•(World): probability 64% vs 71% on the line (odds 1.42)
•no edge over the line (-7 pp) โ informational only.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
*
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Gretskiy I. (World) - Yerdilda Y. ๐ฐ๐ฟ August 6, 2026
Tennis math model
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Gretskiy I. (World).
Line favourite market consensus: Gretskiy I. (World). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.35 / 2 3.40
Glicko: Gretskiy I. (World) 66.4% / Yerdilda Y. ๐ฐ๐ฟ 33.6%
%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin โ for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner
bookmaker margin 8.2%
3 books ยท best price +1.5%
1 ✓ Pick68.6%
231.4%
Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds โ reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Match center
Start06.08.2026 05:00 UTC
Market1 71.6% @ 1.35 / 2 28.4% @ 3.40
Coveragehard
Form3 matches
Match center
Gretskiy I. (World) - Yerdilda Y. ๐ฐ๐ฟ
V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.
Form2/1
recent games
H2H0
head-to-head matches
Market2
model / bookmakers
Flashscorematch data
source checked
Oddsmatch data
source checked
Line depthmatch data
source checked
Present in data
MarketFormMatchParticipantsLineOverview
More needed
H2HChampionat, Flashscore
TournamentChampionat, Flashscore
MovementLine history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score2:1
Events0
Statistics0
Market and Glicko
Tennis math model.
Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
OutcomeLineGlickoSignal
Gretskiy I. (World)68.6%66.4%market and model agree
Yerdilda Y. ๐ฐ๐ฟ31.4%33.6%
1X2: 3 Bookies
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Tennis math model
P1 / P266.4% / 33.6%
probabilities
Rating1,452 / 1,657
Gretskiy I. (World) / Yerdilda Y. ๐ฐ๐ฟ
RD241 / 277
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD971-1,933 / 1,103-2,211
strength interval
Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
Betting snapshot
1X2
23.07
market consensus ยท no value ยท model 33.6%
11.32
market consensus ยท no value ยท model 66.4%
Total
Over 20.51.87
market consensus ยท line only
Under 20.51.81
market consensus ยท line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
bookmaker line and markets
Handicap
Outcome
Baltbet
Betcity
Leon
1.9451.6%
1.9551.3%
1.9152.4%
1.7756.5%
1.7656.8%
1.7457.5%
Total
Outcome
Baltbet
Betcity
Leon
Over 20.5
1.8255.0%
1.9451.6%
1.8554.1%
Under 20.5
1.8853.2%
1.7656.8%
1.7955.9%
Outcome (1X2)
Outcome
Baltbet
Betcity
Leon
1.3574.1%
1.2778.7%
1.3375.2%
2.9533.9%
3.4029.4%
2.8734.8%
Match center
Gretskiy I. (World)
LW
30.07 03:00 UTC+0ITF Men - Singles: M15 Astana (Kazakhstan), hard
Gretskiy I. (World)0:2Brand D. ๐ฎ๐ฑ
29.07 04:30 UTC+0ITF Men - Singles: M15 Astana (Kazakhstan), hard
Gretskiy I. (World)2:1Filippov E. (World)
1Wins
1Losses
1.0Sets won
1.5Sets lost
50%Win percentage
Yerdilda Y. ๐ฐ๐ฟ
W
29.07 04:30 UTC+0ITF Men - Singles: M15 Astana (Kazakhstan), hard
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