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AI verdict

AI pick Yamamoto S win probability ~54% best odds 1.04

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Yamamoto S. Full breakdown below.

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UTR Pro. Men. Japan
UTR Pro. Men. Japan International
16.08.2026 01:10 UTC Match prediction

Kavanaka Kh - Yamamoto S

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis UTR Pro. Men. Japan
UTR Pro. Men. Japan 16.08.2026 01:10 UTC Finished
16.08.2026 01:10 UTC Finished
Kavanaka Kh
Kavanaka Kh
L L L L
Yamamoto S
Yamamoto S
L W
0:2 1:6 4:6
1 2 GP
Kavanaka Kh 1 4 0
Yamamoto S 6 6 2
1 2
Preview

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
- Coverage -
0 H2H 0
Odds
P1 2.02 47.8% BetBoom
P2 1.85 52.2% BetBoom

Kavanaka Kh go head-to-head with Yamamoto S on August 16, 2026 in the UTR Pro. Men. Japan, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Kavanaka Kh 0-0-4, Yamamoto S 1-0-1. PropickAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 46% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PropickAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Yamamoto S — 54%

1 · Kavanaka Kh46.1%
2 · Yamamoto S53.9%

Model estimate: win Kavanaka Kh 46.1%, win Yamamoto S 53.9%. Model favourite — Yamamoto S.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown
AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Yamamoto S (odds1.74) Score 1:2 confidence 54% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Kavanaka Kh: forma PPPPP (0-5)
  • • Yamamoto Sh: forma PV (1)
  • • Model backs Yamamoto Sh: probability 54% vs 58% on the line (odds 1.74)
  • • no edge over the line (-3 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Kavanaka Kh - Yamamoto S August 16, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Yamamoto S.

Line favourite Fonbet: Yamamoto S. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 7.00 / 2 1.04
  • Glicko: Kavanaka Kh 46.1% / Yamamoto S 53.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 9.0% 6 books · best price +8.2%
1 46.0%
2 54.0%

Odds source: consensus of 6 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 2.02 → 2.02
Winner 2 1.70 → 1.70

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Kavanaka Kh
47%
7.00
Yamamoto S
53%
1.85

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Kavanaka Kh
#3GP 31-2
Yamamoto S
#3GP 42-2

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Kavanaka Kh
2-8LLLLLLLWLW
sets for 0.7sets against 1.6
Yamamoto S
3-7LLLLLWWWLL
sets for 0.6sets against 1.5

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Match center
Start 16.08.2026 01:10 UTC
Market 1 12.9% @ 7.00 / 2 87.1% @ 1.04
Form 5 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Yamamoto S 54%
💹 Market Yamamoto S 54%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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Match center

Kavanaka Kh - Yamamoto S

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 4/2 recent games
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 0:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
Set Kavanaka Kh Yamamoto S Result
Set 1 1 6 1:6
Set 2 4 6 4:6
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form away - 53.9% fact: away hit / ROI 85.0% / Brier 0.425 / LogLoss 0.618
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form away - 50.5% fact: away hit / ROI 85.0% / Brier 0.491 / LogLoss 0.684
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Kavanaka Kh 46.0% 46.1%
Yamamoto S 54.0% 53.9% market and model agree
1X2: 6 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 46.1% / 53.9% probabilities
Rating 1,205 / 1,368 Kavanaka Kh / Yamamoto S
RD 200 / 240 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 806-1,604 / 888-1,848 strength interval

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.04 Fonbet · no value · model 53.9%
1 7.00 Fonbet · weak value +222.6% · model 46.1%
Total
Over 14.5 1.35 Fonbet · line only
Over 15.5 2.70 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet Leon
1.82 55.0% 1.86 53.8%
1.85 54.1% —
1.65 60.6% —
2.90 34.5% —
1.45 69.0% —
2.70 37.0% —
1.35 74.1% —
1.88 53.2% —
1.85 54.1% —
2.10 47.6% —
1.35 74.1% —
2.55 39.2% —
1.40 71.4% —
2.90 34.5% —
— 1.78 56.2%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
4.40 22.7%
9.00 11.1%
1.03 97.1%
1.16 86.2%

Total

Outcome Fonbet Leon
Over 14.5 1.35 74.1% —
Over 15.5 2.70 37.0% —
Over 16.5 1.43 69.9% —
Over 17.5 1.95 51.3% —
Over 20.5 1.88 53.2% —
Over 21.5 1.88 53.2% 1.86 53.8%
Under 14.5 2.90 34.5% —
Under 15.5 1.40 71.4% —
Under 16.5 2.60 38.5% —
Under 17.5 1.75 57.1% —
Under 20.5 1.82 55.0% —
Under 21.5 1.82 55.0% 1.78 56.2%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 2.5 4.40 22.7%
Under 2.5 1.16 86.2%
Match center
Kavanaka Kh
L L L L
10.08 23:00 UTC UTR Pro. Men. Japan
Kavanaka Kh 1:2 Kavada K
05.08 01:00 UTC UTR Pro. Men. Japan
Kavanaka Kh 1:2 Utida Manato
04.08 05:10 UTC UTR Pro. Men. Japan
Kavanaka Kh 0:2 Nakadzima S
03.08 01:00 UTC UTR Pro. Men. Japan
Kavanaka Kh 0:2 Motidzuki K
0 Wins
4 Losses
0.5 Sets won
2.0 Sets lost
0% Win percentage
Yamamoto S
L W
14.08 01:30 UTC UTR Pro. Men. Japan
Yamamoto S 0:2 Takamisava T
11.08 00:10 UTC UTR Pro. Men. Japan
Yamamoto S 2:1 Khigashi RKhigashi R
1 Wins
1 Losses
1.0 Sets won
1.5 Sets lost
50% Win percentage

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Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kavanaka Kh vs Yamamoto S?

By the PropickAI model, Yamamoto S is favoured — about 54% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for Kavanaka Kh vs Yamamoto S?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Yamamoto S. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

When does Kavanaka Kh vs Yamamoto S start?

August 16, 2026.