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World Tennis. Men. Romania

05.08.2026 08:30 UTC Match prediction

Andreescu S A - Messina J. 🇺🇸

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction

Tennis World Tennis. Men. Romania

World Tennis. Men. Romania clay 05.08.2026 08:30 UTC Finished

05.08.2026 08:30 UTC Finished

Andreescu S A

Messina J. 🇺🇸

2:0

Odds

P1 1.03 90.6% BetBoom

P2 9.90 9.4% BetBoom

Coverage: clay

Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -

- Rating -

- Age -

- Height (cm) -

- Weight (kg) -

- Hand -

- Seed -

clay Coverage clay

0 H2H 0

Andreescu S A meet Messina J. 🇺🇸 on August 5, 2026 in the World Tennis. Men. Romania.

PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 87% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Andreescu S A — 87%

Pure model vs market (1 · Andreescu S A): model 57% · market 90% Δ −33 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Andreescu S A ✓ Pick87.0%

market90%

2 · Messina J. 🇺🇸13.0%

market10%

Model estimate: win Andreescu S A 87.0%, win Messina J. 🇺🇸 13.0%. Model favourite — Andreescu S A.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Andreescu S A - Messina J. 🇺🇸 August 5, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Andreescu S A.

Line favourite market consensus: Andreescu S A. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.03 / 2 9.90
Glicko: Andreescu S A 87.0% / Messina J. 🇺🇸 13.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 8.1% 2 books

1 ✓ Pick 90.3%

2 9.7%

Odds source: consensus of 2 books (Baltbet, Betcity). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Match center

Start 05.08.2026 08:30 UTC

Market 1 90.6% @ 1.03 / 2 9.4% @ 9.90

Coverage clay

Form 3 matches

Match center

Andreescu S A - Messina J. 🇺🇸

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/3 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 2 model / bookmakers

Flashscore match data source checked

Odds match data source checked

Line depth match data source checked

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants Line Overview

More needed

H2H Championat, Flashscore

Tournament Championat, Flashscore

Movement Line history

Post-match / PropickAI database

Score 2:0

Events 0

Statistics 0

PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating

Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 87.0% fact: home hit / ROI 3.0% / Brier 0.034 / LogLoss 0.139

Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 54.4% fact: home hit / ROI 3.0% / Brier 0.415 / LogLoss 0.608

Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Andreescu S A 90.3% 87.0% market and model agree

Messina J. 🇺🇸 9.7% 13.0%

1X2: 2 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model

P1 / P2 87.0% / 13.0% probabilities

Rating 1,683 / 1,500 Andreescu S A / Messina J. 🇺🇸

RD 124 / 350 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,436-1,931 / 800-2,200 strength interval

HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 9.55 market consensus · no value · model 13.0%

1 1.03 market consensus · no value · model 87.0%

Total

Over 15.5 1.95 market consensus · line only

Over 16.5 1.65 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome	Betcity	Leon
	1.81 55.3%	1.62 61.7%
	1.97 50.8%	1.93 51.8%
	1.71 58.5%	1.70 58.8%
	1.90 52.6%	2.08 48.1%
	1.74 57.5%	1.72 58.1%
	2.02 49.5%	1.95 51.3%

Total

Outcome	Betcity	Leon
Over 15.5	1.96 51.0%	1.93 51.8%
Over 16.5	—	1.65 60.6%
Over 17.5	1.96 51.0%	1.93 51.8%
Under 15.5	1.75 57.1%	1.72 58.1%
Under 16.5	—	2.03 49.3%
Under 17.5	1.75 57.1%	1.72 58.1%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity
	1.02 98.0%	1.03 97.1%
	9.90 10.1%	9.20 10.9%

Match center

Andreescu S A

L W W W W

02.08 07:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M25 Pitesti (Romania), clay

Andreescu S A 0:2 Papoe R. M. 🇷🇴

01.08 08:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M25 Pitesti (Romania), clay

Andreescu S A 2:0 Ferrari F. 🇮🇹

31.07 05:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M25 Pitesti (Romania), clay

Andreescu S A 2:0 Haita S. H. 🇷🇴

30.07 06:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M25 Pitesti (Romania), clay

Andreescu S A 2:0 Cherie Ligniere E. 🇮🇹

29.07 05:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M25 Pitesti (Romania), clay

Andreescu S A 2:0 Berge A. 🇷🇴

4 Wins

1 Losses

1.6 Sets won

0.4 Sets lost

80% Win percentage

Messina J. 🇺🇸

L W W

02.08 07:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M25 Pitesti (Romania), clay

Messina J. 🇺🇸 0:2 Papoe R. M. 🇷🇴

01.08 08:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M25 Pitesti (Romania), clay

Messina J. 🇺🇸 2:0 Ferrari F. 🇮🇹

31.07 05:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M25 Pitesti (Romania), clay

Messina J. 🇺🇸 2:0 Haita S. H. 🇷🇴

2 Wins

1 Losses

1.3 Sets won

0.7 Sets lost

67% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historyAndreescu S A - Messina J. 🇺🇸

Andreescu S A

0 matches total

Messina J. 🇺🇸

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Andreescu S A - Messina J. 🇺🇸

About the athletes

AI match prediction Andreescu S A - Messina J. 🇺🇸 August 5, 2026

Fair probability (no margin)

Andreescu S A - Messina J. 🇺🇸

Match markets

Handicap

Total

Outcome (1X2)

Match history