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AI verdict

AI pick Tauson C win probability ~62% confidence High best odds 1.68

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Tauson C. Full breakdown below.

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WTA. Monterrey
WTA. Monterrey International
28.08.2026 01:45 UTC Match prediction

Tauson C vs Parry D — Tennis prediction

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis WTA. Monterrey
WTA. Monterrey clay 28.08.2026 01:45 UTC Finished
28.08.2026 01:45 UTC Finished
Tauson C
Tauson C
Rank #50 Elo 1113
55Average Form
W W L W W W L L
Parry D
Parry D
Rank #42 Elo 1184
46Struggling Form
W W W L L L W W
0:2 3:6 5:7
1 2 GP
Tauson C 3 5 0
Parry D 6 7 2
1 2
Coverage: clay
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Tauson C — 62%

1 · Tauson C ✓ Pick61.8%
market 62%
2 · Parry D38.2%
market 38%

Model estimate: win Tauson C 61.8%, win Parry D 38.2%. Model favourite — Tauson C.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Tauson C - Parry D August 28, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Tauson C.

Line favourite Fonbet: Tauson C. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.68 / 2 2.20
  • Glicko: Tauson C 61.8% / Parry D 38.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.4% 7 books · best price +9.8%
1 ✓ Pick 62.0%
2 38.0%

Odds source: consensus of 7 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.45 ↑ 1.55
Winner 2 2.75 ↓ 2.45

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Tauson C
62%
1.68
Parry D
38%
2.60
Total
Over 9.5
49%
1.91
Under 9.5
51%
1.83

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

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Preview

Extended stats (scorego)

Tauson C Parry D
Win % 55.4% 51.9%
Hard % 58.2% 44.4%
Clay % 52% 57.4%
Grass % 41.7% 62.9%
Deciding set % 44.4% 53.6%
Tie-breaks % 45.5% 55.2%
Titles (total) 3 2
Last 10 WLWLLLWWWL WWLWWWLLLW

Source: scorego-app.com

About the athletes

- Country -
#50 Rating #42
23 Age 23
1.70m Height (cm) 1.82m
- Weight (kg) -
Right Hand Right
- Seed -
clay Coverage clay
0 H2H 0

Serve and return stats

Tauson C Parry D
Aces per match 4.19 6.58
Double faults per match 3.38 3.97
Breaks per match 2.42 2.65

Source:tennisstats.com (per-match averages)

TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return

Diane Parry
Rank:50 Elo: 1113
W W L W W W L L
Clara Tauson
Rank:42 Elo: 1184
W W W L L L W W
Elo favourite:Tauson C (edge +71 Elo)

Hard

Diane ParryClara Tauson
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 58.3% 14 / 24 Matches 53.9% 14 / 26 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 51.5% 17 / 33 Matches 53.1% 17 / 32 Matches
Aces Per Match 4.38 7.00
Most Aces in a match 62 % 64 %

Clay

Diane ParryClara Tauson
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 40.0% 4 / 10 Matches 0.0% 0 / 3 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 40.0% 4 / 10 Matches 0.0% 0 / 3 Matches
Aces Per Match 2.50 2.33
Most Aces in a match 40 % 67 %

Grass

Diane ParryClara Tauson
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 66.7% 4 / 6 Matches 40.0% 2 / 5 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 66.7% 4 / 6 Matches 40.0% 2 / 5 Matches
Aces Per Match 6.33 7.00
Most Aces in a match 67 % 80 %

Source:tennisstats.com

H2H series (tennisstats)

Diane Parry Clara Tauson
H2H wins 2 (100.0%) 0 (0.0%)
Sets 4 (80.0%) 1 (20.0%)
Wins this year 54.8% 23 / 42 Matches 45.7% 16 / 35 Matches
Wins in 12 mo. 51.0% 26 / 51 Matches 45.2% 19 / 42 Matches
Current rank 50 42

Source: tennisstats.com

Profile and percentages (tennisstats)

Diane Parry Clara Tauson
Prize money (career) $1,822,000 USD $2,295,819 USD
Rating 50 42
Age 23 23
Height 1.70m 1.82m
Playing hand Right-handed Right-handed

Win percentage (match / set)

Diane Parry Clara Tauson
Match Wins 55 % 46 %
Match Wins (3 Sets) 55 % 47 %
Wins in Straight Sets 38 % 31 %
Wins From Behind 17 % 10 %
Won At Least 1 Set 62 % 71 %
Set 1 Win 50 % 51 %
Set 2 Win 50 % 53 %
Set 3 Win 70 % 36 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Head-to-Head Record

Date Tournament Results
Jun 16 2026 Berlin WTA (Grass) Diane Parry 2 – 0 Clara Tauson
Oct 18 2024 Osaka WTA (Hard) Diane Parry 2 – 1 Clara Tauson

Source:tennisstats.com

Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)

Outcome percentages for totals and props: values for each player and a match-total column.

Total games

Diane Parry Clara Tauson Match total
Average Games in a Set 8.98 10.14 9.56
Over 6.5 98 % 100 % 99 %
Over 7.5 85 % 88 % 87 %
Over 8.5 65 % 79 % 72 %
Over 9.5 40 % 53 % 47 %
Over 10.5 5 % 35 % 20 %
Over 11.5 5 % 35 % 20 %

Aces

Diane Parry Clara Tauson Match total
Aces Per Match 4.19 6.58 10.77
Most Aces in a match 57 % 67 % N/A
1+ 95 % 91 % 99 %
2+ 76 % 85 % 90 %
3+ 54 % 85 % 82 %
4+ 43 % 67 % 77 %
5+ 38 % 61 % 74 %

Breaks

Diane Parry Clara Tauson Match total
Breaks Per Match 2.42 2.65 5.07
Over 0.5 100 % 97 % 100 %
Over 1.5 100 % 97 % 100 %
Over 2.5 54 % 61 % 100 %
Over 3.5 8 % 52 % 77 %
Over 4.5 5 % 12 % 55 %
Over 5.5 0 % 9 % 33 %

Tie-breaks

Diane Parry Clara Tauson Match total
Tie Breaks Per Match 0.25 0.32 0.29
Over 0.5 25 % 29 % 27 %
Over 1.5 0 % 3 % 1 %
Under 0.5 75 % 71 % 27 %
Under 1.5 100 % 97 % 1 %

Double faults

Diane Parry Clara Tauson Match total
Double Faults Per Match 3.38 3.97 7.35
Over 0.5 (1+) 95 % 91 % 99 %
Over 1.5 (2+) 76 % 88 % 96 %
Over 2.5 (3+) 62 % 73 % 94 %
Over 3.5 (4+) 46 % 55 % 89 %
Over 4.5 (5+) 22 % 39 % 79 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 16 % 18 % 72 %

Net points

Diane Parry Clara Tauson Match total
Net Points Won Per Match 8.5 8.6 17.1
Over 4.5 (5+) 86 % 80 % 83 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 43 % 80 % 62 %
Over 6.5 (7+) 43 % 80 % 62 %
Over 7.5 (8+) 43 % 60 % 52 %
Over 8.5 (9+) 43 % 20 % 32 %
Over 9.5 (10+) 43 % 20 % 32 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Odds
P1 1.58 62.2% BetBoom
P2 2.60 37.8% BetBoom

Tauson C take on Parry D on August 28, 2026 in the WTA. Monterrey, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Tauson C 3-0-2, Parry D 4-0-1. PropickAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 62% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PropickAI neural-network verdict.

Play-by-play

Match timeline

Tauson CParry D
  • Match started
  • Set 1 Break 1-3 Parry D
  • Set 1 3-6 Parry D
  • Set 2 Break 2-0 Tauson C
  • Set 2 Break 5-4 Parry D
  • Set 2 Break 5-6 Parry D
  • Set 2 5-7 Parry D
  • Match ended 0-2 Parry D

Play-by-play: gismo. For reference.

Playoff draw

Tournament bracket 2026 Monterrey, Mexico

1/16-finals (R32)
Tauson, Clara2
Zarazua, Renata1
Sherif Ahmed Abdelaziz, Maiar0
Oliynykova, Oleksandra2
Parry, Diane2
Vekic, Donna1
Parks, Alycia2
Marcinko, Petra1
Zhang, Shuai0
Timofeeva, Maria2
Osorio, Camila0
Li, Ann2
Bucsa, Cristina2
Bondar, Anna0
Vidmanova, Darja2
Birrell, Kimberly0
Ruzic, Antonia0
Bartunkova, Nikola2
Tjen, Janice2
Yastremska, Dayana1
Tagger, Lilli0
Starodubtseva, Yuliia2
Udvardy, Panna2
Joint, Maya0
1/8-finals (R16)
Alexandrova, Ekaterina1
Tauson, Clara2
Oliynykova, Oleksandra0
Parry, Diane2
Chwalinska, Maja1
Parks, Alycia2
Timofeeva, Maria0
Li, Ann0
Bucsa, Cristina0
Vidmanova, Darja2
Bartunkova, Nikola2
Liang, En-Shuo1
Tjen, Janice0
Starodubtseva, Yuliia2
Udvardy, Panna1
Mertens, Elise2
Quarterfinals
Tauson, Clara0
Parry, Diane2
Parks, Alycia0
Li, Ann2
Vidmanova, Darja1
Bartunkova, Nikola2
Starodubtseva, Yuliia0
Mertens, Elise2
Semifinals
Parry, Diane2
Li, Ann0
Bartunkova, Nikola1
Mertens, Elise2
Final
Parry, Diane0
Mertens, Elise0

Playoff draw: gismo. For reference.

Match center
Start 28.08.2026 01:45 UTC
Market 1 56.7% @ 1.68 / 2 43.3% @ 2.20
Coverage clay
Form 6 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Tauson C 62%
💹 Market Tauson C 62%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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Match center

Tauson C - Parry D

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 0:2
Events 0
Statistics 20
Set Tauson C Parry D Result
Set 1 3 6 3:6
Set 2 5 7 5:7
Metric Tauson C Parry D SStats
Breyk-poynty realizovany 0/0 0/0 final
Points na prieme 0% (0/0) 100% (1/1) final
Eysy 0 0 final
Breyk-poynty otygrany 0/0 0/0 final
Dvoynye oshibki 0 0 final
Pervaya podacha, % 100% 0% final
Points na pervoy podache 0% (0/1) 0% (0/0) final
Points na vtoroy podache 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0) final
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 61.8% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.763 / LogLoss 0.962
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 51.4% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.529 / LogLoss 0.722
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Tauson C 62.0% 56.9% market and model agree
Parry D 38.0% 43.1% market and model agree
1X2: 7 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Model = Glicko + Elo strength prior (heuristic, historical calibration in progress). Glicko61.8% · +Elo prior (weight0.44).

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 61.8% / 38.2% probabilities
Rating 1,820 / 1,784 Tauson C / Parry D
RD 173 / 213 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,473-2,167 / 1,358-2,211 strength interval

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.20 Fonbet · no value · model 38.2%
1 1.68 Fonbet · weak value +3.8% · model 61.8%
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.05 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 2.10 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.73 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 0.5 2.95 market consensus · line only
Over 10.5 3.55 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.77 56.5% 1.79 55.9% —
1.99 50.3% 2.00 50.0% —
— — 2.10 47.6%
— — 2.65 37.7%
1.98 50.5% 2.02 49.5% 1.60 62.5%
1.76 56.8% 1.82 55.0% 1.82 55.0%
— — 2.05 48.8%
— — 1.70 58.8%
— — 2.00 50.0%
— — 1.80 55.6%
— — 1.47 68.0%
— — 1.33 75.2%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.03 97.1%
14.00 7.1%
1.01 99.0%
9.50 10.5%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 18.5 — — 1.32 75.8%
Over 19.5 — — 1.65 60.6%
Over 20.5 1.80 55.6% 1.84 54.4% 1.65 60.6%
Over 21.5 1.84 54.4% 1.88 53.2% 1.85 54.1%
Over 22.5 — — 2.20 45.5%
Over 23.5 — — 1.72 58.1%
Over 24.5 — — 1.78 56.2%
Over 25.5 — — 1.40 71.4%
Over 26.5 — — 1.80 55.6%
Over 27.5 — — 1.68 59.5%
Under 20.5 1.95 51.3% 1.96 51.0% —
Under 21.5 1.90 52.6% 1.92 52.1% —

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 2.5 1.03 97.1%
Under 2.5 9.50 10.5%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 0-0-3
2026-08-28 · Klara Tauson 0:2 Dian Parri
2026-06-16 · Klara Tauson 0:2 Dian Parri
2024-10-18 · Klara Tauson 1:2 Dian Parri
Source: ruscore

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.48 (Pari) · 2 2.9 (Betcity)
Bookmaker12
Pari 1.48 2.65
Winline 1.48 2.62
Fonbet 1.48 2.65
Betcity 1.41 2.9
Source: ruscore · line comparison

Match stats

2 Eysy 9
4 Dvoynye oshibki 1
4 Vsego breyk-poyntov 3
1 Vyigrannye breyk-poynty 3
51 Vyigrannye Points 68
35 Points na podache 45
23 Poteryannye Points na podache 16
34 Uspeshnaya 1-ya podacha 41
20 Uspeshnaya 2-ya podacha 19
24 Vyigrysh 1-y podachi 35
11 Vyigrysh 2-y podachi 10
7 Maks. ochkov podryad 11
7 Geymy na podache 10
8 Vyigrannye geymy 13
3 Maks. geymov podryad 5
0 Tay-breyk 0
Source: ruscore
Tauson C
W W L W L
2026-08-27 2026 Monterrey, Mexico
Tauson C Alexandrova E 1:2 Tauson C
2026-08-25 2026 Monterrey, Mexico
Tauson C Tauson C 2:1 Zarazua R
2026-08-17 2026 Cincinnati, USA
Tauson C Noskova L 2:0 Tauson C
2026-08-16 2026 Cincinnati, USA
Tauson C Stearns P 1:2 Tauson C
2026-08-05 2026 Toronto, Canada
Tauson C Tauson C 0:2 Bartunkova N
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.2 Sets won
1.4 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Parry D
W W L W W
2026-08-26 2026 Monterrey, Mexico
Oliynykova O 0:2 Parry D Parry D
2026-08-25 2026 Monterrey, Mexico
Parry D 2:1 Vekic D Parry D
2026-08-19 2026 Cincinnati, USA
Swiatek I 2:0 Parry D Parry D
2026-08-17 2026 Cincinnati, USA
Parry D 2:1 Boisson L Parry D
2026-08-15 2026 Cincinnati, USA
Mertens E 1:2 Parry D Parry D
4 Wins
1 Losses
1.6 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
80% Win percentage

More predictions

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Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tauson C vs Parry D?

By the PropickAI model, Tauson C is favoured — about 62% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for Tauson C vs Parry D?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Tauson C. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

What are the bookmaker odds for Tauson C vs Parry D?

Live odds for Tauson C vs Parry D from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.

When does Tauson C vs Parry D start?

August 28, 2026.