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AI verdict

AI pick Lys E win probability ~57% confidence Medium best odds 1.60

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Lys E. Full breakdown below.

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US Open. Women
US Open. Women International
31.08.2026 15:00 UTC

Knutson G A vs Lys E — Tennis prediction

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis US Open. Women
US Open. Women hard 31.08.2026 15:00 UTC Not started
31.08.2026 15:00 UTC Not started
Knutson G A
Knutson G A
Rank #98 Elo 777
26Very Bad Form
L L W L L L L W
Lys E
Lys E
Rank #184 Elo 421
52Average Form
L L L L W L W W
-:-
Coverage: hard
Preview

Extended stats (scorego)

Knutson G A Lys E
Win % 60.6% 57.5%
Hard % 61.5% 61.8%
Clay % 57.1% 55%
Grass % 55% 42.1%
Deciding set % 56.1% 53.7%
Tie-breaks % 42% 53.8%
Titles (total) 6 0
Last 10 WWWLWWWWLW LLWLLLLWLW

Source: scorego-app.com

About the athletes

- Country -
#98 Rating #184
24 Age 29
1.65m Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0

Serve and return stats

Knutson G A Lys E
Aces per match 1.19 3.83
Double faults per match 4.81 4.52
Breaks per match 5.5 4.26

Source:tennisstats.com (per-match averages)

TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return

Eva Lys
Rank:98 Elo: 777
L L W L L L L W
Gabriela Knutson
Rank:184 Elo: 421
L L L L W L W W
Elo favourite:Lys E (edge +356 Elo)

Hard

Eva LysGabriela Knutson
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 16.7% 1 / 6 Matches 53.3% 16 / 30 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 56.5% 13 / 23 Matches 53.1% 26 / 49 Matches
Aces Per Match 1.83 3.30
Most Aces in a match 33 % 70 %

Clay

Eva LysGabriela Knutson
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 33.3% 3 / 9 Matches 50.0% 3 / 6 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 33.3% 3 / 9 Matches 42.9% 3 / 7 Matches
Aces Per Match 0.50 4.50
Most Aces in a match 0 % 75 %

Grass

Eva LysGabriela Knutson
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 0.0% 0 / 2 Matches 55.6% 5 / 9 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 0.0% 0 / 2 Matches 55.6% 5 / 9 Matches
Aces Per Match 2.00 5.40
Most Aces in a match 0 % 100 %

Source:tennisstats.com

H2H series (tennisstats)

Eva Lys Gabriela Knutson
H2H wins 1 (100.0%) 0 (0.0%)
Sets 2 (100.0%) 0 (0.0%)
Wins this year 26.3% 5 / 19 Matches 52.2% 24 / 46 Matches
Wins in 12 mo. 47.2% 17 / 36 Matches 50.8% 34 / 67 Matches
Current rank 98 184

Source: tennisstats.com

Profile and percentages (tennisstats)

Eva Lys Gabriela Knutson
Prize money (career) $793,578 USD $153,458 USD
Rating 98 184
Age 24 29
Height 1.65m —

Win percentage (match / set)

Eva Lys Gabriela Knutson
Match Wins 26 % 52 %
Match Wins (3 Sets) 24 % 53 %
Wins in Straight Sets 11 % 41 %
Wins From Behind 13 % 8 %
Won At Least 1 Set 63 % 67 %
Set 1 Win 42 % 57 %
Set 2 Win 32 % 52 %
Set 3 Win 30 % 42 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Head-to-Head Record

Date Tournament Results
Aug 20 2024 US Open WTA (Hard) Eva Lys 2 – 0 Gabriela Knutson

Source:tennisstats.com

Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)

Outcome percentages for totals and props: values for each player and a match-total column.

Total games

Eva Lys Gabriela Knutson Match total
Average Games in a Set 9.58 9.11 9.35
Over 6.5 100 % 96 % 98 %
Over 7.5 82 % 82 % 82 %
Over 8.5 65 % 58 % 62 %
Over 9.5 41 % 38 % 40 %
Over 10.5 24 % 16 % 20 %
Over 11.5 24 % 16 % 20 %

Aces

Eva Lys Gabriela Knutson Match total
Aces Per Match 1.19 3.83 5.02
Most Aces in a match 13 % 76 % N/A
1+ 38 % 100 % 97 %
2+ 25 % 93 % 96 %
3+ 25 % 69 % 86 %
4+ 19 % 55 % 70 %
5+ 13 % 31 % 56 %

Breaks

Eva Lys Gabriela Knutson Match total
Breaks Per Match 5.5 4.26 9.76
Over 0.5 100 % 100 % 100 %
Over 1.5 100 % 52 % 100 %
Over 2.5 100 % 52 % 100 %
Over 3.5 100 % 52 % 100 %
Over 4.5 50 % 45 % 100 %
Over 5.5 50 % 3 % 99 %

Tie-breaks

Eva Lys Gabriela Knutson Match total
Tie Breaks Per Match 0.12 0.18 0.15
Over 0.5 12 % 18 % 15 %
Over 1.5 0 % 0 % 0 %
Under 0.5 88 % 82 % 15 %
Under 1.5 100 % 100 % 0 %

Double faults

Eva Lys Gabriela Knutson Match total
Double Faults Per Match 4.81 4.52 9.33
Over 0.5 (1+) 100 % 93 % 100 %
Over 1.5 (2+) 100 % 90 % 99 %
Over 2.5 (3+) 69 % 83 % 97 %
Over 3.5 (4+) 63 % 69 % 87 %
Over 4.5 (5+) 44 % 55 % 76 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 31 % 34 % 61 %

Net points

Eva Lys Gabriela Knutson Match total
Net Points Won Per Match 2.5 6.42 8.92
Over 4.5 (5+) 25 % 67 % 46 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 0 % 50 % 25 %
Over 6.5 (7+) 0 % 50 % 25 %
Over 7.5 (8+) 0 % 50 % 25 %
Over 8.5 (9+) 0 % 33 % 17 %
Over 9.5 (10+) 0 % 33 % 17 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Odds
P1 2.30 41.8% BetBoom
P2 1.65 58.2% BetBoom

Knutson G A host Lys E in tennis, in US Open. Women, on 31 August 2026. The PropickAI Glicko-2 model rates Lys E as the favourite at around 57%. The bookmaker consensus (3 books) implies about 58% for the same outcome.

Recent form reads: Knutson G A have 4 won and 1 lost of their last 5; Lys E have 0 won and 3 lost of 3. Knutson G A arrive on a winning run. Glicko ratings: Knutson G A 1837, Lys E 1385, a gap of 452 points.

Our model and the market consensus broadly agree on this match. Model confidence in the favourite is low. That is a 1-point gap to the market. The favourite's edge is moderate, so a protective market (double chance or draw-no-bet) is steadier than a single outright bet. Key markers: an edge of 452 Glicko rating points, the model's 57% for Lys E. Read on for team stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PropickAI AI prediction. This is a probability read from our model plus the market line, not a guaranteed outcome.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Lys E — 57%

1 · Knutson G A43.0%
2 · Lys E57.0%

Model estimate: win Knutson G A 43.0%, win Lys E 57.0%. Model favourite — Lys E.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Knutson G A - Lys E August 31, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Lys E. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.30 / 2 1.60

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.6% 4 books
1 41.5%
2 58.5%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner P1 2.25 → 2.25
Winner P2 1.65 → 1.65

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Knutson G A
41%
2.30
Lys E
59%
1.63
Total
Over 21.5
51%
1.86
Under 21.5
49%
2.00

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

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Match center
Start 31.08.2026 15:00 UTC
Market 1 41.0% @ 2.30 / 2 59.0% @ 1.60
Coverage hard
Form 6 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Lys E 57%
💹 Market Lys E 58%
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Match center

Knutson G A - Lys E

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Knutson G A 42.3% 44.8% market and model agree
Lys E 57.7% 55.2% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Model = Glicko + Elo strength prior (heuristic, historical calibration in progress). Glicko43.0% · +Elo prior (weight0.54).

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 43.0% / 57.0% probabilities
Rating 1,837 / 1,385 Knutson G A / Lys E
RD 220 / 221 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,397-2,278 / 943-1,827 strength interval

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.60 Fonbet · no value · model 57.0%
1 2.30 Fonbet · no value · model 43.0%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.53 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.60 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 2.35 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 2.20 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 19.5 1.42 Fonbet · line only
Over 20.5 1.60 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
— — 2.20 45.5%
— — 2.00 50.0%
1.87 53.5% 1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1%
— — 2.35 42.6%
— — 2.55 39.2%
— — 2.85 35.1%
— — 1.60 62.5%
— — 1.72 58.1%
— — 1.90 52.6%
— — 2.15 46.5%
— — 2.75 36.4%
— — 1.53 65.4%
— — 1.45 69.0%
1.91 52.4% 1.93 51.8% 1.37 73.0%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.53 65.4%
3.70 27.0%
1.25 80.0%
2.40 41.7%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 19.5 — — 1.42 70.4%
Over 20.5 — — 1.60 62.5%
Over 21.5 1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1% 1.80 55.6%
Over 22.5 — — 2.02 49.5%
Over 23.5 — — 2.20 45.5%
Over 24.5 — — 2.30 43.5%
Over 25.5 — — 2.55 39.2%
Over 26.5 — — 2.90 34.5%
Under 19.5 — — 2.65 37.7%
Under 20.5 — — 2.20 45.5%
Under 21.5 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0%
Under 22.5 — — 1.70 58.8%
Under 23.5 — — 1.58 63.3%
Under 24.5 — — 1.55 64.5%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 2.5 2.40 41.7%
Under 2.5 1.55 64.5%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 0-0-1
2024-08-20 · Gabriela Knutson 0:2 Eva Lis
Source: ruscore
Knutson G A
W W W L W
2026-08-27 2026 US Open, New York, USA, Qualifying
Knutson G A Knutson G A 2:0 Gorgodze E
2026-08-26 2026 US Open, New York, USA, Qualifying
Knutson G A Salkova D 0:2 Knutson G A
2026-08-24 2026 US Open, New York, USA, Qualifying
Knutson G A Knutson G A 2:0 Lepchenko V
2026-08-08 2026 Warsaw, Poland
Knutson G A Lee Carol Young Suh 2:0 Knutson G A
2026-08-07 2026 Warsaw, Poland
Knutson G A Yaneva E 0:2 Knutson G A
4 Wins
1 Losses
1.6 Sets won
0.4 Sets lost
80% Win percentage
Lys E
L L W D L
2026-08-15 2026 Cincinnati, USA
Kenin S 2:1 Lys E Lys E
2026-08-13 2026 Cincinnati, USA, Qualifying
Lys E 1:2 Blinkova A Lys E
2026-08-12 2026 Cincinnati, USA, Qualifying
Lys E 2:1 Kawa K Lys E
2026-08-03 2026 Toronto, Canada
Udvardy P 1:1 Lys E Lys E
2026-06-30 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain
Shnaider D 2:0 Lys E Lys E
1 Wins
3 Losses
1.0 Sets won
1.6 Sets lost
20% Win percentage

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Frequently asked questions

What does PropickAI predict for Knutson G A vs Lys E?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Lys E. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

What are the bookmaker odds for Knutson G A vs Lys E?

Live odds for Knutson G A vs Lys E from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.

When does Knutson G A vs Lys E start?

August 31, 2026.