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World Tennis. Women. Finland
World Tennis. Women. Finland
05.08.2026 10:30 UTC Match prediction

Giambelli C. 🇮🇹 - Ahti Vesa

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis World Tennis. Women. Finland
World Tennis. Women. Finland clay 05.08.2026 10:30 UTC Finished
05.08.2026 10:30 UTC Finished
G
Giambelli C. 🇮🇹
A
Ahti Vesa
0:2
Odds
P1 1.02 90.6% BetBoom
P2 9.80 9.4% BetBoom
Coverage: clay
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
clay Coverage clay
0 H2H 0

Giambelli C. 🇮🇹 face Ahti Vesa on August 5, 2026 in the World Tennis. Women. Finland.

PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 55% to win. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Giambelli C. 🇮🇹 — 55%

1 · Giambelli C. 🇮🇹 ✓ Pick55.0%
2 · Ahti Vesa45.0%

Model estimate: win Giambelli C. 🇮🇹 55.0%, win Ahti Vesa 45.0%. Model favourite — Giambelli C. 🇮🇹.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Giambelli C. 🇮🇹 - Ahti Vesa August 5, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Giambelli C. 🇮🇹.

Line favourite market consensus: Giambelli C. 🇮🇹. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.02 / 2 9.80
  • Glicko: Giambelli C. 🇮🇹 55.0% / Ahti Vesa 45.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 ✓ Pick 90.6%
2 9.4%

Odds source: Leon line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Match center
Start 05.08.2026 10:30 UTC
Market 1 90.6% @ 1.02 / 2 9.4% @ 9.80
Coverage clay
Form 3 matches
Match center

Giambelli C. 🇮🇹 - Ahti Vesa

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 1/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 0:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 55.0% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.605 / LogLoss 0.799
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 50.6% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.512 / LogLoss 0.705
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Giambelli C. 🇮🇹 90.6% 55.0% market and model agree
Ahti Vesa 9.4% 45.0%
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 55.0% / 45.0% probabilities
Rating 1,372 / 1,296 Giambelli C. 🇮🇹 / Ahti Vesa
RD 263 / 229 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 845-1,899 / 839-1,753 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 9.80 market consensus · no value · model 45.0%
1 1.02 market consensus · no value · model 55.0%
Total
Over 15.5 1.69 market consensus · line only
Over 16.5 1.88 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Leon
1.68 59.5%
1.93 51.8%
1.98 50.5%
1.72 58.1%

Total

Outcome Leon
Over 15.5 1.69 59.2%
Over 16.5 1.88 53.2%
Under 15.5 1.96 51.0%
Under 16.5 1.76 56.8%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Leon
1.02 98.0%
9.80 10.2%
Match center
Giambelli C. 🇮🇹
L
18.07 13:00 UTC+0 Challenger Women - Singles: Palermo (Italy) - Qualifying, clay
Giambelli C. 🇮🇹 1:2 Ren Y. 🇨🇳Ren Y. 🇨🇳
0 Wins
1 Losses
1.0 Sets won
2.0 Sets lost
0% Win percentage
Ahti Vesa
L L
29.07 06:30 UTC+0 ITF Women - Singles: W15 Savitaipale (Finland), clay
Ahti Vesa 1:2 Favier M. 🇫🇷
19.07 10:30 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Tampere (Finland) - Qualifying, clay
Ahti Vesa 1:2 Visker N. 🇳🇱Visker N. 🇳🇱
0 Wins
2 Losses
1.0 Sets won
2.0 Sets lost
0% Win percentage