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World Tennis. Men. Denmark
World Tennis. Men. Denmark
28.07.2026 06:00 UTC Match prediction

Lane L - Nesterov P

Tennis World Tennis. Men. Denmark
World Tennis. Men. Denmark clay 28.07.2026 06:00 UTC Finished
28.07.2026 06:00 UTC Finished
L
Lane L
N
Nesterov P
0:2
Odds
P1 6.80 13.6% BetBoom
P2 1.07 86.4% BetBoom
Coverage: clay
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
clay Coverage clay
0 H2H 0
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Nesterov P — 83%

Pure model vs market (2 · Nesterov P): model 56% · market 91% Δ −35 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Lane L16.6%
market9%
2 · Nesterov P ✓ Pick83.4%
market91%

Model estimate: win Lane L 16.6%, win Nesterov P 83.4%. Model favourite — Nesterov P.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lane L - Nesterov P July 28, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Nesterov P.

Line favourite Fonbet: Nesterov P. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 10.00 / 2 1.02
  • Glicko: Lane L 16.6% / Nesterov P 83.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.0%
1 9.3%
2 ✓ Pick 90.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Lane L

no data

Nesterov P
6-4LWLWWLWLWW
scored 1.2conceded 1.1

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Match center
Start 28.07.2026 06:00 UTC
Coverage clay
Form 5 matches
Match center

Lane L - Nesterov P

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 2/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 0:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 83.4% fact: away hit / ROI 7.0% / Brier 0.055 / LogLoss 0.181
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 54.0% fact: away hit / ROI 7.0% / Brier 0.423 / LogLoss 0.616
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Lane L 13.6% 16.6%
Nesterov P 86.4% 83.4% market and model agree
1X2: 2 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 16.6% / 83.4% probabilities
Rating 1,216 / 1,491 Lane L / Nesterov P
RD 247 / 188 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 723-1,709 / 1,115-1,868 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.02 Fonbet · no value · model 83.4%
1 10.00 Fonbet · no value · model 16.6%
Total
Over 17.5 1.90 Fonbet · line only
Over 18.5 6.80 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Betcity Fonbet
— 2.30 43.5%
— 6.80 14.7%
1.68 59.5% —
— 1.65 60.6%
— 1.55 64.5%
— 1.04 96.2%
— 2.10 47.6%
2.06 48.5% —

Total

Outcome Betcity Fonbet
Over 17.5 — 1.90 52.6%
Over 18.5 1.86 53.8% 6.80 14.7%
Over 19.5 — 2.25 44.4%
Over 20.5 — 2.25 44.4%
Over 21.5 — 1.90 52.6%
Under 17.5 — 1.80 55.6%
Under 18.5 1.84 54.4% 1.04 96.2%
Under 19.5 — 1.57 63.7%
Under 20.5 — 1.58 63.3%
Under 21.5 — 1.80 55.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
6.80 14.7% 6.80 14.7% 10.00 10.0%
1.07 93.5% 1.07 93.5% 1.02 98.0%
Match center
Lane L
L L
15.07 09:00 UTC+0 World Tennis. Men. Germany
Lane L 0:2 Stremberg I
15.07 07:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Uslar (Germany), clay
Lane L 0:2 Stroemberg I. 🇸🇪
0 Wins
2 Losses
0.0 Sets won
2.0 Sets lost
0% Win percentage
Nesterov P
L L W W L
20.07 08:30 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Zug (Switzerland) - Qualifying, clay
Nesterov P 1:2 Monteyro T. 🇧🇷Monteyro T. 🇧🇷
26.06 13:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Plovdiv (Bulgaria), clay
Nesterov P 1:2 Kopp S. 🇦🇹Kopp S. 🇦🇹
08.06 06:30 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Cattolica (Italy) - Qualifying, clay
Nesterov P 2:1 Ferrari Dzha. 🇮🇹
07.06 06:30 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Cattolica (Italy) - Qualifying, clay
Nesterov P 2:0 Mecarelli M. 🇮🇹
24.05 11:10 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Vichentsa (Italy) - Qualifying, clay
Nesterov P 0:2 Banolini D. 🇮🇹
2 Wins
3 Losses
1.2 Sets won
1.4 Sets lost
40% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLane L - Nesterov P

Lane L
0 matches total
Nesterov P
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history