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AI verdict

AI pick Li A win probability ~60% confidence Medium best odds 1.45

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Li A. Full breakdown below.

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WTA. Monterrey
WTA. Monterrey International
28.08.2026 23:00 UTC Match prediction

Parry D vs Li A — Tennis prediction

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis WTA. Monterrey
WTA. Monterrey clay 28.08.2026 23:00 UTC Finished
28.08.2026 23:00 UTC Finished
Parry D
Parry D
Rank #30 Elo 1518
50Average Form
W W L W L W W W
Li A
Li A
Rank #50 Elo 1113
56Average Form
W L W L L W W W
2:0
Coverage: clay
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Li A — 60%

1 · Parry D40.4%
market 40%
2 · Li A59.6%
market 60%

Model estimate: win Parry D 40.4%, win Li A 59.6%. Model favourite — Li A.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🎯 Safe pick confident

Match winner — Li A

Model confidence 65% ~79% on our history

How often this pick wins on our settled history — not a profit forecast.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Parry D - Li A August 28, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Li A.

Line favourite Fonbet: Li A. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.70 / 2 1.45
  • Glicko: Parry D 40.4% / Li A 59.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.5% 7 books · best price +3.1%
1 39.9%
2 60.1%

Odds source: consensus of 7 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 2.10 ↑ 2.40
Winner 2 1.75 ↓ 1.55

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Parry D
40%
2.70
Li A
60%
1.63
Total
Over 16.5
49%
1.88
Under 16.5
51%
1.82

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

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Preview

Extended stats (scorego)

Parry D Li A
Win % 51.9% 50%
Hard % 44.4% 50%
Clay % 57.4% 0%
Grass % 62.9% 0%
Deciding set % 53.6% 0%
Tie-breaks % 55.2% 0%
Titles (total) 2 0
Last 10 WWLWWWLLLW LW

Source: scorego-app.com

About the athletes

- Country -
#30 Rating #50
26 Age 23
1.70m Height (cm) 1.70m
56kg Weight (kg) -
Right Hand Right
- Seed -
clay Coverage clay
0 H2H 0

Serve and return stats

Parry D Li A
Aces per match 4.88 4.32
Double faults per match 2.61 3.32
Breaks per match 3.22 2.39

Source:tennisstats.com (per-match averages)

TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return

Ann Li
Rank:30 Elo: 1518
W W L W L W W W
Diane Parry
Rank:50 Elo: 1113
W L W L L W W W
Elo favourite:Li A (edge +405 Elo)

Hard

Ann LiDiane Parry
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 45.5% 10 / 22 Matches 60.0% 15 / 25 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 48.5% 16 / 33 Matches 52.9% 18 / 34 Matches
Aces Per Match 4.09 4.59
Most Aces in a match 59 % 64 %

Clay

Ann LiDiane Parry
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 57.1% 8 / 14 Matches 40.0% 4 / 10 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 57.1% 8 / 14 Matches 40.0% 4 / 10 Matches
Aces Per Match 4.29 2.50
Most Aces in a match 86 % 40 %

Grass

Ann LiDiane Parry
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 40.0% 2 / 5 Matches 66.7% 4 / 6 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 40.0% 2 / 5 Matches 66.7% 4 / 6 Matches
Aces Per Match 10.00 6.33
Most Aces in a match 80 % 67 %

Source:tennisstats.com

H2H series (tennisstats)

Ann Li Diane Parry
H2H wins 1 (50.0%) 1 (50.0%)
Sets 2 (50.0%) 2 (50.0%)
Wins this year 50.0% 21 / 42 Matches 55.8% 24 / 43 Matches
Wins in 12 mo. 52.7% 29 / 55 Matches 51.9% 27 / 52 Matches
Current rank 30 50

Source: tennisstats.com

Profile and percentages (tennisstats)

Ann Li Diane Parry
Prize money (career) $1,907,505 USD $1,822,000 USD
Rating 30 50
Age 26 23
Height 1.70m 1.70m
Weight 56kg —
Playing hand Right-handed Right-handed

Win percentage (match / set)

Ann Li Diane Parry
Match Wins 50 % 56 %
Match Wins (3 Sets) 49 % 56 %
Wins in Straight Sets 24 % 40 %
Wins From Behind 25 % 17 %
Won At Least 1 Set 71 % 63 %
Set 1 Win 38 % 51 %
Set 2 Win 57 % 51 %
Set 3 Win 55 % 70 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Head-to-Head Record

Date Tournament Results
May 28 2026 French Open WTA (Clay) Ann Li 0 – 2 Diane Parry
Oct 29 2020 W80 Tyler, TX ITF Women (Hard) Ann Li 2 – 0 Diane Parry

Source:tennisstats.com

Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)

Outcome percentages for totals and props: values for each player and a match-total column.

Total games

Ann Li Diane Parry Match total
Average Games in a Set 9.45 8.98 9.22
Over 6.5 98 % 98 % 98 %
Over 7.5 80 % 85 % 83 %
Over 8.5 66 % 66 % 66 %
Over 9.5 44 % 39 % 42 %
Over 10.5 20 % 5 % 13 %
Over 11.5 20 % 5 % 13 %

Aces

Ann Li Diane Parry Match total
Aces Per Match 4.88 4.32 9.20
Most Aces in a match 71 % 58 % N/A
1+ 88 % 95 % 99 %
2+ 76 % 76 % 93 %
3+ 68 % 55 % 82 %
4+ 56 % 45 % 71 %
5+ 49 % 39 % 66 %

Breaks

Ann Li Diane Parry Match total
Breaks Per Match 3.22 2.39 5.61
Over 0.5 100 % 100 % 100 %
Over 1.5 95 % 100 % 100 %
Over 2.5 93 % 55 % 100 %
Over 3.5 5 % 8 % 75 %
Over 4.5 2 % 5 % 74 %
Over 5.5 2 % 0 % 72 %

Tie-breaks

Ann Li Diane Parry Match total
Tie Breaks Per Match 0.27 0.24 0.26
Over 0.5 27 % 24 % 26 %
Over 1.5 0 % 0 % 0 %
Under 0.5 73 % 76 % 26 %
Under 1.5 100 % 100 % 0 %

Double faults

Ann Li Diane Parry Match total
Double Faults Per Match 2.61 3.32 5.93
Over 0.5 (1+) 90 % 95 % 98 %
Over 1.5 (2+) 68 % 74 % 95 %
Over 2.5 (3+) 56 % 61 % 94 %
Over 3.5 (4+) 32 % 45 % 84 %
Over 4.5 (5+) 10 % 21 % 72 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 5 % 16 % 59 %

Net points

Ann Li Diane Parry Match total
Net Points Won Per Match 6.6 8.5 15.1
Over 4.5 (5+) 100 % 86 % 93 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 60 % 43 % 52 %
Over 6.5 (7+) 60 % 43 % 52 %
Over 7.5 (8+) 40 % 43 % 42 %
Over 8.5 (9+) 0 % 43 % 22 %
Over 9.5 (10+) 0 % 43 % 22 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Odds
P1 2.43 40.1% BetBoom
P2 1.63 59.9% BetBoom

Parry D host Li A in tennis, in WTA. Monterrey, on 28 August 2026. Our Glicko-2 rating model leans to Li A: roughly 60% to win. Sportsbook prices (7 books) put that result at roughly 60%.

Latest form: Parry D 4 won and 1 lost; Li A 3 won and 2 lost. Parry D arrive on a winning run. On the Glicko scale it is 1882 for Parry D against 1751 for Li A - a gap of 131 points.

Our model and the market consensus broadly agree on this match. Model confidence in the favourite is moderate. The favourite's edge is moderate, so a protective market (double chance or draw-no-bet) is steadier than a single outright bet. Key markers: an edge of 131 Glicko rating points, the model's 60% for Li A. Below on this page: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PropickAI AI breakdown. This is a probability read from our model plus the market line, not a guaranteed outcome.

Playoff draw

Tournament bracket 2026 Monterrey, Mexico

1/16-finals (R32)
Tauson, Clara2
Zarazua, Renata1
Sherif Ahmed Abdelaziz, Maiar0
Oliynykova, Oleksandra2
Parry, Diane2
Vekic, Donna1
Parks, Alycia2
Marcinko, Petra1
Zhang, Shuai0
Timofeeva, Maria2
Osorio, Camila0
Li, Ann2
Bucsa, Cristina2
Bondar, Anna0
Vidmanova, Darja2
Birrell, Kimberly0
Ruzic, Antonia0
Bartunkova, Nikola2
Tjen, Janice2
Yastremska, Dayana1
Tagger, Lilli0
Starodubtseva, Yuliia2
Udvardy, Panna2
Joint, Maya0
1/8-finals (R16)
Alexandrova, Ekaterina1
Tauson, Clara2
Oliynykova, Oleksandra0
Parry, Diane2
Chwalinska, Maja1
Parks, Alycia2
Timofeeva, Maria0
Li, Ann0
Bucsa, Cristina0
Vidmanova, Darja2
Bartunkova, Nikola2
Liang, En-Shuo1
Tjen, Janice0
Starodubtseva, Yuliia2
Udvardy, Panna1
Mertens, Elise2
Quarterfinals
Tauson, Clara0
Parry, Diane2
Parks, Alycia0
Li, Ann2
Vidmanova, Darja1
Bartunkova, Nikola2
Starodubtseva, Yuliia0
Mertens, Elise2
Semifinals
Parry, Diane2
Li, Ann0
Bartunkova, Nikola1
Mertens, Elise2
Final
Parry, Diane0
Mertens, Elise0

Playoff draw: gismo. For reference.

Match center
Start 28.08.2026 23:00 UTC
Market 1 34.9% @ 2.70 / 2 65.1% @ 1.45
Coverage clay
Form 6 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Li A 60%
💹 Market Li A 60%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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Match center

Parry D - Li A

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:0
Events 0
Statistics 20
Metric Parry D Li A SStats
Breyk-poynty realizovany 3/10 3/5 final
Points na prieme 46% (36/79) 41% (31/76) final
Eysy 6 4 final
Breyk-poynty otygrany 2/5 7/10 final
Dvoynye oshibki 3 5 final
Pervaya podacha, % 59% 53% final
Points na pervoy podache 62% (28/45) 81% (34/42) final
Points na vtoroy podache 55% (17/31) 24% (9/37) final
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage, H2H away - 59.6% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.710 / LogLoss 0.906
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage, H2H away - 51.1% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.523 / LogLoss 0.716
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Parry D 39.9% 42.6% market and model agree
Li A 60.1% 57.4% market and model agree
1X2: 7 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Model = Glicko + Elo strength prior (heuristic, historical calibration in progress). Glicko40.4% · +Elo prior (weight0.39).

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 40.4% / 59.6% probabilities
Rating 1,882 / 1,751 Parry D / Li A
RD 188 / 168 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,506-2,259 / 1,415-2,086 strength interval

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.45 Fonbet · no value · model 59.6%
1 2.70 Fonbet · no value · model 40.4%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.47 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 2.40 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 2.50 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 0.5 3.20 market consensus · line only
Over 10.5 3.65 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
— — 2.50 40.0%
— — 2.25 44.4%
1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% —
— — 2.40 41.7%
— — 2.60 38.5%
— — 2.90 34.5%
— — 1.47 68.0%
— — 1.57 63.7%
— — 1.77 56.5%
— — 1.38 72.5%
— — 1.58 63.3%
— — 2.35 42.6%
— — 1.50 66.7%
— — 1.43 69.9%
1.80 55.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.35 74.1%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.65 60.6%
5.10 19.6%
1.13 88.5%
2.20 45.5%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 19.5 — — 1.70 58.8%
Over 20.5 — — 1.85 54.1%
Over 21.5 1.78 56.2% 1.84 54.4% 2.05 48.8%
Over 22.5 1.93 51.8% 1.94 51.6% 2.00 50.0%
Over 23.5 — — 1.70 58.8%
Over 24.5 — — 1.75 57.1%
Over 25.5 — — 2.00 50.0%
Over 26.5 — — 2.95 33.9%
Under 19.5 — — 2.02 49.5%
Under 20.5 — — 1.95 51.3%
Under 21.5 1.97 50.8% 1.96 51.0% —
Under 22.5 1.81 55.3% 1.86 53.8% —

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 2.5 2.20 45.5%
Under 2.5 1.63 61.4%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 2-0-0
2026-08-28 · Dian Parri 2:0 Enn Li
2026-05-28 · Dian Parri 2:0 Enn Li
Source: ruscore

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 2.5 (Pari) · 2 1.57 (Winline)
Bookmaker12
Pari 2.5 1.55
Winline 2.4 1.57
Fonbet 2.5 1.55
Betcity 2.45 1.55
Source: ruscore · line comparison

Match stats

7 Eysy 7
6 Dvoynye oshibki 5
7 Vsego breyk-poyntov 12
4 Vyigrannye breyk-poynty 3
84 Vyigrannye Points 88
48 Points na podache 49
39 Poteryannye Points na podache 36
46 Uspeshnaya 1-ya podacha 51
35 Uspeshnaya 2-ya podacha 29
37 Vyigrysh 1-y podachi 31
11 Vyigrysh 2-y podachi 18
5 Maks. ochkov podryad 9
8 Geymy na podache 7
13 Vyigrannye geymy 10
3 Maks. geymov podryad 2
1 Tay-breyk 0
Source: ruscore
Parry D
W W W L W
2026-08-28 2026 Monterrey, Mexico
Parry D Tauson C 0:2 Parry D
2026-08-26 2026 Monterrey, Mexico
Parry D Oliynykova O 0:2 Parry D
2026-08-25 2026 Monterrey, Mexico
Parry D Parry D 2:1 Vekic D
2026-08-19 2026 Cincinnati, USA
Parry D Swiatek I 2:0 Parry D
2026-08-17 2026 Cincinnati, USA
Parry D Parry D 2:1 Boisson L
4 Wins
1 Losses
1.6 Sets won
0.8 Sets lost
80% Win percentage
Li A
W D W L W
2026-08-27 2026 Monterrey, Mexico
Parks A 0:2 Li A Li A
2026-08-26 2026 Monterrey, Mexico
Timofeeva M 0:0 Li A Li A
2026-08-24 2026 Monterrey, Mexico
Osorio C 0:2 Li A Li A
2026-08-18 2026 Cincinnati, USA
Gauff C 2:0 Li A Li A
2026-08-16 2026 Cincinnati, USA
Zhang S 0:2 Li A Li A
3 Wins
1 Losses
1.2 Sets won
0.4 Sets lost
60% Win percentage

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Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Parry D vs Li A?

By the PropickAI model, Li A is favoured — about 60% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for Parry D vs Li A?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Li A. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

What are the bookmaker odds for Parry D vs Li A?

Live odds for Parry D vs Li A from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.

When does Parry D vs Li A start?

August 28, 2026.