AI verdict

AI pick Barthel M win probability ~58% confidence Medium best odds 1.12

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Barthel M. Full breakdown below.

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US Open. Women
US Open. Women International

Osuigwe W vs Barthel M — Tennis prediction

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
Tennis US Open. Women
US Open. Women hard 25.08.2026 19:25 UTC Finished
25.08.2026 19:25 UTC Finished
Osuigwe W
Osuigwe W
Rank #231 Elo 332
51Average Form
L L L L L W L W
Barthel M
Barthel M
Rank #204 Elo 378
61Average Form
L L W L W W W L
0:2 3:6 5:7
1 2 GP
Osuigwe W 3 5 0
Barthel M 6 7 2
1 2
Coverage: hard
Preview

Extended stats (scorego)

Osuigwe W Barthel M
Win % 51.2% 51%
Hard % 47.2% 53.4%
Clay % 57.7% 49.8%
Grass % 20% 26.2%
Deciding set % 54.5% 49.3%
Tie-breaks % 56.7% 42.9%
Titles (total) 3 7
Last 10 LLLLLWLWWW LWWWLWWLWL

Source: scorego-app.com

About the athletes

- Country -
#231 Rating #204
24 Age 36
1.71m Height (cm) 1.85m
63kg Weight (kg) 69kg
Right Hand Right
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0

Serve and return stats

Osuigwe W Barthel M
Aces per match 0.83 3.58
Double faults per match 3.73 8.21
Breaks per match 5.92 3.39

Source:tennisstats.com (per-match averages)

TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return

Whitney Osuigwe
Rank:231 Elo: 332
L L L L L W L W
Mona Barthel
Rank:204 Elo: 378
L L W L W W W L
Elo favourite:Barthel M (edge +46 Elo)

Hard

Whitney OsuigweMona Barthel
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 50.0% 12 / 24 Matches 66.7% 16 / 24 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 45.7% 16 / 35 Matches 65.9% 27 / 41 Matches
Aces Per Match 0.76 4.56
Most Aces in a match 24 % 67 %

Clay

Whitney OsuigweMona Barthel
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 56.3% 9 / 16 Matches 54.6% 6 / 11 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 56.3% 9 / 16 Matches 50.0% 9 / 18 Matches
Aces Per Match 1.00 2.62
Most Aces in a match 42 % 38 %

Grass

Whitney OsuigweMona Barthel
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 0.0% 0 / 1 Matches 0.0% 0 / 2 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 0.0% 0 / 1 Matches 0.0% 0 / 2 Matches
Aces Per Match 0.00 3.00
Most Aces in a match 0 % 50 %

Source:tennisstats.com

H2H series (tennisstats)

Whitney Osuigwe Mona Barthel
H2H wins 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Sets 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Wins this year 51.2% 21 / 41 Matches 61.0% 25 / 41 Matches
Wins in 12 mo. 47.2% 25 / 53 Matches 59.1% 39 / 66 Matches
Current rank 231 204

Source: tennisstats.com

Profile and percentages (tennisstats)

Whitney Osuigwe Mona Barthel
Prize money (career) $819,627 USD $4,279,475 USD
Rating 231 204
Age 24 36
Height 1.71m 1.85m
Weight 63kg 69kg
Playing hand Right-handed Right-handed

Win percentage (match / set)

Whitney Osuigwe Mona Barthel
Match Wins 51 % 61 %
Match Wins (3 Sets) 51 % 59 %
Wins in Straight Sets 37 % 37 %
Wins From Behind 17 % 24 %
Won At Least 1 Set 63 % 68 %
Set 1 Win 49 % 51 %
Set 2 Win 51 % 55 %
Set 3 Win 55 % 77 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)

Outcome percentages for totals and props: values for each player and a match-total column.

Total games

Whitney Osuigwe Mona Barthel Match total
Average Games in a Set 9 9.59 9.3
Over 6.5 93 % 92 % 93 %
Over 7.5 83 % 89 % 86 %
Over 8.5 49 % 70 % 60 %
Over 9.5 39 % 51 % 45 %
Over 10.5 15 % 22 % 19 %
Over 11.5 15 % 22 % 19 %

Aces

Whitney Osuigwe Mona Barthel Match total
Aces Per Match 0.83 3.58 4.41
Most Aces in a match 30 % 53 % N/A
1+ 50 % 100 % 90 %
2+ 20 % 84 % 74 %
3+ 13 % 53 % 68 %
4+ 0 % 42 % 54 %
5+ 0 % 21 % 36 %

Breaks

Whitney Osuigwe Mona Barthel Match total
Breaks Per Match 5.92 3.39 9.31
Over 0.5 97 % 100 % 100 %
Over 1.5 93 % 95 % 100 %
Over 2.5 93 % 95 % 100 %
Over 3.5 90 % 89 % 94 %
Over 4.5 87 % 47 % 89 %
Over 5.5 83 % 5 % 89 %

Tie-breaks

Whitney Osuigwe Mona Barthel Match total
Tie Breaks Per Match 0.15 0.22 0.18
Over 0.5 12 % 22 % 17 %
Over 1.5 2 % 0 % 1 %
Under 0.5 88 % 78 % 17 %
Under 1.5 98 % 100 % 1 %

Double faults

Whitney Osuigwe Mona Barthel Match total
Double Faults Per Match 3.73 8.21 11.94
Over 0.5 (1+) 93 % 100 % 100 %
Over 1.5 (2+) 90 % 95 % 97 %
Over 2.5 (3+) 80 % 95 % 97 %
Over 3.5 (4+) 57 % 95 % 91 %
Over 4.5 (5+) 30 % 84 % 89 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 13 % 68 % 81 %

Net points

Whitney Osuigwe Mona Barthel Match total
Net Points Won Per Match 7.4 11.75 19.15
Over 4.5 (5+) 60 % 100 % 80 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 20 % 100 % 60 %
Over 6.5 (7+) 20 % 100 % 60 %
Over 7.5 (8+) 0 % 100 % 50 %
Over 8.5 (9+) 0 % 100 % 50 %
Over 9.5 (10+) 0 % 50 % 25 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Odds
P1 2.33 41.6% BetBoom
P2 1.66 58.4% BetBoom

Osuigwe W face Barthel M on August 25, 2026 in the US Open. Women, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Osuigwe W 1-0-4, Barthel M 3-0-2. PropickAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 42% to win. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PropickAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Barthel M58%

1 · Osuigwe W42.3%
2 · Barthel M ✓ Pick57.7%

Model estimate: win Osuigwe W 42.3%, win Barthel M 57.7%. Model favourite — Barthel M.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🎯 Safe pick strong

Match winner Barthel M

Model confidence 84% ~87% on our history

How often this pick wins on our settled history — not a profit forecast.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Osuigwe W - Barthel M August 25, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Barthel M.

Line favourite Fonbet: Barthel M. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 5.80 / 2 1.12
  • Glicko: Osuigwe W 42.3% / Barthel M 57.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 6.6% 6 books · best price +4.1%
1 41.6%
2 ✓ Pick 58.4%

Odds source: consensus of 6 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 2.80 ↓ 2.30
Winner 2 1.45 ↑ 1.63

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Osuigwe W
42%
5.80
Barthel M
58%
1.66
Total
Over 21.5
50%
3.50
Under 21.5
50%
1.99

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Unlock the full AI analysis

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Match center
Start 25.08.2026 19:25 UTC
Market 1 16.2% @ 5.80 / 2 83.8% @ 1.12
Coverage hard
Form 4 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Barthel M 58%
💹 Market Barthel M 58%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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Match center

Osuigwe W - Barthel M

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 0:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
Set Osuigwe W Barthel M Result
Set 1 3 6 3:6
Set 2 5 7 5:7
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 57.7% fact: away hit / ROI 66.0% / Brier 0.358 / LogLoss 0.550
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 50.9% fact: away hit / ROI 66.0% / Brier 0.482 / LogLoss 0.675
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Osuigwe W 42.2% 46.4% market and model agree
Barthel M 57.8% 53.6% market and model agree
1X2: 6 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Model = Glicko + Elo strength prior (heuristic, historical calibration in progress). Glicko42.3% · +Elo prior (weight0.56).

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 42.3% / 57.7% probabilities
Rating 1,401 / 1,677 Osuigwe W / Barthel M
RD 288 / 170 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 825-1,977 / 1,337-2,017 strength interval

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.12 Fonbet · no value · model 57.7%
1 5.80 Fonbet · no value · model 42.3%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.60 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.63 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 2.20 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 2.13 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 10.5 3.60 market consensus · line only
Over 17.5 1.63 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.97 50.8% 1.95 51.3%
1.84 54.4% 1.81 55.3%
1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1%
1.63 61.4%
1.10 90.9%
1.10 90.9%
1.14 87.7%
2.75 36.4%
1.60 62.5%
1.82 55.0% 1.80 55.6%
1.94 51.6% 1.93 51.8%
1.91 52.4% 1.90 52.6%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
2.50 40.0%
11.00 9.1%
1.01 99.0%
1.47 68.0%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 17.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 18.5 1.35 74.1%
Over 19.5 2.35 42.6%
Over 20.5 1.62 61.7%
Over 21.5 1.87 53.5% 1.87 53.5% 3.50 28.6%
Over 22.5 2.55 39.2%
Over 23.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 24.5 2.07 48.3%
Over 25.5 2.20 45.5%
Over 26.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 28.5 2.60 38.5%
Over 29.5 2.85 35.1%
Under 17.5 2.15 46.5%
Under 18.5 2.95 33.9%
Under 21.5 1.91 52.4% 1.87 53.5%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 2.5 2.50 40.0%
Under 2.5 1.47 68.0%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 0-0-1
2026-08-25 · Uitni Osigve 0:2 Mona Bartel
Source: ruscore

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 3 (Betcity) · 2 1.42 (Winline)
Bookmaker12
Pari 2.9 1.4
Winline 2.85 1.42
Fonbet 2.9 1.4
Betcity 3 1.4
Source: ruscore · line comparison

Match stats

0 Eysy 3
7 Dvoynye oshibki 4
11 Vsego breyk-poyntov 16
4 Vyigrannye breyk-poynty 7
64 Vyigrannye Points 76
38 Points na podache 35
41 Poteryannye Points na podache 26
51 Uspeshnaya 1-ya podacha 36
21 Uspeshnaya 2-ya podacha 21
24 Vyigrysh 1-y podachi 27
14 Vyigrysh 2-y podachi 8
6 Maks. ochkov podryad 5
4 Geymy na podache 6
8 Vyigrannye geymy 13
3 Maks. geymov podryad 4
0 Tay-breyk 0
Source: ruscore
Osuigwe W
L L L W L
2026-07-27 2026 Memphis, USA
Osuigwe W Joint M 2:0 Osuigwe W
2026-06-23 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain, Qualifying
Osuigwe W Timofeeva M 2:0 Osuigwe W
2026-06-15 2026 Figueira Da Foz, Portugal, Qualifying
Osuigwe W Osuigwe W 0:2 Voloshchuk A
2026-06-14 2026 Figueira Da Foz, Portugal, Qualifying
Osuigwe W Osuigwe W 2:0 Tomai C
2026-05-18 2026 French Open, Paris, France, Qualifying
Osuigwe W Sasnovich A 2:0 Osuigwe W
1 Wins
4 Losses
0.4 Sets won
1.6 Sets lost
20% Win percentage
Barthel M
L W W L W
2026-08-06 2026 Warsaw, Poland
Barthel M 1:2 Yaneva E Barthel M
2026-08-05 2026 Warsaw, Poland
Kubka M 0:2 Barthel M Barthel M
2026-08-04 2026 Warsaw, Poland
Samson L 0:2 Barthel M Barthel M
2026-07-21 2026 Hamburg, Germany
Barthel M 0:2 Putintseva Y Barthel M
2026-07-20 2026 Hamburg, Germany, Qualifying
Vedder E 1:2 Barthel M Barthel M
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.4 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
60% Win percentage

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Osuigwe W vs Barthel M?

By the PropickAI model, Barthel M is favoured — about 58% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for Osuigwe W vs Barthel M?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Barthel M. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

What are the bookmaker odds for Osuigwe W vs Barthel M?

Live odds for Osuigwe W vs Barthel M from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.

When does Osuigwe W vs Barthel M start?

August 25, 2026.