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World Tennis. Men. Brazil. Qualification
World Tennis. Men. Brazil. Qualification International
01.08.2026 15:15 UTC Match prediction

Leite W - Alves M

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis World Tennis. Men. Brazil. Qualification
World Tennis. Men. Brazil. Qualification 01.08.2026 15:15 UTC Finished
01.08.2026 15:15 UTC Finished
Leite W
Leite W
W W W
Alves M
Alves M
W W W W
0:2 1:6 2:6
1 2 GP
Leite W 1 2 0
Alves M 6 6 2
1 2
Odds
P1 6.00 15.6% BetBoom
P2 1.11 84.4% BetBoom
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
- Coverage -
0 H2H 0

Leite W go head-to-head with Alves M on August 1, 2026 in the World Tennis. Men. Brazil. Qualification, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Leite W 3-0-0, Alves M 4-0-0. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 19% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Alves M — 81%

Pure model vs market (2 · Alves M): model 56% · market 84% Δ −28 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Leite W19.0%
market16%
2 · Alves M ✓ Pick81.0%
market84%

Model estimate: win Leite W 19.0%, win Alves M 81.0%. Model favourite — Alves M.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Leite W - Alves M August 1, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Alves M.

Line favourite Fonbet: Alves M. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 10.00 / 2 1.02
  • Glicko: Leite W 19.0% / Alves M 81.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2% 4 books · best price +2.3%
1 15.7%
2 ✓ Pick 84.4%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 5.70 ↓ 5.30
Winner 2 1.09 ↑ 1.10

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Match center
Start 01.08.2026 15:15 UTC
Market 1 9.3% @ 10.00 / 2 90.7% @ 1.02
Form 6 matches
Match center

Leite W - Alves M

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 3/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 0:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
Set Leite W Alves M Result
Set 1 1 6 1:6
Set 2 2 6 2:6
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form away - 81.0% fact: away hit / ROI 11.0% / Brier 0.072 / LogLoss 0.211
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form away - 53.7% fact: away hit / ROI 11.0% / Brier 0.428 / LogLoss 0.621
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Leite W 16.2% 19.0%
Alves M 83.8% 81.0% market and model agree
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 19.0% / 81.0% probabilities
Rating 1,646 / 1,910 Leite W / Alves M
RD 204 / 191 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,237-2,054 / 1,529-2,292 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.02 Fonbet · no value · model 81.0%
1 10.00 Fonbet · no value · model 19.0%
Total
Over 14.5 1.52 Fonbet · line only
Over 15.5 8.00 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
— — 3.15 31.8%
— — 2.40 41.7%
1.85 54.1% 1.80 55.6% 2.00 50.0%
— — 2.35 42.6%
— — 2.25 44.4%
— — 8.00 12.5%
— — 1.52 65.8%
— — 1.30 76.9%
— — 1.50 66.7%
— — 1.72 58.1%
— — 1.53 65.4%
— — 1.55 64.5%
— — 1.02 98.0%
— — 2.35 42.6%
1.85 54.1% 1.90 52.6% —

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 14.5 — — 1.52 65.8%
Over 15.5 — — 8.00 12.5%
Over 16.5 — — 2.20 45.5%
Over 17.5 — — 2.30 43.5%
Over 18.5 1.76 56.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.85 54.1%
Over 19.5 1.82 55.0% 1.85 54.1% 1.80 55.6%
Over 20.5 1.93 51.8% 1.90 52.6% —
Under 18.5 1.95 51.3% 1.96 51.0% —
Under 19.5 1.88 53.2% 1.85 54.1% —
Under 20.5 1.78 56.2% 1.79 55.9% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
5.60 17.9% 6.00 16.7% 10.00 10.0% 5.70 17.5%
1.11 90.1% 1.09 91.7% 1.02 98.0% 1.08 92.6%
Match center
Leite W
W W W
31.07 15:30 UTC World Tennis. Men. Brazil
Leite W 2:1 Torrealba BTorrealba B
30.07 15:37 UTC World Tennis. Men. Brazil
Leite W 2:1 Osorio Kh-S
28.07 16:30 UTC World Tennis. Men. Brazil
Leite W 2:1 Uertas Del Pino K. 🇵🇪
3 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Alves M
W W W W
31.07 14:00 UTC World Tennis. Men. Brazil
Alves M 2:1 Sarayva dush Santush P-A
30.07 17:00 UTC World Tennis. Men. Brazil
Alves M 2:1 Shtork-Franka L
29.07 19:33 UTC World Tennis. Men. Brazil
Alves M 2:0 Fontes-Damorim F
22.07 22:28 UTC World Tennis. Men. Brazil
Alves M 2:0 Santush-Gava K-L
4 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.5 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLeite W - Alves M

Leite W
0 matches total
Alves M
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history