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WTA 125K. Vancouver. Qualification
WTA 125K. Vancouver. Qualification
27.07.2026 20:00 UTC Match prediction

Kuramochi M. 🇯🇵 - Aleksander A. 🇨🇦

Tennis WTA 125K. Vancouver. Qualification
WTA 125K. Vancouver. Qualification hard 27.07.2026 20:00 UTC Finished
27.07.2026 20:00 UTC Finished
K
Kuramochi M. 🇯🇵
W
A
Aleksander A. 🇨🇦
W
2:0
Odds
P1 1.26 73.0% BetBoom
P2 3.40 27.0% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
1 H2H 1

Head-to-head history

ITF Women - Singles: W35 Saskatoon (Canada), hard
  Kuramochi M. 🇯🇵 1 2
  Aleksander A. 🇨🇦 0 0
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Kuramochi M. 🇯🇵 — 61%

1 · Kuramochi M. 🇯🇵 ✓ Pick61.2%
market92%
2 · Aleksander A. 🇨🇦38.8%
market8%

Model estimate: win Kuramochi M. 🇯🇵 61.2%, win Aleksander A. 🇨🇦 38.8%. Model favourite — Kuramochi M. 🇯🇵.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Kuramochi M. 🇯🇵 (odds1.30) Score 2:1 confidence 53% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Kuramochi M
  • • 🇯🇵 — Aleksander A
  • • 🇨🇦 (tennis)
  • • Kuramochi M
  • • 🇯🇵: forma VPVVP (3-2)
  • • Aleksander A
  • • 🇨🇦: forma PVP (1-2)
  • • ochnye 1-0 (za 1)
  • • Model backs Kuramochi M
  • • 🇯🇵: probability 53% vs 77% on the line (odds 1.30)
  • • no edge over the line (-24 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Kuramochi M. 🇯🇵 - Aleksander A. 🇨🇦 July 27, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Kuramochi M. 🇯🇵.

Line favourite Fonbet: Kuramochi M. 🇯🇵. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 11.00
  • Glicko: Kuramochi M. 🇯🇵 61.2% / Aleksander A. 🇨🇦 38.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.1%
1 ✓ Pick 91.6%
2 8.4%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Match center
Start 27.07.2026 20:00 UTC
Coverage hard
Form 6 matches
H2H 1
Match center

Kuramochi M. 🇯🇵 - Aleksander A. 🇨🇦

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 1 ochnykh vstrech.

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Overview
More needed
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage, H2H home - 61.2% fact: home hit / ROI 26.0% / Brier 0.302 / LogLoss 0.492
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage, H2H home - 51.3% fact: home hit / ROI 26.0% / Brier 0.474 / LogLoss 0.667
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Kuramochi M. 🇯🇵 73.0% 61.2% market and model agree
Aleksander A. 🇨🇦 27.0% 38.8%
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 61.2% / 38.8% probabilities
Rating 1,698 / 1,413 Kuramochi M. 🇯🇵 / Aleksander A. 🇨🇦
RD 184 / 220 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,329-2,067 / 973-1,854 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.40 market consensus · no value · model 38.8%
1 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 61.2%
Total
Over 18.5 1.62 Fonbet · line only
Over 19.5 2.30 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet Leon
1.75 57.1% —
1.02 98.0% —
1.19 84.0% 1.69 59.2%
3.65 27.4% 2.02 49.5%
1.55 64.5% —
— 2.01 49.8%
— 1.68 59.5%
1.95 51.3% —
10.00 10.0% —
3.95 25.3% —
1.22 82.0% —
2.30 43.5% —

Total

Outcome Fonbet Leon
Over 18.5 1.62 61.7% —
Over 19.5 2.30 43.5% 1.86 53.8%
Over 20.5 1.20 83.3% —
Over 21.5 3.90 25.6% —
Over 22.5 7.80 12.8% —
Over 23.5 2.25 44.4% —
Under 18.5 2.15 46.5% —
Under 19.5 1.55 64.5% 1.81 55.3%
Under 20.5 3.75 26.7% —
Under 21.5 1.20 83.3% —
Under 22.5 1.03 97.1% —
Under 23.5 1.55 64.5% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet Leon
1.01 99.0% 1.26 79.4%
11.00 9.1% 3.40 29.4%
Match center
Kuramochi M. 🇯🇵
W
25.07 18:30 UTC Challenger Women - Singles: Vancouver (Canada) - Qualifying, hard
Kuramochi M. 🇯🇵 2:0 Kuvata Kh. 🇯🇵
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Aleksander A. 🇨🇦
W
26.07 16:40 UTC Challenger Women - Singles: Vancouver (Canada) - Qualifying, hard
Aleksander A. 🇨🇦 2:1 Okalova M. 🇸🇰
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyKuramochi M. 🇯🇵 - Aleksander A. 🇨🇦

Kuramochi M. 🇯🇵
1 matches total
Aleksander A. 🇨🇦
Kuramochi M. 🇯🇵: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Aleksander A. 🇨🇦: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Kuramochi M. 🇯🇵 2:0 (23.07 19:00 UTC+0) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (2:0, 23.07 19:00 UTC+0) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

23.07 19:00 UTC+0 ITF Women - Singles: W35 Saskatoon (Canada), hard
Kuramochi M. 🇯🇵
2:0
Aleksander A. 🇨🇦