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World Tennis. Men. Kazakhstan
World Tennis. Men. Kazakhstan
28.07.2026 07:30 UTC Match prediction

Maratuly I - Sornlaksup P

Tennis World Tennis. Men. Kazakhstan
World Tennis. Men. Kazakhstan hard 28.07.2026 07:30 UTC Finished
28.07.2026 07:30 UTC Finished
M
Maratuly I
S
Sornlaksup P
0:2
Odds
P1 7.70 12.1% BetBoom
P2 1.06 87.9% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Sornlaksup P — 84%

Pure model vs market (2 · Sornlaksup P): model 56% · market 92% Δ −36 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Maratuly I15.7%
market8%
2 · Sornlaksup P ✓ Pick84.3%
market92%

Model estimate: win Maratuly I 15.7%, win Sornlaksup P 84.3%. Model favourite — Sornlaksup P.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Maratuly I - Sornlaksup P July 28, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Sornlaksup P.

Line favourite Fonbet: Sornlaksup P. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 11.00 / 2 1.01
  • Glicko: Maratuly I 15.7% / Sornlaksup P 84.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.1%
1 8.4%
2 ✓ Pick 91.6%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Match center
Start 28.07.2026 07:30 UTC
Coverage hard
Form 3 matches
Match center

Maratuly I - Sornlaksup P

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 3/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 0:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 84.3% fact: away hit / ROI 6.0% / Brier 0.049 / LogLoss 0.171
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 54.1% fact: away hit / ROI 6.0% / Brier 0.421 / LogLoss 0.614
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Maratuly I 12.6% 15.7%
Sornlaksup P 87.4% 84.3% market and model agree
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 15.7% / 84.3% probabilities
Rating 1,500 / 1,782 Maratuly I / Sornlaksup P
RD 350 / 206 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 1,371-2,193 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 84.3%
1 7.40 market consensus · no value · model 15.7%
Total
Over 16.5 2.55 Fonbet · line only
Over 17.5 1.19 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Betcity Fonbet Leon
— 9.00 11.1% —
1.93 51.8% 1.20 83.3% 1.90 52.6%
— 2.60 38.5% —
— 1.03 97.1% —
— 3.85 26.0% —
— 1.45 69.0% —
1.78 56.2% — 1.74 57.5%

Total

Outcome Betcity Fonbet Leon
Over 16.5 — 2.55 39.2% —
Over 17.5 1.77 56.5% 1.19 84.0% 1.74 57.5%
Over 18.5 — 7.30 13.7% —
Under 16.5 — 1.45 69.0% —
Under 17.5 1.94 51.6% 3.95 25.3% 1.90 52.6%
Under 18.5 — 1.03 97.1% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
7.30 13.7% 7.70 13.0% 11.00 9.1% 7.20 13.9%
1.06 94.3% 1.05 95.2% 1.01 99.0% 1.04 96.2%
Match center
Maratuly I
L W W
14.06 00:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Maanshan 5 (China), hard (indoor)
Maratuly I 0:2 Dellavedova M. 🇦🇺
13.06 00:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Maanshan 5 (China), hard (indoor)
Maratuly I 2:0 Isomura KIsomura K
12.06 01:30 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Maanshan 5 (China), hard (indoor)
Maratuly I 2:1 Chanta T. 🇹🇭
2 Wins
1 Losses
1.3 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
67% Win percentage
Sornlaksup P
L W W W
14.06 00:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Maanshan 5 (China), hard (indoor)
Sornlaksup P 0:2 Dellavedova M. 🇦🇺
13.06 00:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Maanshan 5 (China), hard (indoor)
Sornlaksup P 2:0 Isomura KIsomura K
12.06 01:30 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Maanshan 5 (China), hard (indoor)
Sornlaksup P 2:1 Chanta T. 🇹🇭
10.06 01:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Maanshan 5 (China), hard (indoor)
Sornlaksup P 2:0 Meng F. 🇨🇳
3 Wins
1 Losses
1.5 Sets won
0.8 Sets lost
75% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMaratuly I - Sornlaksup P

Maratuly I
0 matches total
Sornlaksup P
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history