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Challenger Women - Singles: Warsaw (Poland), hard
Challenger Women - Singles: Warsaw (Poland), hard
06.08.2026 10:00 UTC Match prediction

Barthel M - Yaneva E. 🇧🇴

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis Challenger Women - Singles: Warsaw (Poland), hard
Challenger Women - Singles: Warsaw (Poland), hard hard 06.08.2026 10:00 UTC Finished
06.08.2026 10:00 UTC Finished
Barthel M
Barthel M
Rank #193 Elo 413
W W L L W W L W
Y
Yaneva E. 🇧🇴
Rank #221 Elo 357
L W W L W L W W
1:2
Coverage: hard
Preview

Extended stats (scorego)

Barthel M Yaneva E. 🇧🇴
Win % 51.1% 63.2%
Hard % 53.5% 76%
Clay % 49.8% 51.9%
Grass % 26.2% 50%
Deciding set % 49.5% 52.9%
Tie-breaks % 43.2% 28.6%
Titles (total) 7 3
Last 10 WWWLWWLWLL WWLLWWLWLW

Source: scorego-app.com

About the athletes

- Country -
#193 Rating #221
- Age 36
- Height (cm) 1.85m
- Weight (kg) 69kg
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0

Serve and return stats

Barthel M Yaneva E. 🇧🇴
Aces per match 1.41 3.44
Double faults per match 4.18 8.22
Breaks per match 13.5 3.33

Source:tennisstats.com (per-match averages)

TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return

Elizara Yaneva
Rank:193 Elo: 413
W W L L W W L W
Mona Barthel
Rank:221 Elo: 357
L W W L W L W W
Elo favourite:Yaneva E. 🇧🇴 (edge +56 Elo)

Hard

Elizara YanevaMona Barthel
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 73.1% 19 / 26 Matches 69.6% 16 / 23 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 69.0% 20 / 29 Matches 67.5% 27 / 40 Matches
Aces Per Match 1.50 4.38
Most Aces in a match 0 % 75 %

Clay

Elizara YanevaMona Barthel
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 46.2% 6 / 13 Matches 54.6% 6 / 11 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 60.0% 15 / 25 Matches 50.0% 9 / 18 Matches
Aces Per Match 1.62 2.62
Most Aces in a match 62 % 38 %

Grass

Elizara YanevaMona Barthel
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 50.0% 1 / 2 Matches 0.0% 0 / 2 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 50.0% 1 / 2 Matches 0.0% 0 / 2 Matches
Aces Per Match 0.00 3.00
Most Aces in a match 0 % 50 %

Source:tennisstats.com

H2H series (tennisstats)

Elizara Yaneva Mona Barthel
H2H wins 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Sets 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Wins this year 63.4% 26 / 41 Matches 62.5% 25 / 40 Matches
Wins in 12 mo. 64.3% 36 / 56 Matches 60.0% 39 / 65 Matches
Current rank 193 221

Source: tennisstats.com

Profile and percentages (tennisstats)

Elizara Yaneva Mona Barthel
Prize money (career) $3,273 USD $4,279,475 USD
Rating 193 221
Age — 36
Height — 1.85m
Weight — 69kg

Win percentage (match / set)

Elizara Yaneva Mona Barthel
Match Wins 63 % 63 %
Match Wins (3 Sets) 63 % 61 %
Wins in Straight Sets 41 % 38 %
Wins From Behind 32 % 25 %
Won At Least 1 Set 83 % 68 %
Set 1 Win 63 % 53 %
Set 2 Win 61 % 54 %
Set 3 Win 53 % 83 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)

Outcome percentages for totals and props: values for each player and a match-total column.

Total games

Elizara Yaneva Mona Barthel Match total
Average Games in a Set 9.27 9.58 9.43
Over 6.5 95 % 92 % 94 %
Over 7.5 78 % 89 % 84 %
Over 8.5 61 % 69 % 65 %
Over 9.5 37 % 50 % 44 %
Over 10.5 22 % 22 % 22 %
Over 11.5 22 % 22 % 22 %

Aces

Elizara Yaneva Mona Barthel Match total
Aces Per Match 1.41 3.44 4.85
Most Aces in a match 47 % 56 % N/A
1+ 76 % 100 % 88 %
2+ 29 % 83 % 77 %
3+ 12 % 50 % 65 %
4+ 12 % 39 % 56 %
5+ 6 % 17 % 34 %

Breaks

Elizara Yaneva Mona Barthel Match total
Breaks Per Match 13.5 3.33 16.83
Over 0.5 100 % 100 % 100 %
Over 1.5 100 % 94 % 100 %
Over 2.5 100 % 94 % 100 %
Over 3.5 100 % 89 % 97 %
Over 4.5 100 % 50 % 92 %
Over 5.5 100 % 6 % 92 %

Tie-breaks

Elizara Yaneva Mona Barthel Match total
Tie Breaks Per Match 0.17 0.19 0.18
Over 0.5 17 % 19 % 18 %
Over 1.5 0 % 0 % 0 %
Under 0.5 83 % 81 % 18 %
Under 1.5 100 % 100 % 0 %

Double faults

Elizara Yaneva Mona Barthel Match total
Double Faults Per Match 4.18 8.22 12.4
Over 0.5 (1+) 94 % 100 % 100 %
Over 1.5 (2+) 88 % 94 % 100 %
Over 2.5 (3+) 76 % 94 % 94 %
Over 3.5 (4+) 59 % 94 % 91 %
Over 4.5 (5+) 29 % 83 % 85 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 24 % 67 % 77 %

Net points

Elizara Yaneva Mona Barthel Match total
Net Points Won Per Match 6.67 11.75 18.42
Over 4.5 (5+) 33 % 100 % 67 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 0 % 100 % 50 %
Over 6.5 (7+) 0 % 100 % 50 %
Over 7.5 (8+) 0 % 100 % 50 %
Over 8.5 (9+) 0 % 100 % 50 %
Over 9.5 (10+) 0 % 50 % 25 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Odds
P1 2.55 37.5% BetBoom
P2 1.53 62.5% BetBoom

Barthel M face Yaneva E. 🇧🇴 on August 6, 2026 in the Challenger Women - Singles: Warsaw (Poland), hard.

Recent form (W-D-L): Barthel M 2-0, Yaneva E. 🇧🇴 3-0. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 39% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Yaneva E. 🇧🇴 — 61%

Pure model vs market (2 · Yaneva E. 🇧🇴):model 53% · market 62% Δ −9 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Barthel M39.4%
market38%
2 · Yaneva E. 🇧🇴✓ Pick60.6%
market62%

Model estimate: win Barthel M 39.4%, win Yaneva E. 🇧🇴 60.6%. Model favourite — Yaneva E. 🇧🇴.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Yaneva E. 🇧🇴 (odds1.51) Score 1:2 confidence 61% ✓ outcome correct · exact score
  • • Bartel M
  • • 🇩🇪 — Yaneva E
  • • 🇧🇴 (tennis)
  • • Bartel M
  • • 🇩🇪: forma VVVPV (4-1)
  • • Yaneva E
  • • 🇧🇴: forma VV (2-0)
  • • Model backs Yaneva E
  • • 🇧🇴: probability 61% vs 66% on the line (odds 1.51)
  • • no edge over the line (-6 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Barthel M - Yaneva E. 🇧🇴 August 6, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Yaneva E. 🇧🇴.

Line favourite market consensus: Yaneva E. 🇧🇴. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 2.55 / 2 1.53
  • Glicko: Barthel M 39.4% / Yaneva E. 🇧🇴 60.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.2% 3 books
1 38.5%
2 ✓ Pick 61.5%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Barthel M
38%
2.55
Yaneva E. 🇧🇴
62%
1.53
Total
Over 20.5
50%
1.85
Under 20.5
50%
1.90

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Barthel M
5-5LLLWLWWLWW
scored 1.0conceded 1.3
Yaneva E. 🇧🇴
6-4WLWLWWLLWW
scored 1.4conceded 1.1

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Playoff draw

Tournament bracket 2026 Warsaw, Poland

1/16-finals (R32)
Jacquemot, Elsa0
Lee, Carol Young Suh2
Falei, Aliona2
Radwanska, Urszula0
Paszun, Amelia0
Falkowska, Weronika2
Avdeeva, Julia0
Noha Akugue, Noma2
Podlinska, Marcelina0
Valdmannova, Vendula2
Pawlikowska, Zuzanna2
Karatancheva, Lia0
Hruncakova, Viktoria0
Bandecchi, Susan2
Micic, Elena0
Podrez, Veronika2
Kostovic, Teodora1
Kubka, Martyna2
Samson, Laura0
Barthel, Mona2
Klimovicova, Linda1
Yaneva, Elizara2
Smith, Alana0
Yuan, Yue2
Kawa, Katarzyna2
Fruhvirtova, Linda1
Ewald, Weronika0
Mikulskyte, Justina2
Knutson, Gabriela2
Costoulas, Sofia0
Galfi, Dalma0
Seidel, Ella2
1/8-finals (R16)
Lee, Carol Young Suh2
Falei, Aliona1
Falkowska, Weronika2
Noha Akugue, Noma1
Valdmannova, Vendula2
Pawlikowska, Zuzanna0
Bandecchi, Susan2
Podrez, Veronika0
Kubka, Martyna0
Barthel, Mona2
Yaneva, Elizara2
Yuan, Yue1
Kawa, Katarzyna1
Mikulskyte, Justina2
Knutson, Gabriela2
Seidel, Ella0
Quarterfinals
Lee, Carol Young Suh2
Falkowska, Weronika1
Valdmannova, Vendula2
Bandecchi, Susan0
Barthel, Mona1
Yaneva, Elizara2
Mikulskyte, Justina0
Knutson, Gabriela2
Semifinals
Lee, Carol Young Suh0
Valdmannova, Vendula0
Yaneva, Elizara0
Knutson, Gabriela0
Final
WSF10
WSF20

Playoff draw: gismo. For reference.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:2/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated06.08.2026 05:51 UTC
1 39%
2 61% ✓ favourite
Score1:2 Total games: Over 21.5 Bet:2
Per AI data H2H: 0-0
Claude updated06.08.2026 05:55 UTC
1 42%
2 58% ✓ favourite
Score2:1 Total games: Over 21.5 Bet:Over 21.5 games

AI consensus:2

AI 1 2 Score Total games Bet
Google AI 39% 61% 1:2 Over 21.5
Claude 42% 58% 2:1 Over 21.5 Over 21.5 games
Match center
Start 06.08.2026 10:00 UTC
Market 1 37.5% @ 2.55 / 2 62.5% @ 1.53
Coverage hard
Form 5 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI models Yaneva E. 🇧🇴60%
📐 Math model Yaneva E. 🇧🇴61%
💹 Market Yaneva E. 🇧🇴62%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
🏦 Virtual bank $10,000
$10,000Virtual balance

Play free: you start with $10,000 in virtual money. Bet on this match at our odds, then track your profit and climb the global leaderboard. No real money, no sign-up.

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Match center

Barthel M - Yaneva E. 🇧🇴

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 2/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 1:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 60.6% fact: away hit / ROI 53.0% / Brier 0.310 / LogLoss 0.500
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 51.3% fact: away hit / ROI 53.0% / Brier 0.475 / LogLoss 0.668
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Barthel M 38.5% 43.8% market and model agree
Yaneva E. 🇧🇴 61.5% 56.2% market and model agree
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Model = Glicko + Elo strength prior (heuristic, historical calibration in progress). Glicko39.4% · +Elo prior (weight0.44).

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 39.4% / 60.6% probabilities
Rating 1,668 / 1,826 Barthel M / Yaneva, Elizara
RD 132 / 249 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,404-1,932 / 1,328-2,325 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.51 market consensus · no value · model 60.6%
1 2.42 market consensus · no value · model 39.4%
Total
Over 20.5 1.85 market consensus · line only
Over 21.5 1.91 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
— 1.96 51.0% —
— — 1.85 54.1%
1.77 56.5% 1.78 56.2% —
— 1.79 55.9% —
— — 1.82 55.0%
1.98 50.5% 1.97 50.8% —

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
Over 20.5 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.84 54.4%
Over 21.5 1.92 52.1% 1.90 52.6% —
Under 20.5 1.89 52.9% 1.90 52.6% 1.83 54.6%
Under 21.5 1.82 55.0% 1.83 54.6% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
2.43 41.2% 2.55 39.2% 2.29 43.7%
1.52 65.8% 1.47 68.0% 1.53 65.4%
Match center
Barthel M
W W
05.08 10:30 UTC Challenger Women - Singles: Warsaw (Poland), hard
Barthel M 2:0 Kubka M. 🇵🇱
03.08 12:00 UTC Challenger Women - Singles: Warsaw (Poland), hard
Barthel M 2:0 Samson L. 🇨🇿Samson L. 🇨🇿
2 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Yaneva E. 🇧🇴
W
2026-08-04 WTA 125K Warsaw, Poland Women Singles 2026
Klimovicova, Linda 1:2 Yaneva, Elizara Yaneva E. 🇧🇴
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage