.41 | 3.21 | 5.62 |
| Over 0.5 (1+) | 94 % | 93 % | 100 % |
| Over 1.5 (2+) | 82 % | 79 % | 100 % |
| Over 2.5 (3+) | 41 % | 57 % | 100 % |
| Over 3.5 (4+) | 12 % | 43 % | 97 % |
| Over 4.5 (5+) | 6 % | 29 % | 81 % |
| Over 5.5 (6+) | 6 % | 21 % | 66 % |
| Susan Bandecchi | Arantxa Rus | Match total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Net Points Won Per Match | 6.56 | 5.1 | 11.66 |
| Over 4.5 (5+) | 50 % | 40 % | 45 % |
| Over 5.5 (6+) | 50 % | 40 % | 45 % |
| Over 6.5 (7+) | 50 % | 40 % | 45 % |
| Over 7.5 (8+) | 50 % | 20 % | 35 % |
| Over 8.5 (9+) | 25 % | 20 % | 23 % |
| Over 9.5 (10+) | 13 % | 20 % | 17 % |
Source:tennisstats.com
Bandecchi S go head-to-head with Rus A in tennis, in US Open. Women, on 28 August 2026. PropickAI's Glicko-2 model makes Bandecchi S the favourite, with a win probability of about 81%. Sportsbook prices (4 books) put that result at roughly 81%.
Latest form: Bandecchi S 5 won and 0 lost; Rus A 4 won and 1 lost. Bandecchi S arrive on a winning run. Glicko ratings: Bandecchi S 2120, Rus A 1701, a gap of 419 points.
Our model and the market consensus broadly agree on this match. Model confidence in the favourite is high. For reliability the safer lean is a protected market on Bandecchi S (double chance, say) rather than the outright win alone. Key markers: an edge of 419 Glicko rating points, the model's 81% for Bandecchi S. Read on for team stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PropickAI AI prediction. This is a probability read from our model plus the market line, not a guaranteed outcome.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Bandecchi S — 81%
Model estimate: win Bandecchi S 80.6%, win Rus A 19.4%. Model favourite — Bandecchi S.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Match winner — Rus A
How often this pick wins on our settled history — not a profit forecast.
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Rus A.
For reference
Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Fonbet, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Market consensus
Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.
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V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Model = Glicko + Elo strength prior (heuristic, historical calibration in progress). Glicko80.6% · +Elo prior (weight0.30).
Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 3.20 31.3% | |
| 1.50 66.7% | |
| 4.50 22.2% | |
| 8.00 12.5% | |
| 2.18 45.9% | |
| 1.97 50.8% | |
| 2.45 40.8% | |
| 1.52 65.8% | |
| 3.05 32.8% | |
| 1.30 76.9% | |
| 2.40 41.7% | |
| 1.16 86.2% | |
| 1.04 96.2% | |
| 1.65 60.6% | |
| 1.80 55.6% | |
| 1.50 66.7% | |
| 1.38 72.5% | |
| 1.33 75.2% |
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.01 99.0% | |
| 3.40 29.4% | |
| 1.27 78.7% | |
| 12.50 8.0% |
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 16.5 | 1.55 64.5% |
| Over 17.5 | 1.88 53.2% |
| Over 18.5 | 1.60 62.5% |
| Over 19.5 | 2.10 47.6% |
| Over 20.5 | 2.55 39.2% |
| Over 21.5 | 2.25 44.4% |
| Over 22.5 | 1.50 66.7% |
| Over 23.5 | 1.40 71.4% |
| Over 24.5 | 1.33 75.2% |
| Over 25.5 | 2.45 40.8% |
| Over 26.5 | 2.70 37.0% |
| Over 28.5 | 4.30 23.3% |
| Under 16.5 | 2.25 44.4% |
| Under 17.5 | 1.87 53.5% |
| Under 18.5 | 2.20 45.5% |
| Under 19.5 | 1.65 60.6% |
| Under 20.5 | 1.45 69.0% |
| Under 21.5 | 1.57 63.7% |
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 1.27 78.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 3.40 29.4% |
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| Pari | 1.45 | 2.7 |
| Winline | 1.44 | 2.78 |
| Fonbet | 1.47 | 2.7 |
| Betcity | 1.39 | 2.85 |
Bandecchi S
Grunchakova V
Charaeva A
Rus A
Lamens S. 🇳🇱
Kostovich T
The Bandecchi S - Rus A breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
By the PropickAI model, Rus A is favoured — about 81% win probability.
The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Rus A. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.
Live odds for Bandecchi S vs Rus A from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.
August 28, 2026.