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AI verdict

AI pick Kawa K win probability ~57% confidence Medium best odds 11.00

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Kawa K. Full breakdown below.

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US Open. Women
US Open. Women International
24.08.2026 22:55 UTC Match prediction

Gorgodze E - Kawa K

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis US Open. Women
US Open. Women hard 24.08.2026 22:55 UTC Finished
24.08.2026 22:55 UTC Finished
Gorgodze E
Gorgodze E
Rank #133 Elo 590
59Average Form
L L W L L W L W
Kawa K
Kawa K
Rank #165 Elo 472
50Average Form
L L W L W W W L
2:1 3:6 7:6 6:2
1 2 3 GP
Gorgodze E 3 7 6 2
Kawa K 6 6 2 1
1 2 3
Coverage: hard
Preview

Extended stats (scorego)

Gorgodze E Kawa K
Win % 50.3% 53.2%
Hard % 52.6% 38.2%
Clay % 50.2% 62.7%
Grass % 25% 54.2%
Deciding set % 41.7% 54%
Tie-breaks % 52.9% 52.5%
Titles (total) 3 2
Last 10 LWWWLWWWWW LLWLLWLLWW

Source: scorego-app.com

About the athletes

- Country -
#133 Rating #165
33 Age 34
1.80m Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
Right Hand Left
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0

Serve and return stats

Gorgodze E Kawa K
Aces per match 1.51 0.97
Double faults per match 3.41 1.53
Breaks per match 6.23 6.03

Source:tennisstats.com (per-match averages)

TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return

Katarzyna Kawa
Rank:133 Elo: 590
L L W L L W L W
Ekaterine Gorgodze
Rank:165 Elo: 472
L L W L W W W L
Elo favourite:Kawa K (edge +118 Elo)

Hard

Katarzyna KawaEkaterine Gorgodze
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 16.7% 1 / 6 Matches 52.9% 9 / 17 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 28.6% 6 / 21 Matches 52.6% 10 / 19 Matches
Aces Per Match 2.00 1.78
Most Aces in a match 50 % 11 %

Clay

Katarzyna KawaEkaterine Gorgodze
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 66.7% 20 / 30 Matches 51.7% 15 / 29 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 66.7% 20 / 30 Matches 51.1% 23 / 45 Matches
Aces Per Match 1.30 0.55
Most Aces in a match 40 % 5 %

Grass

Katarzyna KawaEkaterine Gorgodze
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 66.7% 2 / 3 Matches 33.3% 1 / 3 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 66.7% 2 / 3 Matches 33.3% 1 / 3 Matches
Aces Per Match 2.67 1.33
Most Aces in a match 67 % 0 %

Source:tennisstats.com

H2H series (tennisstats)

Katarzyna Kawa Ekaterine Gorgodze
H2H wins 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Sets 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Wins this year 59.0% 23 / 39 Matches 50.0% 25 / 50 Matches
Wins in 12 mo. 51.9% 28 / 54 Matches 50.0% 34 / 68 Matches
Current rank 133 165

Source: tennisstats.com

Profile and percentages (tennisstats)

Katarzyna Kawa Ekaterine Gorgodze
Prize money (career) $1,066,428 USD $931,184 USD
Rating 133 165
Age 33 34
Height 1.80m —
Playing hand Right-handed Left-handed

Win percentage (match / set)

Katarzyna Kawa Ekaterine Gorgodze
Match Wins 59 % 50 %
Match Wins (3 Sets) 59 % 51 %
Wins in Straight Sets 44 % 28 %
Wins From Behind 11 % 11 %
Won At Least 1 Set 74 % 70 %
Set 1 Win 62 % 60 %
Set 2 Win 56 % 39 %
Set 3 Win 50 % 52 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)

Outcome percentages for totals and props: values for each player and a match-total column.

Total games

Katarzyna Kawa Ekaterine Gorgodze Match total
Average Games in a Set 9.18 9.38 9.28
Over 6.5 97 % 88 % 93 %
Over 7.5 72 % 82 % 77 %
Over 8.5 59 % 65 % 62 %
Over 9.5 41 % 41 % 41 %
Over 10.5 21 % 27 % 24 %
Over 11.5 21 % 24 % 23 %

Aces

Katarzyna Kawa Ekaterine Gorgodze Match total
Aces Per Match 1.51 0.97 2.48
Most Aces in a match 44 % 6 % N/A
1+ 74 % 53 % 86 %
2+ 51 % 25 % 75 %
3+ 18 % 13 % 60 %
4+ 5 % 6 % 38 %
5+ 3 % 0 % 24 %

Breaks

Katarzyna Kawa Ekaterine Gorgodze Match total
Breaks Per Match 6.23 6.03 12.26
Over 0.5 100 % 100 % 100 %
Over 1.5 100 % 100 % 100 %
Over 2.5 97 % 100 % 100 %
Over 3.5 95 % 97 % 100 %
Over 4.5 95 % 53 % 100 %
Over 5.5 51 % 38 % 100 %

Tie-breaks

Katarzyna Kawa Ekaterine Gorgodze Match total
Tie Breaks Per Match 0.15 0.27 0.21
Over 0.5 15 % 22 % 19 %
Over 1.5 0 % 4 % 2 %
Under 0.5 85 % 78 % 19 %
Under 1.5 100 % 96 % 2 %

Double faults

Katarzyna Kawa Ekaterine Gorgodze Match total
Double Faults Per Match 3.41 1.53 4.94
Over 0.5 (1+) 97 % 75 % 100 %
Over 1.5 (2+) 74 % 50 % 99 %
Over 2.5 (3+) 59 % 28 % 89 %
Over 3.5 (4+) 46 % 0 % 79 %
Over 4.5 (5+) 28 % 0 % 71 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 13 % 0 % 56 %

Net points

Katarzyna Kawa Ekaterine Gorgodze Match total
Net Points Won Per Match 9.33 8.38 17.71
Over 4.5 (5+) 100 % 50 % 75 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 100 % 25 % 63 %
Over 6.5 (7+) 83 % 25 % 54 %
Over 7.5 (8+) 50 % 0 % 25 %
Over 8.5 (9+) 50 % 0 % 25 %
Over 9.5 (10+) 33 % 0 % 17 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Odds
P1 2.35 40.8% BetBoom
P2 1.62 59.2% BetBoom

Gorgodze E meet Kawa K on August 24, 2026 in the US Open. Women, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Gorgodze E 2-0-3, Kawa K 1-0-4. PropickAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 43% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PropickAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Kawa K — 57%

1 · Gorgodze E42.6%
2 · Kawa K57.4%

Model estimate: win Gorgodze E 42.6%, win Kawa K 57.4%. Model favourite — Kawa K.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🎯 Safe pick banker

Match winner — Gorgodze E

Model confidence 92% ~95% on our history

How often this pick wins on our settled history — not a profit forecast.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Gorgodze E - Kawa K August 24, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Gorgodze E.

Line favourite Fonbet: Gorgodze E. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 11.00
  • Glicko: Gorgodze E 42.6% / Kawa K 57.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.6% 4 books · best price +594.0%
1 40.9%
2 59.1%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 2.70 ↓ 2.35
Winner 2 1.47 ↑ 1.60

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Gorgodze E
41%
2.55
Kawa K
59%
11.00
Total
Over 21.5
49%
1.99
Under 21.5
51%
1.95

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

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Match center
Start 24.08.2026 22:55 UTC
Market 1 91.6% @ 1.01 / 2 8.4% @ 11.00
Coverage hard
Form 6 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Kawa K 57%
💹 Market Kawa K 59%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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Match center

Gorgodze E - Kawa K

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:1
Events 0
Statistics 0
Set Gorgodze E Kawa K Result
Set 1 3 6 3:6
Set 2 7 6 7:6
Set 3 6 2 6:2
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 57.4% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.658 / LogLoss 0.852
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 50.9% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.518 / LogLoss 0.711
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Gorgodze E 41.0% 44.8% market and model agree
Kawa K 59.1% 55.2% market and model agree
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Model = Glicko + Elo strength prior (heuristic, historical calibration in progress). Glicko42.6% · +Elo prior (weight0.35).

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 42.6% / 57.4% probabilities
Rating 1,763 / 1,610 Gorgodze E / Kawa K
RD 155 / 176 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,454-2,072 / 1,257-1,962 strength interval

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.55 market consensus · no value · model 57.4%
1 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 42.6%
Handicap
2 -0.5 6.40 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 10.00 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.07 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.02 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 19.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only
Over 20.5 1.63 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
— — 1.02 98.0%
— — 2.02 49.5%
1.97 50.8% 1.90 52.6% 2.15 46.5%
— 1.77 56.5% —
— — 1.07 93.5%
— — 1.17 85.5%
— — 10.00 10.0%
— — 1.70 58.8%
— — 1.62 61.7%
— — 1.85 54.1%
— — 2.15 46.5%
— — 6.40 15.6%
— — 4.40 22.7%
1.82 55.0% 1.83 54.6% —
— 1.98 50.5% —

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.62 61.7%
5.00 20.0%
1.14 87.7%
2.15 46.5%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 19.5 — — 1.55 64.5%
Over 20.5 1.83 54.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.63 61.4%
Over 21.5 1.99 50.3% 1.87 53.5% 1.80 55.6%
Over 22.5 — — 2.00 50.0%
Over 23.5 — — 2.40 41.7%
Over 30.5 — — 4.40 22.7%
Over 31.5 — — 6.40 15.6%
Over 32.5 — — 11.00 9.1%
Under 19.5 — — 2.30 43.5%
Under 20.5 1.95 51.3% 1.90 52.6% 2.15 46.5%
Under 21.5 1.80 55.6% 1.87 53.5% —

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 2.5 2.20 45.5%
Under 2.5 1.60 62.5%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 1-0-0
2026-08-24 · Ekaterina Gorgodze 2:1 Katazhina Kava
Source: ruscore

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 2.8 (Pari) · 2 1.46 (Winline)
Bookmaker12
Pari 2.8 1.45
Winline 2.7 1.46
Fonbet 2.75 1.45
Betcity 2.75 1.45
Source: ruscore · line comparison

Match stats

3 Eysy 3
3 Dvoynye oshibki 3
9 Vsego breyk-poyntov 17
6 Vyigrannye breyk-poynty 5
99 Vyigrannye Points 100
55 Points na podache 52
48 Poteryannye Points na podache 44
71 Uspeshnaya 1-ya podacha 52
29 Uspeshnaya 2-ya podacha 41
45 Vyigrysh 1-y podachi 33
10 Vyigrysh 2-y podachi 19
6 Maks. ochkov podryad 12
9 Geymy na podache 9
16 Vyigrannye geymy 14
4 Maks. geymov podryad 3
1 Tay-breyk 0
Source: ruscore
Gorgodze E
L W L W L
2026-07-22 2026 Palermo, Italy
Gorgodze E Gorgodze E 0:2 Kabbaj Y
2026-07-20 2026 Palermo, Italy
Gorgodze E Gorgodze E 2:1 Mintegi del Olmo A
2026-06-24 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain, Qualifying
Gorgodze E Gorgodze E 0:2 Jeanjean L
2026-06-23 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain, Qualifying
Gorgodze E Gorgodze E 2:0 Valdmannova V
2026-06-19 2026 Brescia, Italy
Gorgodze E Yaneva E 2:1 Gorgodze E
2 Wins
3 Losses
1.0 Sets won
1.4 Sets lost
40% Win percentage
Kawa K
L L W L L
2026-08-12 2026 Cincinnati, USA, Qualifying
Lys E 2:1 Kawa K Kawa K
2026-08-05 2026 Warsaw, Poland
Kawa K 1:2 Mikulskyte J Kawa K
2026-08-03 2026 Warsaw, Poland
Kawa K 2:1 Fruhvirtova L Kawa K
2026-07-22 2026 Hamburg, Germany
Kawa K 0:2 Badosa P Kawa K
2026-07-16 2026 Iasi, Romania
Udvardy P 2:1 Kawa K Kawa K
1 Wins
4 Losses
1.0 Sets won
1.8 Sets lost
20% Win percentage

More predictions

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Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gorgodze E vs Kawa K?

By the PropickAI model, Gorgodze E is favoured — about 57% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for Gorgodze E vs Kawa K?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Gorgodze E. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

When does Gorgodze E vs Kawa K start?

August 24, 2026.