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World Tennis. Men. Mexico
World Tennis. Men. Mexico International
31.07.2026 18:16 UTC Match prediction

Thomson Matthew - Kuhar M

Tennis World Tennis. Men. Mexico
World Tennis. Men. Mexico 31.07.2026 18:16 UTC Finished
31.07.2026 18:16 UTC Finished
Thomson Matthew
Thomson Matthew
W W W W W
Kuhar M
Kuhar M
W W
2:1 3:6 6:4 7:5
1 2 3 GP
Thomson Matthew 3 6 7 2
Kuhar M 6 4 5 1
1 2 3
Odds
P1 1.73 54.1% BetBoom
P2 2.04 45.9% BetBoom
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
- Coverage -
0 H2H 0

Thomson Matthew go head-to-head with Kuhar M on July 31, 2026 in the World Tennis. Men. Mexico, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Thomson Matthew 5-0-0, Kuhar M 2-0-0. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 54% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Thomson Matthew — 54%

Pure model vs market (1 · Thomson Matthew): model 54% · market 84% Δ −30 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Thomson Matthew54.1%
2 · Kuhar M45.9%

Model estimate: win Thomson Matthew 54.1%, win Kuhar M 45.9%. Model favourite — Thomson Matthew.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Thomson Matthew (odds1.71) Score 2:1 confidence 54% ✓ outcome correct · exact score
  • • Tomson Mettyu: forma VVVVV (5-0)
  • • Kukhar M: forma VV (2-0)
  • • Model backs Tomson Mettyu: probability 54% vs 58% on the line (odds 1.71)
  • • no edge over the line (-5 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Thomson Matthew - Kuhar M July 31, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Thomson Matthew.

Line favourite Fonbet: Thomson Matthew. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.09 / 2 5.70
  • Glicko: Thomson Matthew 54.1% / Kuhar M 45.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 9.3%
1 83.9%
2 16.1%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.72 ↑ 1.73
Winner 2 2.00 → 2.00

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Match center
Start 31.07.2026 18:16 UTC
Market 1 83.9% @ 1.09 / 2 16.1% @ 5.70
Form 5 matches
Match center

Thomson Matthew - Kuhar M

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:1
Events 0
Statistics 0
Set Thomson Matthew Kuhar M Result
Set 1 3 6 3:6
Set 2 6 4 6:4
Set 3 7 5 7:5
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form home - 54.1% fact: home hit / ROI 73.0% / Brier 0.422 / LogLoss 0.615
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form home - 50.5% fact: home hit / ROI 73.0% / Brier 0.490 / LogLoss 0.683
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Thomson Matthew 54.1% 54.1% market and model agree
Kuhar M 45.9% 45.9%
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 54.1% / 45.9% probabilities
Rating 1,896 / 1,843 Thomson Matthew / Kuhar M
RD 166 / 239 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,564-2,227 / 1,365-2,322 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.70 Fonbet · weak value +161.8% · model 45.9%
1 1.09 Fonbet · no value · model 54.1%
Handicap
2 -0.5 3.20 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 5.70 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.28 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.09 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 18.5 1.53 Fonbet · line only
Over 19.5 1.82 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
— — 1.28 78.1%
1.86 53.8% 1.85 54.1% 7.30 13.7%
1.87 53.5% — —
— — 5.70 17.5%
1.82 55.0% 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1%
1.81 55.3% — 9.50 10.5%
— — 2.45 40.8%
— — 1.90 52.6%
— — 2.20 45.5%
— — 2.90 34.5%
— — 3.20 31.3%
— — 1.03 97.1%
— — 1.13 88.5%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 18.5 — — 1.53 65.4%
Over 19.5 — — 1.82 55.0%
Over 20.5 — 1.77 56.5% 1.72 58.1%
Over 21.5 1.87 53.5% — 1.70 58.8%
Over 22.5 — — 1.85 54.1%
Over 23.5 — — 1.87 53.5%
Over 24.5 — — 1.58 63.3%
Over 25.5 — — 1.40 71.4%
Over 26.5 — — 1.33 75.2%
Over 27.5 — — 1.13 88.5%
Over 28.5 — — 1.03 97.1%
Over 29.5 — — 1.25 80.0%
Over 31.5 — — 3.20 31.3%
Under 18.5 — — 2.35 42.6%
Under 20.5 — 1.94 51.6% —
Under 21.5 1.81 55.3% — —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.73 57.8% 1.69 59.2% 1.09 91.7% 1.67 59.9%
1.99 50.3% 2.04 49.0% 5.70 17.5% 2.00 50.0%
Match center
Thomson Matthew
W W W W W
30.07 17:09 UTC World Tennis. Men. Mexico
Thomson Matthew 2:0 Pek Dzh
29.07 17:48 UTC World Tennis. Men. Mexico
Thomson Matthew 2:1 Lakhe-Kastelan L-A
26.07 16:00 UTC World Tennis. Men. Mexico
Thomson Matthew 2:1 Tudorika A-N
25.07 17:30 UTC World Tennis. Men. Mexico
Thomson Matthew 2:0 Braun P
23.07 15:30 UTC World Tennis. Men. Mexico
Thomson Matthew 2:1 Balsekar A
5 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.6 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Kuhar M
W W
30.07 19:34 UTC World Tennis. Men. Mexico
Kuhar M 2:0 Reyes-Tiraldo O-A
29.07 18:52 UTC World Tennis. Men. Mexico
Kuhar M 2:0 Ruder-Khuk Dzh
2 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyThomson Matthew - Kuhar M

Thomson Matthew
0 matches total
Kuhar M
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history