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World Tennis. Men. Kazakhstan
World Tennis. Men. Kazakhstan

Kesharwani M - Zhalgasbay D

Tennis World Tennis. Men. Kazakhstan
World Tennis. Men. Kazakhstan hard 28.07.2026 07:30 UTC Finished
28.07.2026 07:30 UTC Finished
K
Kesharwani M
Z
Zhalgasbay D
0:2
Odds
P1 2.85 32.5% BetBoom
P2 1.37 67.5% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Zhalgasbay D66%

Pure model vs market (2 · Zhalgasbay D): model 51% · market 91% Δ −40 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Kesharwani M34.1%
market9%
2 · Zhalgasbay D ✓ Pick65.9%
market91%

Model estimate: win Kesharwani M 34.1%, win Zhalgasbay D 65.9%. Model favourite — Zhalgasbay D.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Zhalgasbay D (odds1.46) Score 1:2 confidence 62% ✓ outcome correct
  • Kesharwani M
  • 🇮🇳 — Zhalgasbay D
  • 🇰🇿 (tennis)
  • Zhalgasbay D
  • 🇰🇿: forma V (1-0)
  • Model backs Zhalgasbay D
  • 🇰🇿: probability 62% vs 69% on the line (odds 1.46)
  • no edge over the line (-7 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Kesharwani M - Zhalgasbay D July 28, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Zhalgasbay D.

Line favourite Fonbet: Zhalgasbay D. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 10.00 / 2 1.02
  • Glicko: Kesharwani M 34.1% / Zhalgasbay D 65.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.0%
1 9.3%
2 ✓ Pick 90.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Match center
Start 28.07.2026 07:30 UTC
Coverage hard
Form 1 matches
Match center

Kesharwani M - Zhalgasbay D

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
Form Championat, Flashscore
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 0:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 65.9% fact: away hit / ROI 37.0% / Brier 0.233 / LogLoss 0.417
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 51.9% fact: away hit / ROI 37.0% / Brier 0.463 / LogLoss 0.656
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Kesharwani M 32.5% 34.1%
Zhalgasbay D 67.5% 65.9% market and model agree
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 34.1% / 65.9% probabilities
Rating 1,500 / 1,613 Kesharwani M / Zhalgasbay D
RD 350 / 292 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 1,029-2,196 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.02 Fonbet · no value · model 65.9%
1 10.00 Fonbet · no value · model 34.1%
Total
Over 15.5 9.00 Fonbet · line only
Over 16.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.94 51.6% 2.00 50.0% 1.88 53.2%
1.90 52.6%
1.90 52.6%
2.95 33.9%
1.77 56.5%
9.00 11.1%
1.73 57.8%
1.80 55.6%
1.80 55.6%
1.35 74.1%
1.93 51.8%
1.01 99.0%
1.77 56.5% 1.76 56.8%

Total

Outcome Betcity Fonbet Leon
Over 15.5 9.00 11.1%
Over 16.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 17.5 2.02 49.5%
Over 18.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 19.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 20.5 1.93 51.8%
Over 21.5 1.90 52.6% 1.95 51.3% 1.85 54.1%
Under 15.5 1.01 99.0%
Under 16.5 1.95 51.3%
Under 17.5 1.70 58.8%
Under 18.5 1.85 54.1%
Under 19.5 1.75 57.1%
Under 20.5 1.77 56.5%
Under 21.5 1.80 55.6% 1.75 57.1% 1.78 56.2%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
2.85 35.1% 2.85 35.1% 10.00 10.0% 2.80 35.7%
1.37 73.0% 1.37 73.0% 1.02 98.0% 1.35 74.1%
Match center
Kesharwani M
W
05.07 14:00 UTC+0 YuNOShI - Singles: Uimbldon (Velikobritaniya), grass
Kesharwani M 2:1 Behrmann T. 🇦🇹
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Zhalgasbay D
W
05.07 14:00 UTC+0 YuNOShI - Singles: Uimbldon (Velikobritaniya), grass
Zhalgasbay D 2:1 Behrmann T. 🇦🇹
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage