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World Tennis. Men. Denmark
World Tennis. Men. Denmark
28.07.2026 06:00 UTC Match prediction

Karlsson Wistrand J - Todorov M

Tennis World Tennis. Men. Denmark
World Tennis. Men. Denmark clay 28.07.2026 06:00 UTC Finished
28.07.2026 06:00 UTC Finished
K
Karlsson Wistrand J
T
Todorov M
0:2
Odds
P1 1.43 65.6% BetBoom
P2 2.73 34.4% BetBoom
Coverage: clay
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
clay Coverage clay
0 H2H 0
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Karlsson Wistrand J — 64%

Pure model vs market (1 · Karlsson Wistrand J): model 52% · market 8% Δ +44 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Karlsson Wistrand J ✓ Pick64.0%
market8%
2 · Todorov M36.0%
market92%

Model estimate: win Karlsson Wistrand J 64.0%, win Todorov M 36.0%. Model favourite — Karlsson Wistrand J.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Karlsson Wistrand J (odds1.59) Score 2:1 confidence 57% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Model backs Karlsson-Vistrand Ya: probability 57% vs 63% on the line (odds 1.59)
  • • no edge over the line (-5 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Karlsson Wistrand J - Todorov M July 28, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Todorov M.

Line favourite Fonbet: Todorov M. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 11.00 / 2 1.01
  • Glicko: Karlsson Wistrand J 64.0% / Todorov M 36.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.1%
1 ✓ Pick 8.4%
2 91.6%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Match center
Start 28.07.2026 06:00 UTC
Coverage clay
Match center

Karlsson Wistrand J - Todorov M

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Match Participants Line
More needed
Form Championat, Flashscore
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Overview Championat
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 0:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, coverage home - 64.0% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.820 / LogLoss 1.022
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, coverage home - 51.7% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.534 / LogLoss 0.727
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Karlsson Wistrand J 65.3% 64.0% market and model agree
Todorov M 34.7% 36.0%
1X2: 2 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 64.0% / 36.0% probabilities
Rating 1,500 / 1,500 Karlsson Wistrand J / Todorov M
RD 350 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 36.0%
1 1.42 market consensus · no value · model 64.0%
Handicap
2 +0.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 19.5 2.15 Fonbet · line only
Over 20.5 1.52 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Betcity Fonbet
— 1.85 54.1%
— 1.82 55.0%
1.77 56.5% 1.83 54.6%
2.00 50.0% —
— 1.85 54.1%
— 1.90 52.6%
— 1.45 69.0%
1.93 51.8% 1.04 96.2%
1.71 58.5% 2.35 42.6%
— 2.35 42.6%
— 1.63 61.4%
— 1.85 54.1%
— 1.88 53.2%
— 1.87 53.5%
— 1.68 59.5%

Total

Outcome Betcity Fonbet
Over 19.5 — 2.15 46.5%
Over 20.5 1.87 53.5% 1.52 65.8%
Over 21.5 — 4.90 20.4%
Over 22.5 — 2.40 41.7%
Over 23.5 — 1.87 53.5%
Over 24.5 — 6.50 15.4%
Over 25.5 — 2.65 37.7%
Over 26.5 — 1.80 55.6%
Over 27.5 — 1.73 57.8%
Over 30.5 — 1.80 55.6%
Over 31.5 — 1.80 55.6%
Under 19.5 — 1.63 61.4%
Under 20.5 1.83 54.6% 2.35 42.6%
Under 21.5 — 1.12 89.3%
Under 22.5 — 1.50 66.7%
Under 23.5 — 1.83 54.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.40 71.4% 1.43 69.9% 11.00 9.1%
2.73 36.6% 2.60 38.5% 1.01 99.0%